Language:English
Azerbaijan v Liechtenstein
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Azerbaijan (Local)
Prediction 84.19%1.19fair odd
EV -4.02%
Edge -3.53%
Kelly -28.74%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.14
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
81.36%83.99%84.12%85.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.071.111.111.1493.46%90.17%90.09%87.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Liechtenstein (Visit)
Prediction 3.60%27.76fair odd
EV +22.48%
Edge +0.661%
Kelly +0.681%
Growth +0.153%
assuming max odds 34.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
2.79%3.72%3.60%5.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
16.2524.8026.0034.006.15%4.03%3.85%2.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 12.21%8.19fair odd
EV +9.87%
Edge +1.10%
Kelly +1.23%
Growth +0.122%
assuming max odds 9.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.41%12.29%12.27%15.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.107.978.009.0016.39%12.55%12.50%11.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Azerbaijan (Local): 84.19%; Liechtenstein (Visit): 3.60%; Draw: 12.21%. For Liechtenstein (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 27.76. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 34.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +22.48%.
Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.37%EV -6.55%E -5.90%K -59.54%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.79%EV +22.48%E +0.661%K +0.681%G +0.153% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.84%EV -2.34%E -0.292%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-01 16:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.90%EV -5.71%E -5.10%K -47.56%G +0.000% | 33.00I 3.03%NM 2.92%EV +18.88%E +0.572%K +0.590%G +0.111% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.19%EV +4.99%E +0.580%K +0.656%G +0.033% | 3.9% | 2026-10-01 15:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.08%EV -7.39%E -6.72%K -73.91%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.23%EV +4.47%E +0.154%K +0.160%G +0.007% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -2.34%E -0.292%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-01 15:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.08%EV -7.39%E -6.72%K -73.91%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.23%EV +4.47%E +0.154%K +0.160%G +0.007% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -2.34%E -0.292%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-01 15:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.43%EV -5.71%E -5.10%K -47.56%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.22%EV +4.47%E +0.154%K +0.160%G +0.007% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -14.54%E -2.08%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-01 16:01 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.43%EV -5.71%E -5.10%K -47.56%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.22%EV +4.47%E +0.154%K +0.160%G +0.007% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -14.54%E -2.08%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-01 16:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.36%EV -4.02%E -3.53%K -28.74%G +0.000% | 27.00I 3.70%NM 3.44%EV -2.74%E -0.101%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.20%EV -25.53%E -4.19%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-01 16:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.36%EV -4.02%E -3.53%K -28.74%G +0.000% | 27.00I 3.70%NM 3.44%EV -2.74%E -0.101%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.20%EV -25.53%E -4.19%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-01 15:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.41%EV -4.87%E -4.31%K -37.43%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.67%EV -6.34%E -0.244%K -0.254%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.92%EV -2.34%E -0.292%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-01 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.12%EV -5.71%E -5.10%K -47.56%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.67%EV -6.34%E -0.244%K -0.254%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.22%EV +3.77%E +0.443%K +0.502%G +0.019% | 4.9% | 2026-10-01 15:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.86%EV -5.71%E -5.10%K -47.56%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.61%EV -6.34%E -0.244%K -0.254%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -8.44%E -1.13%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-01 16:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.98%EV -8.23%E -7.55%K -91.48%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.60%EV -6.34%E -0.244%K -0.254%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.41%EV +9.87%E +1.10%K +1.23%G +0.122% | 6.7% | 2026-10-01 14:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.98%EV -8.23%E -7.55%K -91.48%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.60%EV -6.34%E -0.244%K -0.254%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.41%EV +9.87%E +1.10%K +1.23%G +0.122% | 6.7% | 2026-10-01 14:51 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.98%EV -8.23%E -7.55%K -91.48%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.60%EV -6.34%E -0.244%K -0.254%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.41%EV +9.87%E +1.10%K +1.23%G +0.122% | 6.7% | 2026-10-01 14:51 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.98%EV -8.23%E -7.55%K -91.48%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.60%EV -6.34%E -0.244%K -0.254%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.41%EV +9.87%E +1.10%K +1.23%G +0.122% | 6.7% | 2026-10-01 14:51 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.98%EV -8.23%E -7.55%K -91.48%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.60%EV -6.34%E -0.244%K -0.254%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.41%EV +9.87%E +1.10%K +1.23%G +0.122% | 6.7% | 2026-10-01 14:51 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.98%EV -8.23%E -7.55%K -91.48%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.60%EV -6.34%E -0.244%K -0.254%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.41%EV +9.87%E +1.10%K +1.23%G +0.122% | 6.7% | 2026-10-01 14:56 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.98%EV -8.23%E -7.55%K -91.48%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.60%EV -6.34%E -0.244%K -0.254%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.41%EV +9.87%E +1.10%K +1.23%G +0.122% | 6.7% | 2026-10-01 14:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.98%EV -8.23%E -7.55%K -91.48%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.60%EV -6.34%E -0.244%K -0.254%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.41%EV +9.87%E +1.10%K +1.23%G +0.122% | 6.7% | 2026-10-01 14:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.98%EV -8.23%E -7.55%K -91.48%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.60%EV -6.34%E -0.244%K -0.254%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.41%EV +9.87%E +1.10%K +1.23%G +0.122% | 6.7% | 2026-10-01 14:51 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.98%EV -6.55%E -5.90%K -59.54%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.59%EV -6.34%E -0.244%K -0.254%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -8.44%E -1.13%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-01 15:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.98%EV -6.55%E -5.90%K -59.54%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.59%EV -6.34%E -0.244%K -0.254%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -8.44%E -1.13%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-01 15:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.98%EV -6.55%E -5.90%K -59.54%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.59%EV -6.34%E -0.244%K -0.254%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -8.44%E -1.13%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-01 15:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 85.69%EV -9.92%E -9.27%K -141.67%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.53%EV -6.34%E -0.244%K -0.254%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV +3.77%E +0.443%K +0.502%G +0.019% | 9.1% | 2026-10-01 16:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 85.69%EV -9.92%E -9.27%K -141.67%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.53%EV -6.34%E -0.244%K -0.254%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV +3.77%E +0.443%K +0.502%G +0.019% | 9.1% | 2026-10-01 16:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.86%EV -6.55%E -5.90%K -59.54%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.72%EV -9.94%E -0.398%K -0.414%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -8.44%E -1.13%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-01 15:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.03%EV -5.71%E -5.10%K -47.56%G +0.000% | 24.00I 4.17%NM 3.87%EV -13.55%E -0.564%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.10%EV -13.32%E -1.88%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-01 16:00 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.93%EV -5.71%E -5.10%K -47.56%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.14%EV -17.15%E -0.746%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 10.93%EV +6.21%E +0.714%K +0.807%G +0.050% | 5.1% | 2026-10-01 15:51 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.13%EV -5.71%E -5.10%K -47.56%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.10%EV -17.15%E -0.746%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -2.34%E -0.292%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-01 16:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.35%EV -4.87%E -4.31%K -37.43%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.09%EV -17.15%E -0.746%K -0.779%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.56%EV -8.44%E -1.13%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-01 16:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.80%EV -5.71%E -5.10%K -47.56%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV -24.35%E -1.16%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -2.34%E -0.292%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-01 15:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.80%EV -5.71%E -5.10%K -47.56%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV -24.35%E -1.16%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -2.34%E -0.292%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-01 15:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.40%EV -7.39%E -6.72%K -73.91%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.37%EV -24.35%E -1.16%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.23%EV -8.44%E -1.13%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-01 16:01 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.98%EV -4.02%E -3.53%K -28.74%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.73%EV -27.95%E -1.40%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.29%EV -6.00%E -0.779%K -0.895%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-01 16:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 81.49%EV -7.39%E -6.72%K -73.91%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.72%EV -31.56%E -1.66%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.79%EV -20.65%E -3.18%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-01 15:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.18%EV -5.71%E -5.10%K -47.56%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.18%EV -35.16%E -1.95%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -2.34%E -0.292%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-01 15:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.05%EV -6.55%E -5.90%K -59.54%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.42%EV -38.76%E -2.28%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -2.34%E -0.292%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-01 15:53 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.29%EV -5.71%E -5.10%K -47.56%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.42%EV -38.76%E -2.28%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -8.44%E -1.13%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-01 15:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.08%EV -5.71%E -5.10%K -47.56%G +0.000% | 16.25I 6.15%NM 5.66%EV -41.46%E -2.55%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -8.44%E -1.13%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-01 15:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.92% | 38.00I 2.63%NM 2.61% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.46% | 0.7% | 2026-10-01 16:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.92% | 38.00I 2.63%NM 2.61% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.46% | 0.7% | 2026-10-01 16:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.93% | 36.00I 2.78%NM 2.75% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.32% | 0.9% | 2026-10-01 16:01 |