L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
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Belarus v Albania

2026-11-15 17:00 UTC — UEFA Nations League

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Belarus (Local)

Prévision 22.75%4.40cote équitable
EV +3.50%
Avantage +0.769%
Kelly +0.986%
Croissance +0.035%

avec la cote maximale 4.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.89%22.66%22.81%24.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.604.004.004.5527.78%24.99%25.00%21.98%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Albania (Visiteur)

Prévision 48.66%2.06cote équitable
EV -2.69%
Avantage -1.34%
Kelly -2.69%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.03%48.72%48.55%50.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.831.921.922.0054.64%52.08%52.08%50.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 28.60%3.50cote équitable
EV -3.34%
Avantage -0.989%
Kelly -1.40%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.75%28.61%28.63%29.94%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.253.253.3833.33%30.81%30.77%29.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Belarus (Local) : 22.75% ; Albania (Visiteur) : 48.66% ; Match nul : 28.60%. Pour Belarus (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 4.40. 2 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 4.55, pour une espérance positive de +3.50%.

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag🎯4.55I 21.98%NM 20.89%EV +3.50%E +0.769%K +0.986%G +0.035%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.30%EV -8.04%E -4.25%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -5.63%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-13 21:30
LowVig.ag🎯4.55I 21.98%NM 20.89%EV +3.50%E +0.769%K +0.986%G +0.035%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.30%EV -8.04%E -4.25%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -5.63%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-13 21:30
Pinnacle🎯4.36I 22.94%NM 21.74%EV -0.822%E -0.189%K -0.245%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.88%EV -7.55%E -3.98%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.38%EV -4.49%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-13 21:40
BoyleSports🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -1.50%E -0.347%K -0.452%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.60%EV -9.01%E -4.82%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -8.49%E -2.65%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-13 21:44
1xBet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.82%EV -3.32%E -0.782%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.49%EV -2.69%E -1.34%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.69%EV -3.34%E -0.989%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.1%2026-11-13 21:30
NordicBet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.22%EV -3.32%E -0.782%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.17%EV -6.58%E -3.43%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.61%EV -5.63%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-13 21:30
Betsson🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.22%EV -3.32%E -0.782%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.17%EV -6.58%E -3.43%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.61%EV -5.63%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-13 21:30
Marathon Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.84%EV -4.46%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -3.66%E -1.85%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.72%EV -4.49%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-13 21:25
Betway🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -4.46%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.57%EV -8.53%E -4.54%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -5.63%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-13 21:29
Bovada🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -4.46%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.62%EV -9.50%E -5.11%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -7.06%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-13 21:29
BetUS🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -9.01%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -5.12%E -2.63%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -5.63%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-13 21:30
Unibet (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -9.01%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -5.12%E -2.63%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.06%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-13 21:34
theScore Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -9.01%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -5.12%E -2.63%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.06%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-13 21:35
Casumo🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -9.01%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -5.12%E -2.63%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -8.49%E -2.65%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-13 21:35
ReBet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -9.01%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.16%EV -6.58%E -3.43%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.72%EV -7.92%E -2.46%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-13 21:40
888sport🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.01%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -5.12%E -2.63%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -11.35%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-13 21:30
888sport (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.01%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -5.12%E -2.63%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -11.35%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-13 21:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.01%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -5.12%E -2.63%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -11.35%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-13 21:30
betfred_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -9.01%E -2.25%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.49%EV -10.96%E -5.99%K -13.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.87%EV -7.06%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.4%2026-11-13 21:45
MyBookie.ag🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -10.15%E -2.57%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.07%EV -7.07%E -3.70%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -8.49%E -2.65%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-13 21:39
Betclic (FR)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 22.85%EV -10.15%E -2.57%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.78%EV -9.99%E -5.40%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.38%EV -9.06%E -2.85%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.8%2026-11-13 21:44
Unibet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -11.29%E -2.89%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.65%EV -3.66%E -1.85%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -4.20%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-13 21:35
Unibet (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -11.29%E -2.89%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.77%EV -4.15%E -2.11%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.09%EV -4.20%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-13 21:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -11.29%E -2.89%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.77%EV -4.15%E -2.11%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.09%EV -4.20%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-13 21:35
ATG (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -11.29%E -2.89%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.77%EV -4.15%E -2.11%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.09%EV -4.20%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-13 21:35
Bally Bet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -11.29%E -2.89%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.77%EV -4.15%E -2.11%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.09%EV -4.20%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-13 21:35
Winamax (DE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -11.29%E -2.89%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.42%EV -6.58%E -3.43%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -4.20%E -1.25%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-13 21:30
LeoVegas🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -11.29%E -2.89%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.14%EV -7.07%E -3.70%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -7.06%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-13 21:35
William Hill🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -11.29%E -2.89%K -3.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.03%EV -7.07%E -3.70%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -14.21%E -4.74%K -7.10%G +0.000%11.3%2026-11-13 21:45
Virgin Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -13.56%E -3.57%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.45%EV -5.61%E -2.89%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -7.06%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-13 21:35
LiveScore Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -13.56%E -3.57%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.45%EV -5.61%E -2.89%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -7.06%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-13 21:35
TABtouch🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -13.56%E -3.57%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.58%EV -6.09%E -3.16%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.06%E -2.17%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-13 21:35
Grosvenor🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.55%EV -15.84%E -4.28%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.06%EV -6.09%E -3.16%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -8.49%E -2.65%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-13 21:35
Bet Victor🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.18%EV -15.84%E -4.28%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.85%EV -9.01%E -4.82%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -8.49%E -2.65%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.8%2026-11-13 21:34
betano_uk🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.18%EV -15.84%E -4.28%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.85%EV -9.01%E -4.82%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -8.49%E -2.65%K -3.86%G +0.000%11.8%2026-11-13 21:33
Winamax (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 23.89%EV -15.84%E -4.28%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 48.04%EV -10.47%E -5.69%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.06%EV -9.92%E -3.15%K -4.61%G +0.000%13.1%2026-11-13 21:35
PMU (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.35%EV -18.11%E -5.03%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.38%EV -9.99%E -5.40%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.27%EV -11.35%E -3.66%K -5.40%G +0.000%14.1%2026-11-13 21:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.86%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21%1.3%2026-11-14 00:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.86%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21%1.3%2026-11-14 00:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.86%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21%1.3%2026-11-14 00:30