Language:English
England v Czech Republic
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
England (Local)
Prediction 84.56%1.18fair odd
EV -3.60%
Edge -3.15%
Kelly -25.69%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.14
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
82.16%84.43%84.47%86.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.081.121.121.1492.59%89.62%89.29%87.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Czech Republic (Visit)
Prediction 5.06%19.76fair odd
EV +46.79%
Edge +1.61%
Kelly +1.67%
Growth +0.782%
assuming max odds 29.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
3.27%5.04%5.12%6.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
15.0019.3818.5029.006.67%5.16%5.41%3.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 10.37%9.64fair odd
EV +8.93%
Edge +0.850%
Kelly +0.939%
Growth +0.084%
assuming max odds 10.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.93%10.53%10.41%13.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.008.808.7510.5014.29%11.36%11.43%9.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: England (Local): 84.56%; Czech Republic (Visit): 5.06%; Draw: 10.37%. For Czech Republic (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 19.76. 18 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 29.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +46.79%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.20%EV -6.98%E -6.34%K -69.79%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.27%EV +46.79%E +1.61%K +1.67%G +0.782% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -6.64%E -0.737%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-05 15:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.14%EV -3.60%E -3.15%K -25.69%G +0.000% | 27.00I 3.70%NM 3.51%EV +36.67%E +1.36%K +1.41%G +0.517% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.35%EV -26.35%E -3.71%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-05 13:46 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.14%EV -3.60%E -3.15%K -25.69%G +0.000% | 27.00I 3.70%NM 3.51%EV +36.67%E +1.36%K +1.41%G +0.517% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.35%EV -26.35%E -3.71%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-05 13:46 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.61%EV -6.98%E -6.34%K -69.79%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.62%EV +31.60%E +1.22%K +1.26%G +0.400% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.76%EV -9.23%E -1.05%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-05 15:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.27%EV -3.60%E -3.15%K -25.69%G +0.000% | 24.00I 4.17%NM 4.05%EV +21.48%E +0.895%K +0.934%G +0.201% | 9.10I 10.99%NM 10.68%EV -5.60%E -0.615%K -0.691%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-10-05 09:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.27%EV -3.60%E -3.15%K -25.69%G +0.000% | 24.00I 4.17%NM 4.05%EV +21.48%E +0.895%K +0.934%G +0.201% | 9.10I 10.99%NM 10.68%EV -5.60%E -0.615%K -0.691%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-10-05 09:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.50%EV -3.60%E -3.15%K -25.69%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.24%EV +16.42%E +0.714%K +0.746%G +0.123% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.26%EV -1.45%E -0.153%K -0.170%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-10-05 14:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.50%EV -3.60%E -3.15%K -25.69%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.24%EV +16.42%E +0.714%K +0.746%G +0.123% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.26%EV -1.45%E -0.153%K -0.170%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-10-05 14:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.50%EV -3.60%E -3.15%K -25.69%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.24%EV +16.42%E +0.714%K +0.746%G +0.123% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.26%EV -1.45%E -0.153%K -0.170%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-10-05 14:41 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.47%EV -6.98%E -6.34%K -69.79%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.09%EV +16.42%E +0.714%K +0.746%G +0.123% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -6.64%E -0.737%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-05 09:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.15%EV -3.60%E -3.15%K -25.69%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.57%EV +6.30%E +0.300%K +0.315%G +0.020% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.29%EV -11.82%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-05 15:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV -5.29%E -4.72%K -44.06%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.53%EV +6.30%E +0.300%K +0.315%G +0.020% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.57%EV -6.64%E -0.737%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-05 08:56 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.49%EV -6.13%E -5.53%K -55.76%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.52%EV +6.30%E +0.300%K +0.315%G +0.020% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.99%EV -1.45%E -0.153%K -0.170%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-05 15:16 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.80%EV -5.29%E -4.72%K -44.06%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV +6.30%E +0.300%K +0.315%G +0.020% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -17.01%E -2.13%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-05 09:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.80%EV -5.29%E -4.72%K -44.06%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV +6.30%E +0.300%K +0.315%G +0.020% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -17.01%E -2.13%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-05 09:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.80%EV -5.29%E -4.72%K -44.06%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV +6.30%E +0.300%K +0.315%G +0.020% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -17.01%E -2.13%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-05 09:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -3.60%E -3.15%K -25.69%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.46%EV +6.30%E +0.300%K +0.315%G +0.020% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -27.38%E -3.91%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-04 20:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.84%EV -8.67%E -8.03%K -108.38%G +0.000% | 20.05I 4.99%NM 4.57%EV +1.49%E +0.074%K +0.078%G +0.001% | 8.65I 11.56%NM 10.59%EV -10.27%E -1.19%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-05 15:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.40%EV -5.29%E -4.72%K -44.06%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.03%EV -3.83%E -0.201%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.56%EV +3.74%E +0.374%K +0.415%G +0.016% | 4.5% | 2026-10-05 06:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.53%EV -6.13%E -5.53%K -55.76%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.88%EV -3.83%E -0.201%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV -17.01%E -2.13%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-05 15:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.47%EV -8.67%E -8.03%K -108.38%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.80%EV -3.83%E -0.201%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.73%EV -11.82%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-05 11:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.47%EV -8.67%E -8.03%K -108.38%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.80%EV -3.83%E -0.201%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.73%EV -11.82%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-05 11:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.06%EV -6.13%E -5.53%K -55.76%G +0.000% | 18.52I 5.40%NM 5.10%EV -6.26%E -0.338%K -0.357%G +0.000% | 9.59I 10.43%NM 9.84%EV -0.515%E -0.054%K -0.060%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-05 15:11 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.77%EV -5.29%E -4.72%K -44.06%G +0.000% | 18.50I 5.41%NM 5.13%EV -6.36%E -0.344%K -0.363%G +0.000% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.10%EV -2.49%E -0.264%K -0.296%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-05 15:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.76%EV -5.29%E -4.72%K -44.06%G +0.000% | 18.50I 5.41%NM 5.13%EV -6.36%E -0.344%K -0.363%G +0.000% | 9.39I 10.65%NM 10.11%EV -2.59%E -0.276%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-05 14:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.76%EV -5.29%E -4.72%K -44.06%G +0.000% | 18.50I 5.41%NM 5.13%EV -6.36%E -0.344%K -0.363%G +0.000% | 9.39I 10.65%NM 10.11%EV -2.59%E -0.276%K -0.309%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-05 14:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.87%EV -5.29%E -4.72%K -44.06%G +0.000% | 18.50I 5.41%NM 5.08%EV -6.36%E -0.344%K -0.363%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.05%EV -11.82%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-05 14:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.29%E -4.72%K -44.06%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.24%EV -8.89%E -0.494%K -0.523%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV -6.64%E -0.737%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-05 14:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.75%EV -5.29%E -4.72%K -44.06%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.21%EV -8.89%E -0.494%K -0.523%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.04%EV -11.82%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-05 14:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.75%EV -5.29%E -4.72%K -44.06%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.21%EV -8.89%E -0.494%K -0.523%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.04%EV -11.82%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-05 14:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.75%EV -5.29%E -4.72%K -44.06%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.21%EV -8.89%E -0.494%K -0.523%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.04%EV -11.82%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-05 14:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 83.79%EV -7.82%E -7.18%K -86.94%G +0.000% | 17.75I 5.63%NM 5.15%EV -10.15%E -0.572%K -0.606%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.07%EV -14.42%E -1.75%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-05 14:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.36%EV -4.44%E -3.93%K -34.17%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -13.95%E -0.821%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.03%EV -1.45%E -0.153%K -0.170%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-05 11:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.36%EV -4.44%E -3.93%K -34.17%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -13.95%E -0.821%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.03%EV -1.45%E -0.153%K -0.170%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-05 11:51 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.01%EV -6.13%E -5.53%K -55.76%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.55%EV -13.95%E -0.821%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.44%EV +3.74%E +0.374%K +0.415%G +0.016% | 6.0% | 2026-10-05 14:16 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.37%EV -6.13%E -5.53%K -55.76%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.51%EV -13.95%E -0.821%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.12%EV -4.04%E -0.437%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-05 14:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.62%EV -6.13%E -5.53%K -55.76%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -13.95%E -0.821%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -11.82%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-05 14:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.62%EV -6.13%E -5.53%K -55.76%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -13.95%E -0.821%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -11.82%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-05 14:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.62%EV -6.13%E -5.53%K -55.76%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -13.95%E -0.821%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -11.82%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-05 14:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.62%EV -6.13%E -5.53%K -55.76%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -13.95%E -0.821%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -11.82%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-05 14:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.62%EV -6.13%E -5.53%K -55.76%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -13.95%E -0.821%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -11.82%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-05 14:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.62%EV -6.13%E -5.53%K -55.76%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -13.95%E -0.821%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -11.82%E -1.39%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-05 14:40 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.64%EV -6.98%E -6.34%K -69.79%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.41%EV -13.95%E -0.821%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 10.95%EV -12.86%E -1.53%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-05 14:58 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.44%EV -6.13%E -5.53%K -55.76%G +0.000% | 16.75I 5.97%NM 5.53%EV -15.22%E -0.908%K -0.966%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.03%EV -12.86%E -1.53%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-05 14:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.22%EV -4.44%E -3.93%K -34.17%G +0.000% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.77%EV -16.48%E -0.999%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.02%EV -1.45%E -0.153%K -0.170%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 12:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.72%EV -5.29%E -4.72%K -44.06%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.86%EV -19.01%E -1.19%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.42%EV -6.64%E -0.737%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-05 11:51 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.72%EV -5.29%E -4.72%K -44.06%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.86%EV -19.01%E -1.19%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.42%EV -6.64%E -0.737%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-05 11:51 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.21%EV -6.98%E -6.34%K -69.79%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.86%EV -19.01%E -1.19%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV +8.93%E +0.850%K +0.939%G +0.084% | 6.7% | 2026-10-05 14:45 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.89%EV -6.13%E -5.53%K -55.76%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.75%EV -19.01%E -1.19%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.36%EV -15.97%E -1.97%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-05 14:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.52%EV -6.13%E -5.53%K -55.76%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV -24.07%E -1.60%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.30%EV -6.64%E -0.737%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-05 14:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.22%EV -7.82%E -7.18%K -86.94%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.12%EV -24.07%E -1.60%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.66%EV -1.45%E -0.153%K -0.170%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-05 05:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.14% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.92% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.93% | 0.7% | 2026-10-05 14:46 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.14% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.92% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.93% | 0.7% | 2026-10-05 14:46 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.14% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.92% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.93% | 0.7% | 2026-10-05 14:46 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.14% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.92% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.93% | 0.7% | 2026-10-05 14:50 |