Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Faroe Islands v Slovakia

Kickoff: 2026-10-02 18:46 UTC

Final: Faroe Islands 1–1 Slovakia

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

39 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Faroe Islands (Local)

Prediction 19.81%5.05fair odd
EV +3.03%
Edge +0.583%
Kelly +0.722%
Growth +0.022%

assuming max odds 5.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.14%19.76%19.80%21.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.334.794.755.2023.09%20.87%21.05%19.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Slovakia (Visit)

Prediction 51.00%1.96fair odd
EV -3.10%
Edge -1.63%
Kelly -3.45%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.53%51.02%51.05%53.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.821.831.9057.80%55.03%54.64%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.19%3.43fair odd
EV -2.81%
Edge -0.843%
Kelly -1.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.34%29.22%29.15%30.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.203.233.3333.33%31.21%30.96%30.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Faroe Islands (Local): 19.81%; Slovakia (Visit): 51.00%; Draw: 29.19%. For Faroe Islands (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.05. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.03%.

Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.14%EV +3.03%E +0.583%K +0.722%G +0.022%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.28%EV -9.73%E -5.50%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -3.68%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-02 18:15
Casumo🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.14%EV +3.03%E +0.583%K +0.722%G +0.022%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.28%EV -9.73%E -5.50%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -3.68%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-02 18:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.14%EV +3.03%E +0.583%K +0.722%G +0.022%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.28%EV -9.73%E -5.50%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -3.68%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-02 18:15
Unibet (SE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.14%EV +3.03%E +0.583%K +0.722%G +0.022%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.28%EV -9.73%E -5.50%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -3.68%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-02 18:15
BetRivers🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.14%EV +3.03%E +0.583%K +0.722%G +0.022%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.28%EV -9.73%E -5.50%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -3.68%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-02 18:15
Svenska Spel🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.14%EV +3.03%E +0.583%K +0.722%G +0.022%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.28%EV -9.73%E -5.50%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -3.68%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-02 18:15
Bally Bet🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.14%EV +3.03%E +0.583%K +0.722%G +0.022%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.28%EV -9.73%E -5.50%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -3.68%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-02 18:15
ATG (SE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.14%EV +3.03%E +0.583%K +0.722%G +0.022%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.28%EV -9.73%E -5.50%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -3.68%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-02 18:15
LiveScore Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.42%EV -0.929%E -0.186%K -0.232%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.24%EV -11.77%E -6.80%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.34%EV -5.14%E -1.58%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-02 18:15
TABtouch🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.42%EV -0.929%E -0.186%K -0.232%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.24%EV -11.77%E -6.80%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.34%EV -5.14%E -1.58%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-02 18:15
Virgin Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.42%EV -0.929%E -0.186%K -0.232%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.24%EV -11.77%E -6.80%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.34%EV -5.14%E -1.58%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-02 18:15
Suprabets🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.32%EV -2.91%E -0.594%K -0.746%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.18%EV -5.65%E -3.06%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.50%EV -6.31%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-02 18:41
Coral🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -4.89%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.16%EV -5.65%E -3.06%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.12%EV -5.14%E -1.58%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-02 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.63%EV -4.89%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.65%E -3.06%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%EV -6.60%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-02 18:45
Bovada🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -4.89%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.00%EV -7.69%E -4.25%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -9.52%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-02 18:40
Marathon Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.21%EV -5.88%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -3.10%E -1.63%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.27%EV -4.27%E -1.30%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-02 18:20
Unibet (UK)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.79%EV -5.88%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.82%EV -5.65%E -3.06%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -6.60%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-02 18:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.79%EV -5.88%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.82%EV -5.65%E -3.06%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -6.60%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-02 18:44
Neds🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.79%EV -5.88%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.82%EV -5.65%E -3.06%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -6.60%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-02 18:44
Bet Victor🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -5.88%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.67%E -3.65%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.14%E -1.58%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-02 18:38
BoyleSports🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -5.88%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -8.20%E -4.56%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -6.60%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-02 18:44
Betway🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -5.88%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -8.20%E -4.56%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -6.60%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-02 18:40
DraftKings🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.67%EV -6.87%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.51%EV -6.67%E -3.65%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -9.52%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-02 18:40
NordicBet🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 19.95%EV -7.86%E -1.69%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.13%EV -5.65%E -3.06%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -9.52%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-02 18:19
Betsson🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 19.95%EV -7.86%E -1.69%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.13%EV -5.65%E -3.06%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -9.52%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-02 18:20
Betclic (FR)🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 19.74%EV -7.86%E -1.69%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.85%EV -9.73%E -5.50%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.41%EV -5.73%E -1.77%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-02 18:20
LeoVegas🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.57%EV -8.85%E -1.92%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.32%EV -4.12%E -2.19%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.11%EV -5.14%E -1.58%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-02 18:45
Winamax (DE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.43%EV -8.85%E -1.92%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.08%EV -6.16%E -3.35%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.48%EV -3.68%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-02 18:45
betano_uk🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -8.85%E -1.92%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.73%EV -5.65%E -3.06%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -5.14%E -1.58%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-02 18:43
MyBookie.ag🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -8.85%E -1.92%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.91%EV -7.18%E -3.95%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.60%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-02 18:40
888sport🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -8.85%E -1.92%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.53%EV -5.65%E -3.06%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -12.44%E -4.15%K -6.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-02 18:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -8.85%E -1.92%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.53%EV -5.65%E -3.06%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -12.44%E -4.15%K -6.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-02 18:40
888sport (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -8.85%E -1.92%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.53%EV -5.65%E -3.06%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -12.44%E -4.15%K -6.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-02 18:40
William Hill🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -8.85%E -1.92%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -6.67%E -3.65%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -12.44%E -4.15%K -6.22%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-02 18:40
TAB🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -10.84%E -2.41%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.80%EV -5.65%E -3.06%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -9.52%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-02 18:20
Winamax (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -10.84%E -2.41%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -8.20%E -4.56%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -5.14%E -1.58%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-02 18:45
BetMGM🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -10.84%E -2.41%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.08%EV -6.67%E -3.65%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -9.52%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-02 18:45
1xBet🎯4.44I 22.52%NM 21.41%EV -12.03%E -2.71%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.04%EV -3.10%E -1.63%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.55%EV -2.81%E -0.843%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-02 18:44
betfred_uk🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -14.20%E -3.28%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.14%EV -6.67%E -3.65%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.60%E -2.06%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-02 18:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.20I 19.23%NM 19.14%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.58%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.28%0.5%2026-10-02 18:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.20I 19.23%NM 19.14%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.58%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.28%0.5%2026-10-02 18:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.84%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.12%1.0%2026-10-02 18:45