Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.58
assuming max odds 7.08
assuming max odds 4.03
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cyprus (Local): 60.21%; Latvia (Visit): 15.10%; Draw: 24.69%. For Latvia (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.62. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.08, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.90%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.21%EV -6.08%E -3.89%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 7.08I 14.12%NM 13.71%EV +6.90%E +0.975%K +1.14%G +0.078% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 24.08%EV -0.488%E -0.121%K -0.161%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-10-05 14:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.77%EV -5.47%E -3.49%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.45%EV -0.347%E -0.053%K -0.062%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.78%EV -4.93%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-05 14:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.66%EV -4.87%E -3.08%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 6.55I 15.27%NM 14.63%EV -1.10%E -0.168%K -0.198%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.70%EV -4.19%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-05 15:13 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.43%EV -5.47%E -3.49%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -1.86%E -0.286%K -0.338%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -6.17%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-05 15:05 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.43%EV -5.47%E -3.49%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -1.86%E -0.286%K -0.338%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -6.17%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-05 14:58 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.74%EV -6.68%E -4.31%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.48%EV -1.86%E -0.286%K -0.338%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -6.17%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-05 15:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.74%EV -6.68%E -4.31%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.48%EV -1.86%E -0.286%K -0.338%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -6.17%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-05 15:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.74%EV -6.68%E -4.31%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.48%EV -1.86%E -0.286%K -0.338%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -6.17%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-05 15:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.74%EV -6.68%E -4.31%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.48%EV -1.86%E -0.286%K -0.338%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -6.17%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-05 15:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.54%EV -6.68%E -4.31%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.86%E -0.286%K -0.338%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -7.40%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-05 15:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.65%EV -7.88%E -5.15%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.28%EV -1.86%E -0.286%K -0.338%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -8.64%E -2.33%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-05 15:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.65%EV -7.88%E -5.15%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.28%EV -1.86%E -0.286%K -0.338%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -8.64%E -2.33%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-05 15:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.65%EV -7.88%E -5.15%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.28%EV -1.86%E -0.286%K -0.338%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -8.64%E -2.33%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-05 15:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.25%EV -6.08%E -3.89%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.69%EV -3.37%E -0.526%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -7.40%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-05 15:16 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.64%EV -6.68%E -4.31%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.67%EV -4.88%E -0.774%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -11.11%E -3.08%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-05 15:01 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.28%EV -5.47%E -3.49%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.14%EV -5.63%E -0.901%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.58%EV -4.93%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-05 15:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.43%EV -6.08%E -3.89%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -5.63%E -0.901%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.49%EV -4.93%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-05 15:16 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.43%EV -6.08%E -3.89%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -5.63%E -0.901%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.49%EV -4.93%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-05 15:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.43%EV -6.08%E -3.89%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -5.63%E -0.901%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.49%EV -4.93%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-05 15:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.43%EV -6.08%E -3.89%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -5.63%E -0.901%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.49%EV -4.93%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-05 15:16 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.43%EV -6.08%E -3.89%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -5.63%E -0.901%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.49%EV -4.93%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-05 15:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.43%EV -6.08%E -3.89%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -5.63%E -0.901%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.49%EV -4.93%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-05 15:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.43%EV -6.08%E -3.89%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -5.63%E -0.901%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.49%EV -4.93%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-05 15:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.89%EV -5.47%E -3.49%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.04%EV -5.63%E -0.901%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -7.40%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-05 15:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.61%EV -8.48%E -5.58%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.98%EV -5.63%E -0.901%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -1.23%E -0.307%K -0.410%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-05 14:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.55%EV -7.28%E -4.73%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -5.63%E -0.901%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.17%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-05 15:12 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.30%EV -7.88%E -5.15%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.76%EV -5.63%E -0.901%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -8.64%E -2.33%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-05 15:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.43%EV -7.88%E -5.15%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.91%EV -6.39%E -1.03%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -7.40%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-05 14:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.82%EV -6.08%E -3.89%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.30%EV -7.90%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -7.40%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-05 15:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.67%EV -7.88%E -5.15%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.97%EV -7.90%E -1.29%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -11.11%E -3.08%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-05 15:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.51%EV -5.47%E -3.49%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -9.41%E -1.57%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -7.40%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-05 15:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.02%EV -6.68%E -4.31%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -9.41%E -1.57%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -6.17%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-05 15:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.02%EV -6.68%E -4.31%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.50%EV -9.41%E -1.57%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -6.17%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-05 15:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.82%EV -6.68%E -4.31%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -9.41%E -1.57%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -7.40%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-05 15:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.26%EV -6.08%E -3.89%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -9.41%E -1.57%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -9.87%E -2.70%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-05 15:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.33%EV -7.88%E -5.15%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -9.41%E -1.57%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -6.17%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-05 13:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.33%EV -7.88%E -5.15%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -9.41%E -1.57%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -6.17%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-05 14:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.32%EV -4.87%E -3.08%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -9.41%E -1.57%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -13.57%E -3.88%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-05 15:16 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.78%EV -7.28%E -4.73%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -9.41%E -1.57%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -8.64%E -2.33%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-05 15:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.78%EV -7.28%E -4.73%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -9.41%E -1.57%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -8.64%E -2.33%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-05 15:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.78%EV -7.28%E -4.73%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -9.41%E -1.57%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -8.64%E -2.33%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-05 15:16 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.36%EV -9.69%E -6.46%K -19.38%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -9.41%E -1.57%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -2.46%E -0.624%K -0.835%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-05 14:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.13%EV -7.88%E -5.15%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.33%EV -9.41%E -1.57%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -7.40%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-05 15:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -9.69%E -6.46%K -19.38%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -9.41%E -1.57%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.11%E -3.08%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-05 15:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.59%EV -4.87%E -3.08%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.69%EV -10.92%E -1.85%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -11.11%E -3.08%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-05 15:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.66%EV -6.08%E -3.89%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.92%EV -13.18%E -2.29%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -11.11%E -3.08%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-05 15:15 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.82% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.25% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.93% | 0.3% | 2026-10-05 15:16 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.82% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.25% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.93% | 0.3% | 2026-10-05 15:16 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.96% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.20% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.84% | 0.6% | 2026-10-05 15:16 |