Language:English
Denmark v Portugal
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Denmark (Local)
Prediction 24.35%4.11fair odd
EV +2.76%
Edge +0.654%
Kelly +0.857%
Growth +0.024%
assuming max odds 4.22
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.88%24.38%24.25%26.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.833.804.2227.78%26.08%26.32%23.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Portugal (Visit)
Prediction 50.12%2.00fair odd
EV -1.76%
Edge -0.896%
Kelly -1.83%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.96
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.72%50.05%50.32%52.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.881.881.9655.56%53.08%53.19%51.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.52%3.92fair odd
EV -1.99%
Edge -0.517%
Kelly -0.699%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.84
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.67%25.57%25.43%26.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.643.653.8428.99%27.46%27.40%26.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Denmark (Local): 24.35%; Portugal (Visit): 50.12%; Draw: 25.52%. For Denmark (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.11. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.22, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.76%.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.90%EV +2.76%E +0.654%K +0.857%G +0.024% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.67%EV -6.27%E -3.35%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.43%EV -3.01%E -0.791%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-01 18:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.19I 23.87%NM 22.88%EV +2.03%E +0.484%K +0.636%G +0.013% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.10%EV -7.77%E -4.22%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.03%EV -2.24%E -0.585%K -0.792%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-01 18:40 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -0.162%E -0.039%K -0.052%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.04%EV -6.77%E -3.64%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.80%EV -6.07%E -1.65%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-01 18:38 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.60%EV -0.405%E -0.099%K -0.131%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.07%EV -5.26%E -2.79%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 25.33%EV -2.75%E -0.722%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-01 18:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -2.60%E -0.649%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.86%EV -6.27%E -3.35%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36%EV -4.28%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-01 18:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.33%EV -3.08%E -0.775%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.44%EV -3.76%E -1.96%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 25.22%EV -1.99%E -0.517%K -0.699%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-01 18:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.49%EV -3.81%E -0.966%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.36%EV -1.76%E -0.896%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -5.56%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-01 18:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.49%EV -3.81%E -0.966%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.36%EV -1.76%E -0.896%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -5.56%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-01 18:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.49%EV -3.81%E -0.966%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.36%EV -1.76%E -0.896%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -5.56%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-01 18:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.95%EV -3.81%E -0.966%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.78%EV -4.76%E -2.51%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -8.11%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-01 18:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.95%EV -3.81%E -0.966%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.78%EV -4.76%E -2.51%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -8.11%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-01 18:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.79%EV -3.81%E -0.966%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -7.27%E -3.93%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -5.56%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-01 18:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -5.03%E -1.29%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.96%EV -7.77%E -4.22%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.28%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-01 18:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV -6.25%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.16%EV -4.26%E -2.23%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -9.39%E -2.64%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-01 18:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV -6.25%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.16%EV -4.26%E -2.23%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -9.39%E -2.64%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-01 18:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV -6.25%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.16%EV -4.26%E -2.23%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -9.39%E -2.64%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-01 18:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -6.25%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.45%EV -7.77%E -4.22%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -6.84%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-01 18:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -6.25%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.23%EV -8.27%E -4.52%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -9.39%E -2.64%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-01 18:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -7.47%E -1.97%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.53%EV -4.26%E -2.23%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -5.56%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-01 18:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -7.47%E -1.97%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.27%E -3.35%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -3.01%E -0.791%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-01 18:36 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -7.47%E -1.97%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.27%E -3.93%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -3.01%E -0.791%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-01 18:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -7.47%E -1.97%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.32%EV -4.76%E -2.51%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -8.11%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-01 18:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -7.47%E -1.97%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -7.27%E -3.93%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -4.28%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-01 18:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -7.47%E -1.97%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -8.27%E -4.52%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -4.28%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-01 18:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -7.47%E -1.97%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -9.78%E -5.43%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -5.56%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-01 18:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -7.47%E -1.97%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.27%E -3.93%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -10.66%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-01 18:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -7.47%E -1.97%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.27%E -3.93%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -10.66%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-01 18:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -7.47%E -1.97%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -7.27%E -3.93%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -10.66%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-01 18:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -8.68%E -2.32%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.37%EV -4.26%E -2.23%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -5.56%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-01 18:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -8.68%E -2.32%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -4.26%E -2.23%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -8.11%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-01 18:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -8.68%E -2.32%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -4.26%E -2.23%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -8.11%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-01 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -8.68%E -2.32%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -4.26%E -2.23%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -8.11%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-01 18:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -8.68%E -2.32%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -4.26%E -2.23%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -8.11%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-01 18:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -8.68%E -2.32%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.06%EV -5.77%E -3.07%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.66%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-01 18:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -8.68%E -2.32%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -5.77%E -3.07%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -11.94%E -3.46%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-01 18:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -8.68%E -2.32%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -5.77%E -3.07%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -11.94%E -3.46%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-01 18:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -8.68%E -2.32%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -5.77%E -3.07%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -11.94%E -3.46%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-01 18:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -8.68%E -2.32%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -7.27%E -3.93%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -10.66%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-01 18:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -9.90%E -2.68%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -5.77%E -3.07%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -6.84%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-01 18:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -9.90%E -2.68%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.12%EV -5.26%E -2.79%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -8.11%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-01 18:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -12.34%E -3.43%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -2.26%E -1.16%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -4.28%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-01 18:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -12.34%E -3.43%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.42%EV -5.77%E -3.07%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -4.28%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-01 18:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -12.34%E -3.43%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.52%EV -6.77%E -3.64%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -5.56%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-01 18:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -12.34%E -3.43%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.72%EV -3.26%E -1.69%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -11.94%E -3.46%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-01 18:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.18% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.91% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.92% | 0.3% | 2026-10-01 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.49% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85% | 0.6% | 2026-10-01 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.49% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85% | 0.6% | 2026-10-01 18:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.49% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85% | 0.6% | 2026-10-01 18:40 |