Language:English
Faroe Islands v Kazakhstan
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Faroe Islands (Local)
Prediction 51.46%1.94fair odd
EV -0.168%
Edge -0.086%
Kelly -0.178%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.94
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.46%51.43%51.18%54.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.791.761.9458.48%55.77%56.82%51.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Kazakhstan (Visit)
Prediction 20.55%4.87fair odd
EV +4.82%
Edge +0.945%
Kelly +1.18%
Growth +0.057%
assuming max odds 5.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.57%20.59%20.61%22.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.304.604.505.1023.26%21.74%22.22%19.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.99%3.57fair odd
EV -0.644%
Edge -0.182%
Kelly -0.253%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.31%27.98%28.21%28.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.353.303.5532.26%29.88%30.30%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Faroe Islands (Local): 51.46%; Kazakhstan (Visit): 20.55%; Draw: 27.99%. For Kazakhstan (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.87. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.82%.
Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.13%EV -9.94%E -5.68%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.57%EV +4.82%E +0.945%K +1.18%G +0.057% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.30%EV -2.88%E -0.831%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-26 15:57 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.26%EV -9.94%E -5.68%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.99%EV +2.76%E +0.552%K +0.691%G +0.019% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75%EV -0.644%E -0.182%K -0.253%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-26 15:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.50%EV -9.43%E -5.36%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV +0.707%E +0.144%K +0.181%G +0.001% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -3.44%E -0.998%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-26 15:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.50%EV -9.43%E -5.36%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV +0.707%E +0.144%K +0.181%G +0.001% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -3.44%E -0.998%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-26 15:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -9.94%E -5.68%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.16%EV +0.707%E +0.144%K +0.181%G +0.001% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -3.44%E -0.998%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-26 15:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.88%EV -9.94%E -5.68%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.90%EV -4.43%E -0.953%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -4.84%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-26 15:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.88%EV -9.94%E -5.68%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.90%EV -4.43%E -0.953%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -4.84%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-26 15:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.95%EV -4.80%E -2.59%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV -5.46%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-26 16:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -9.94%E -5.68%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.83%EV -5.46%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -9.04%E -2.78%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-26 15:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.91%EV -12.00%E -7.02%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.67%EV -5.46%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-26 15:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.91%EV -12.00%E -7.02%K -16.91%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.67%EV -5.46%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-26 15:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -3.77%E -2.02%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.51%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -6.24%E -1.86%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-26 16:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -4.80%E -2.59%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -7.51%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-26 15:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -4.80%E -2.59%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -7.51%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-26 15:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -4.80%E -2.59%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -7.51%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-26 16:01 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.40%EV -7.37%E -4.10%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -7.51%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-26 15:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -5.83%E -3.18%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -7.51%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-26 15:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -10.97%E -6.34%K -15.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -7.51%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -2.04%E -0.584%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-26 15:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -9.94%E -5.68%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -7.51%E -1.67%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -4.84%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-26 15:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.95%EV -3.26%E -1.73%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -10.60%E -2.44%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.64%E -2.32%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-26 16:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.80%EV -9.94%E -5.68%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.53%EV -11.01%E -2.54%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -13.24%E -4.27%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-26 16:01 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.46%EV -0.168%E -0.086%K -0.178%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.32%EV -11.62%E -2.70%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.22%EV -4.84%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-26 16:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.79%EV -4.80%E -2.59%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.42%EV -11.62%E -2.70%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -10.44%E -3.26%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-26 15:58 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.68% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.19% | 0.8% | 2026-09-26 16:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.13% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.68% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.19% | 0.8% | 2026-09-26 16:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.79% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.64% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.57% | 0.9% | 2026-09-26 16:00 |