Language:English
Czech Republic v England
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Czech Republic (Local)
Prediction 10.17%9.84fair odd
EV +6.74%
Edge +0.642%
Kelly +0.710%
Growth +0.048%
assuming max odds 10.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.22%10.27%10.24%12.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.259.099.0010.5013.79%11.00%11.11%9.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
England (Visit)
Prediction 72.88%1.37fair odd
EV -3.07%
Edge -2.31%
Kelly -9.30%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.16%72.72%72.83%74.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.291.291.3380.00%77.48%77.52%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 16.95%5.90fair odd
EV +1.72%
Edge +0.287%
Kelly +0.345%
Growth +0.006%
assuming max odds 6.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.46%17.00%16.93%18.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.515.506.0020.00%18.16%18.18%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Czech Republic (Local): 10.17%; England (Visit): 72.88%; Draw: 16.95%. For Czech Republic (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.84. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 10.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.74%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.24%EV +6.74%E +0.642%K +0.710%G +0.048% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.60%EV -5.26%E -4.04%K -17.52%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.16%EV +1.72%E +0.287%K +0.345%G +0.006% | 3.1% | 2026-09-29 18:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.24%EV +6.74%E +0.642%K +0.710%G +0.048% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.60%EV -5.26%E -4.04%K -17.52%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.16%EV +1.72%E +0.287%K +0.345%G +0.006% | 3.1% | 2026-09-29 18:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.24%EV +6.74%E +0.642%K +0.710%G +0.048% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.60%EV -5.26%E -4.04%K -17.52%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.16%EV +1.72%E +0.287%K +0.345%G +0.006% | 3.1% | 2026-09-29 18:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.22%EV +6.74%E +0.642%K +0.710%G +0.048% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.93%EV -4.53%E -3.46%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.84%EV -2.51%E -0.437%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-29 18:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 10.15I 9.85%NM 9.54%EV +3.19%E +0.314%K +0.348%G +0.011% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.91%EV -4.53%E -3.46%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 16.55%EV -0.818%E -0.140%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-29 18:31 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.89%EV -0.372%E -0.038%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.41%EV -3.80%E -2.88%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.71%EV -1.67%E -0.287%K -0.347%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.64%EV -0.372%E -0.038%K -0.042%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.20%EV -5.99%E -4.64%K -20.64%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.75%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-29 18:38 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.57%EV -0.880%E -0.090%K -0.101%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.47%EV -7.44%E -5.86%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV -6.75%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-29 18:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 9.70I 10.31%NM 9.70%EV -1.39%E -0.143%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.38%EV -5.26%E -4.04%K -17.52%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.92%EV -10.99%E -2.09%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-29 18:38 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 9.70I 10.31%NM 9.70%EV -1.39%E -0.143%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.38%EV -5.26%E -4.04%K -17.52%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.92%EV -10.99%E -2.09%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-29 18:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 9.63I 10.38%NM 9.98%EV -2.10%E -0.218%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.80%EV -3.80%E -2.88%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 5.58I 17.92%NM 17.22%EV -5.40%E -0.967%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-29 18:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.97%EV -3.42%E -0.360%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -5.26%E -4.04%K -17.52%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -6.75%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-29 18:31 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV -3.42%E -0.360%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.97%EV -5.99%E -4.64%K -20.64%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -6.75%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-29 18:39 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV -3.42%E -0.360%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.97%EV -5.99%E -4.64%K -20.64%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -6.75%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-29 18:38 |
| Casumo🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV -3.42%E -0.360%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.13%EV -6.71%E -5.25%K -23.98%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -6.75%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-29 18:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV -3.42%E -0.360%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.13%EV -6.71%E -5.25%K -23.98%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -6.75%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-29 18:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV -3.42%E -0.360%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.13%EV -6.71%E -5.25%K -23.98%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -6.75%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-29 18:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -3.42%E -0.360%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.59%EV -5.26%E -4.04%K -17.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.61%EV -15.23%E -3.05%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-29 18:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -3.42%E -0.360%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -8.90%E -7.12%K -35.