L’École des cotes

VfB Stuttgart v Porto

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-12 17:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

VfB Stuttgart (Local)

Prévision 50.36%1.99cote équitable
EV +2.73%
Avantage +1.34%
Kelly +2.63%
Croissance +0.072%

avec la cote maximale 2.04

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.99%50.38%50.36%51.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.881.872.0455.56%53.29%53.48%49.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Porto (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.12%4.52cote équitable
EV +0.666%
Avantage +0.146%
Kelly +0.188%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 4.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.03%22.13%22.13%27.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.454.204.204.5528.99%23.82%23.81%21.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.52%3.63cote équitable
EV +0.708%
Avantage +0.193%
Kelly +0.266%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 3.66

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.86%27.49%27.51%28.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.453.503.6630.30%28.94%28.57%27.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Bovada2.04I 49.02%NM 45.99%EV +2.73%E +1.34%K +2.63%G +0.072%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -23.67%E -6.86%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -3.69%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-12 17:39
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -1.80%E -0.922%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -17.03%E -4.54%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-12 15:55
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.81%E -1.45%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.21%EV -2.65%E -0.603%K -0.780%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.15%EV -0.943%E -0.262%K -0.363%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-12 17:35
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.81%E -1.45%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.21%EV -2.65%E -0.603%K -0.780%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.15%EV -0.943%E -0.262%K -0.363%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-12 17:34
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.81%E -1.45%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.21%EV -2.65%E -0.603%K -0.780%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.15%EV -0.943%E -0.262%K -0.363%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-12 17:35
Unibet (NL)1.92I 52.08%NM 50.64%EV -3.31%E -1.72%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.35%EV -3.76%E -0.864%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.01%EV -0.943%E -0.262%K -0.363%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-12 17:35
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 50.25%EV -3.31%E -1.72%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.18%EV -3.76%E -0.864%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.57%EV -3.69%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-12 17:40
ReBet1.92I 52.08%NM 50.12%EV -3.31%E -1.72%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -4.86%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.50%EV -3.69%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-12 16:50
Marathon Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.76%EV -3.81%E -2.00%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%EV -0.440%E -0.098%K -0.126%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.70%EV -3.69%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-12 17:40
Coolbet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.35%EV -3.81%E -2.00%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.37%EV -0.440%E -0.098%K -0.126%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.28%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-12 17:25
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 50.05%EV -3.81%E -2.00%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.23%EV -4.86%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.71%EV -5.07%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-12 17:30
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 49.99%EV -3.81%E -2.00%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -7.08%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -3.69%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-12 16:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -3.81%E -2.00%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -11.50%E -2.88%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.69%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-12 16:35
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -3.81%E -2.00%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -11.50%E -2.88%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-12 16:34
Betclic (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.24%EV -4.32%E -2.27%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69%EV -2.65%E -0.603%K -0.780%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.07%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 17:40
Codere (IT)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.92%EV -4.32%E -2.27%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -7.08%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.49%EV -5.07%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 16:40
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 49.07%EV -4.32%E -2.27%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -13.71%E -3.52%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -5.07%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-12 16:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.07%EV -4.32%E -2.27%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -13.71%E -3.52%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -5.07%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-12 16:35
1xBet1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%EV -4.82%E -2.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.41I 22.68%NM 22.03%EV -2.43%E -0.551%K -0.713%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.55%EV +0.708%E +0.193%K +0.266%G +0.002%2.9%2026-03-12 17:40
Pinnacle1.89I 52.91%NM 51.07%EV -4.82%E -2.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.47I 22.37%NM 21.59%EV -1.10%E -0.247%K -0.318%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.34%EV -2.87%E -0.813%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-12 17:40
Suprabets1.89I 52.91%NM 50.15%EV -4.82%E -2.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.89%EV -4.20%E -0.970%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.96%EV -6.72%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 17:36
BetOnline.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 51.32%EV -5.32%E -2.83%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.35%EV +0.003%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.33%EV -2.87%E -0.813%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-12 17:20
LowVig.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 51.32%EV -5.32%E -2.83%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.35%EV +0.003%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.33%EV -2.87%E -0.813%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-12 17:20
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 51.27%EV -5.32%E -2.83%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.19%EV +0.666%E +0.146%K +0.188%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.69%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-12 17:40
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.45%EV -5.32%E -2.83%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.06%EV -4.86%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.49%EV -5.07%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 16:40
Bet Right1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -5.32%E -2.83%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -12.61%E -3.19%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -5.07%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 17:25
Parions Sport (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.29%EV -5.32%E -2.83%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -12.61%E -3.19%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-12 17:20
Unibet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.65%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29%EV -5.97%E -1.40%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.69%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-12 17:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.65%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29%EV -5.97%E -1.40%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.69%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-12 17:35
Casumo1.87I 53.48%NM 50.65%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29%EV -5.97%E -1.40%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.69%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-12 17:35
Bally Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.65%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29%EV -5.97%E -1.40%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.69%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-12 17:35
betPARX1.87I 53.48%NM 50.65%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29%EV -5.97%E -1.40%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.69%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-12 17:35
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.52%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -7.08%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -3.69%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-12 16:35
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 50.38%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -4.86%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 16:40
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 50.24%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -9.29%E -2.27%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -3.69%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-12 16:35
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 49.70%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -7.08%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -9.20%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-12 17:35
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.14%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -0.440%E -0.098%K -0.126%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-12 17:40
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 50.90%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -2.65%E -0.603%K -0.780%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-12 17:40
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -7.08%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -3.69%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-12 17:35
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -7.08%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -3.69%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-12 17:35
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -7.08%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -3.69%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-12 17:33
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -7.08%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -3.69%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-12 17:30
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -7.08%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -3.69%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-12 17:30
PMU (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -7.08%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -3.69%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-12 17:30
BetUS1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -4.86%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-12 17:40
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -7.08%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-12 17:18
NetBet (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.97%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -7.08%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.20%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-12 17:40
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 49.91%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -9.29%E -2.27%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -7.82%E -2.34%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-12 17:40
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -11.50%E -2.88%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.20%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-12 17:35
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -11.50%E -2.88%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.20%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-12 17:35
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -11.50%E -2.88%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.20%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-12 17:35
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -11.50%E -2.88%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.20%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-12 17:35
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 50.52%EV -7.34%E -3.99%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -7.08%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-12 16:40
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -7.84%E -4.29%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -11.50%E -2.88%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -0.943%E -0.262%K -0.363%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-12 17:30
LiveScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -7.84%E -4.29%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -11.50%E -2.88%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-12 17:35
Virgin Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -7.84%E -4.29%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -11.50%E -2.88%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-12 17:35
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -9.35%E -5.20%K -11.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -7.08%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -3.69%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-12 17:30
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 50.32%EV -9.35%E -5.20%K -11.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -11.50%E -2.88%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -7.82%E -2.34%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-12 17:30
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -9.35%E -5.20%K -11.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -11.50%E -2.88%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -9.20%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-12 17:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.65%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.18%0.5%2026-03-12 17:40
Matchbook1.88I 53.19%NM 52.78%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.11%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11%0.8%2026-03-12 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.03%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.08%0.9%2026-03-12 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.58%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.41%1.0%2026-03-12 17:40
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.74%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-03-12 17:40
Smarkets1.88I 53.19%NM 52.54%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.47%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.99%1.2%2026-03-12 17:40