The School of Odds
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Andorra v Gibraltar

2026-11-13 19:45 UTC — UEFA Nations League

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Andorra (Local)

Prediction 52.75%1.90fair odd
EV -2.42%
Edge -1.31%
Kelly -2.84%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.45%52.75%53.42%56.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.631.751.761.8561.35%57.03%56.82%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Gibraltar (Visit)

Prediction 17.39%5.75fair odd
EV +4.34%
Edge +0.723%
Kelly +0.867%
Growth +0.038%

assuming max odds 6.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.53%17.39%16.21%20.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.205.545.806.0023.81%18.05%17.24%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.86%3.35fair odd
EV -1.75%
Edge -0.533%
Kelly -0.765%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.97%29.86%30.37%30.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.863.053.053.2934.97%32.80%32.79%30.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Andorra (Local): 52.75%; Gibraltar (Visit): 17.39%; Draw: 29.86%. For Gibraltar (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.75. 13 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 6.00, producing a positive expected value of +4.34%.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.80%EV -11.91%E -7.13%K -17.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV +4.34%E +0.723%K +0.867%G +0.038%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -2.95%E -0.907%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-03 11:00
1xBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.46%EV -14.02%E -8.60%K -22.25%G +0.000%5.91I 16.92%NM 15.57%EV +2.77%E +0.469%K +0.564%G +0.016%3.29I 30.40%NM 27.97%EV -1.75%E -0.533%K -0.765%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-03 11:00
Unibet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.18%EV -7.16%E -4.07%K -9.42%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.14%EV +0.858%E +0.148%K +0.179%G +0.002%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -8.92%E -2.92%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-03 11:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.18%EV -7.16%E -4.07%K -9.42%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.14%EV +0.858%E +0.148%K +0.179%G +0.002%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -8.92%E -2.92%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-03 11:00
TABtouch🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.18%EV -7.16%E -4.07%K -9.42%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.14%EV +0.858%E +0.148%K +0.179%G +0.002%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -8.92%E -2.92%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-03 11:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.18%EV -7.16%E -4.07%K -9.42%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.14%EV +0.858%E +0.148%K +0.179%G +0.002%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -8.92%E -2.92%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-03 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.18%EV -7.16%E -4.07%K -9.42%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.14%EV +0.858%E +0.148%K +0.179%G +0.002%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -8.92%E -2.92%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-03 11:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.18%EV -7.16%E -4.07%K -9.42%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.14%EV +0.858%E +0.148%K +0.179%G +0.002%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -8.92%E -2.92%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-03 11:00
Casumo🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.18%EV -7.16%E -4.07%K -9.42%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.14%EV +0.858%E +0.148%K +0.179%G +0.002%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -8.92%E -2.92%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-03 11:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.18%EV -7.16%E -4.07%K -9.42%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.14%EV +0.858%E +0.148%K +0.179%G +0.002%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -8.92%E -2.92%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-03 11:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.18%EV -7.16%E -4.07%K -9.42%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.14%EV +0.858%E +0.148%K +0.179%G +0.002%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -8.92%E -2.92%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-03 11:00
Bally Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.18%EV -7.16%E -4.07%K -9.42%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.14%EV +0.858%E +0.148%K +0.179%G +0.002%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -8.92%E -2.92%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-03 11:00
BetRivers🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.18%EV -7.16%E -4.07%K -9.42%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.14%EV +0.858%E +0.148%K +0.179%G +0.002%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -8.92%E -2.92%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-03 13:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 52.94%EV -11.38%E -6.78%K -16.74%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.17%EV -4.36%E -0.793%K -0.969%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -14.00%E -4.86%K -7.44%G +0.000%12.4%2026-11-03 11:00
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.33%EV -2.42%E -1.31%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -23.49%E -5.34%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.92%EV -8.92%E -2.92%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.6%2026-11-03 11:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.27%EV -4.53%E -2.50%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.50%EV -24.36%E -5.60%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.23%EV -11.91%E -4.04%K -6.11%G +0.000%12.1%2026-11-03 11:00
ReBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 48.45%EV -4.53%E -2.50%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.88%EV -26.97%E -6.42%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 30.66%EV -14.59%E -5.10%K -7.85%G +0.000%14.0%2026-11-03 11:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-11-03 11:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-11-03 11:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-11-03 11:50