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -6.75%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-29 18:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.18%EV -5.96%E -0.645%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.00%EV -5.99%E -4.64%K -20.64%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.82%EV -5.06%E -0.903%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV -8.51%E -0.945%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.12%EV -5.99%E -4.64%K -20.64%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -2.51%E -0.437%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-29 18:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV -8.51%E -0.945%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.42%EV -5.26%E -4.04%K -17.52%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -6.75%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.46%EV -8.51%E -0.945%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.42%EV -5.26%E -4.04%K -17.52%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -6.75%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-29 18:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV -8.51%E -0.945%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.58%EV -5.99%E -4.64%K -20.64%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -6.75%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-29 18:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV -8.51%E -0.945%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -8.17%E -6.49%K -31.43%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV +1.72%E +0.287%K +0.345%G +0.006% | 7.1% | 2026-09-29 18:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -8.51%E -0.945%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.10%EV -7.44%E -5.86%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV -5.06%E -0.903%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-29 18:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV -8.51%E -0.945%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.90%E -7.12%K -35.60%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV +1.72%E +0.287%K +0.345%G +0.006% | 7.8% | 2026-09-29 18:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -8.51%E -0.945%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -5.26%E -4.04%K -17.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -15.23%E -3.05%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-29 18:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -8.51%E -0.945%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -5.26%E -4.04%K -17.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -15.23%E -3.05%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-29 18:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -8.51%E -0.945%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -5.26%E -4.04%K -17.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -15.23%E -3.05%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-29 18:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.26%EV -8.51%E -0.945%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.15%EV -6.71%E -5.25%K -23.98%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -10.99%E -2.09%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -8.51%E -0.945%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.66%EV -7.44%E -5.86%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -8.45%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-29 18:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -8.51%E -0.945%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.66%EV -7.44%E -5.86%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -8.45%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-29 18:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -8.51%E -0.945%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.66%EV -7.44%E -5.86%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -8.45%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-29 18:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%EV -8.51%E -0.945%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.43%EV -7.44%E -5.86%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.35%EV -10.14%E -1.91%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-29 18:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -8.51%E -0.945%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.00%EV -8.90%E -7.12%K -35.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -15.23%E -3.05%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-29 18:31 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.91%EV -13.59%E -1.60%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.91%EV -5.99%E -4.64%K -20.64%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -8.45%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-29 18:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -13.59%E -1.60%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -8.90%E -7.12%K -35.60%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.59%EV +0.029%E +0.005%K +0.006%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-29 18:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -13.59%E -1.60%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -5.99%E -4.64%K -20.64%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -15.23%E -3.05%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-29 18:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -13.59%E -1.60%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.03%EV -8.17%E -6.49%K -31.43%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.29%EV -10.99%E -2.09%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-29 18:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -13.59%E -1.60%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.03%EV -8.17%E -6.49%K -31.43%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.29%EV -10.99%E -2.09%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-29 18:25 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.74%EV -19.69%E -2.49%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.77%EV -4.53%E -3.46%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.49%EV -10.14%E -1.91%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-29 18:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -23.75%E -3.17%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.99%EV -3.07%E -2.31%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -2.51%E -0.437%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-29 18:31 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -23.75%E -3.17%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.99%EV -3.07%E -2.31%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -2.51%E -0.437%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-29 18:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -23.75%E -3.17%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.99%EV -3.07%E -2.31%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -2.51%E -0.437%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-29 18:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -23.75%E -3.17%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.99%EV -3.07%E -2.31%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -2.51%E -0.437%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-29 18:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.87%EV -26.30%E -3.63%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.16%EV -3.07%E -2.31%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -6.75%E -1.23%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-29 18:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.65% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.32% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.04% | 0.6% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.60% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.92% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48% | 1.1% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.60% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.46% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.94% | 1.2% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.60% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.46% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.94% | 1.2% | 2026-09-29 18:40 |