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Faroe Islands v Kazakhstan

2026-09-26 16:00 UTC — UEFA Nations League

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Faroe Islands (Local)

Prediction 40.45%2.47fair odd
EV -0.905%
Edge -0.369%
Kelly -0.624%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.36%40.38%40.72%40.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.332.302.4544.44%42.87%43.48%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kazakhstan (Visit)

Prediction 29.57%3.38fair odd
EV -3.90%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -1.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.35%29.53%29.62%31.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.113.103.2533.33%32.20%32.26%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.98%3.34fair odd
EV -2.85%
Edge -0.881%
Kelly -1.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.58%30.09%29.66%30.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.073.093.2433.90%32.60%32.36%30.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Faroe Islands (Local): 40.45%; Kazakhstan (Visit): 29.57%; Draw: 29.98%. For Faroe Islands (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.47. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.45, with an expected value of -0.905%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -0.905%E -0.369%K -0.624%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -11.29%E -3.76%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -7.05%E -2.27%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-21 09:03
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -0.905%E -0.369%K -0.624%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -11.29%E -3.76%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -7.05%E -2.27%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-21 09:04
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -0.905%E -0.369%K -0.624%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -11.29%E -3.76%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -7.05%E -2.27%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-21 09:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -0.905%E -0.369%K -0.624%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -11.29%E -3.76%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -7.05%E -2.27%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-21 09:05
1xBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.74%E -1.57%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.75%EV -4.19%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.75%EV -2.85%E -0.881%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-21 09:08
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.62%EV -3.74%E -1.57%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -5.38%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.92%EV -8.55%E -2.80%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-21 11:24
Casumo🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.62%EV -3.74%E -1.57%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -5.38%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.92%EV -8.55%E -2.80%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-21 11:24
BetRivers🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.62%EV -3.74%E -1.57%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -5.38%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.92%EV -8.55%E -2.80%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-21 11:24
Marathon Bet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -4.55%E -1.93%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.65%EV -4.19%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.65%EV -2.85%E -0.881%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-21 09:12
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.45%EV -6.97%E -3.03%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -6.86%E -2.18%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.01%EV -7.05%E -2.27%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-21 09:09
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.97%E -3.03%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.29%E -3.76%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -7.05%E -2.27%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-21 09:11
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.97%E -3.03%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.29%E -3.76%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -7.05%E -2.27%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-21 09:14
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -6.97%E -3.03%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.05%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-21 09:34
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -6.97%E -3.03%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.29%E -3.76%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.05%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-21 09:14
Virgin Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -7.78%E -3.41%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.66%EV -9.81%E -3.22%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.66%EV -11.55%E -3.91%K -5.92%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-21 11:24
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -7.78%E -3.41%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.66%EV -9.81%E -3.22%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.66%EV -11.55%E -3.91%K -5.92%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-21 11:24
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -8.99%E -4.00%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -3.90%E -1.20%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -10.05%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-21 09:34
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -8.99%E -4.00%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -3.90%E -1.20%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -10.05%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-21 09:34
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -8.99%E -4.00%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.05%E -2.27%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-21 09:09
Suprabets🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.71%EV -8.99%E -4.00%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 29.64%EV -8.63%E -2.79%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 29.64%EV -7.35%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-21 09:10
TAB🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.99%E -4.00%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.33%E -2.69%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.05%E -3.35%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-21 11:23
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48%1.0%2026-09-21 12:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48%1.0%2026-09-21 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48%1.0%2026-09-21 12:54