مدرسة الاحتمالات

VfB Stuttgart v Porto

البداية: 2026-03-12 17:45 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

59 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

VfB Stuttgart (المضيف)

التنبؤ 50.36%1.99السعر العادل
EV +2.73%
الأفضلية +1.34%
Kelly +2.63%
النمو +0.072%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.04

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
45.99%50.38%50.36%51.47%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.801.881.872.0455.56%53.29%53.48%49.02%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Porto (الضيف)

التنبؤ 22.12%4.52السعر العادل
EV +0.666%
الأفضلية +0.146%
Kelly +0.188%
النمو +0.001%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.55

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.03%22.13%22.13%27.20%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.454.204.204.5528.99%23.82%23.81%21.98%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.52%3.63السعر العادل
EV +0.708%
الأفضلية +0.193%
Kelly +0.266%
النمو +0.002%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.66

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.86%27.49%27.51%28.28%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.303.453.503.6630.30%28.94%28.57%27.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (59 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Bovada2.04I 49.02%NM 45.99%EV +2.73%E +1.34%K +2.63%G +0.072%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -23.67%E -6.86%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -3.69%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-12 17:39
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -1.80%E -0.922%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -17.03%E -4.54%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-12 15:55
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.81%E -1.45%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.21%EV -2.65%E -0.603%K -0.780%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.15%EV -0.943%E -0.262%K -0.363%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-12 17:35
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.81%E -1.45%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.21%EV -2.65%E -0.603%K -0.780%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.15%EV -0.943%E -0.262%K -0.363%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-12 17:34
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.81%E -1.45%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.21%EV -2.65%E -0.603%K -0.780%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.15%EV -0.943%E -0.262%K -0.363%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-12 17:35
Unibet (NL)1.92I 52.08%NM 50.64%EV -3.31%E -1.72%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.35%EV -3.76%E -0.864%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.01%EV -0.943%E -0.262%K -0.363%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-12 17:35
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 50.25%EV -3.31%E -1.72%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.18%EV -3.76%E -0.864%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.57%EV -3.69%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-12 17:40
ReBet1.92I 52.08%NM 50.12%EV -3.31%E -1.72%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -4.86%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.50%EV -3.69%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-12 16:50
Marathon Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.76%EV -3.81%E -2.00%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%EV -0.440%E -0.098%K -0.126%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.70%EV -3.69%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-12 17:40
Coolbet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.35%EV -3.81%E -2.00%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.37%EV -0.440%E -0.098%K -0.126%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.28%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-12 17:25
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 50.05%EV -3.81%E -2.00%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.23%EV -4.86%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.71%EV -5.07%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-12 17:30
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 49.99%EV -3.81%E -2.00%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -7.08%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -3.69%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-12 16:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -3.81%E -2.00%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -11.50%E -2.88%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.69%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-12 16:35
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -3.81%E -2.00%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -11.50%E -2.88%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-12 16:34
Betclic (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.24%EV -4.32%E -2.27%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69%EV -2.65%E -0.603%K -0.780%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.07%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 17:40
Codere (IT)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.92%EV -4.32%E -2.27%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -7.08%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.49%EV -5.07%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 16:40
Neds1.90I 52.63%NM 49.07%EV -4.32%E -2.27%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -13.71%E -3.52%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -5.07%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-12 16:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.07%EV -4.32%E -2.27%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -13.71%E -3.52%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -5.07%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-12 16:35
1xBet1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%EV -4.82%E -2.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.41I 22.68%NM 22.03%EV -2.43%E -0.551%K -0.713%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.55%EV +0.708%E +0.193%K +0.266%G +0.002%2.9%2026-03-12 17:40
Pinnacle1.89I 52.91%NM 51.07%EV -4.82%E -2.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.47I 22.37%NM 21.59%EV -1.10%E -0.247%K -0.318%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.34%EV -2.87%E -0.813%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-12 17:40
Suprabets1.89I 52.91%NM 50.15%EV -4.82%E -2.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.89%EV -4.20%E -0.970%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.96%EV -6.72%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 17:36
BetOnline.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 51.32%EV -5.32%E -2.83%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.35%EV +0.003%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.33%EV -2.87%E -0.813%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-12 17:20
LowVig.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 51.32%EV -5.32%E -2.83%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.35%EV +0.003%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.33%EV -2.87%E -0.813%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-12 17:20
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 51.27%EV -5.32%E -2.83%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.19%EV +0.666%E +0.146%K +0.188%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.69%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-12 17:40
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.45%EV -5.32%E -2.83%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.06%EV -4.86%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.49%EV -5.07%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-12 16:40
Bet Right1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -5.32%E -2.83%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -12.61%E -3.19%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -5.07%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 17:25
Parions Sport (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.29%EV -5.32%E -2.83%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -12.61%E -3.19%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-12 17:20
Unibet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.65%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29%EV -5.97%E -1.40%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.69%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-12 17:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.65%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29%EV -5.97%E -1.40%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.69%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-12 17:35
Casumo1.87I 53.48%NM 50.65%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29%EV -5.97%E -1.40%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.69%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-12 17:35
Bally Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.65%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29%EV -5.97%E -1.40%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.69%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-12 17:35
betPARX1.87I 53.48%NM 50.65%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29%EV -5.97%E -1.40%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -3.69%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-12 17:35
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.52%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -7.08%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -3.69%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-12 16:35
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 50.38%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -4.86%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 16:40
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 50.24%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -9.29%E -2.27%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -3.69%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-12 16:35
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 49.70%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -7.08%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -9.20%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-12 17:35
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.14%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -0.440%E -0.098%K -0.126%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-12 17:40
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 50.90%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -2.65%E -0.603%K -0.780%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-12 17:40
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -7.08%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -3.69%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-12 17:35
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -7.08%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -3.69%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-12 17:35
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -7.08%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -3.69%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-12 17:33
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -7.08%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -3.69%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-12 17:30
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -7.08%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -3.69%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-12 17:30
PMU (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -7.08%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -3.69%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-12 17:30
BetUS1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -4.86%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-12 17:40
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -7.08%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-12 17:18
NetBet (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.97%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -7.08%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -9.20%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-12 17:40
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 49.91%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -9.29%E -2.27%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -7.82%E -2.34%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-12 17:40
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -11.50%E -2.88%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.20%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-12 17:35
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -11.50%E -2.88%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.20%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-12 17:35
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -11.50%E -2.88%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.20%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-12 17:35
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -6.83%E -3.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -11.50%E -2.88%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.20%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-12 17:35
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 50.52%EV -7.34%E -3.99%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -7.08%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-12 16:40
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -7.84%E -4.29%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -11.50%E -2.88%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -0.943%E -0.262%K -0.363%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-12 17:30
LiveScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -7.84%E -4.29%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -11.50%E -2.88%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-12 17:35
Virgin Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -7.84%E -4.29%K -9.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -11.50%E -2.88%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-12 17:35
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -9.35%E -5.20%K -11.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -7.08%E -1.69%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -3.69%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-12 17:30
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 50.32%EV -9.35%E -5.20%K -11.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -11.50%E -2.88%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -7.82%E -2.34%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-12 17:30
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -9.35%E -5.20%K -11.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -11.50%E -2.88%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -9.20%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-12 17:39
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.65%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.17%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.18%0.5%2026-03-12 17:40
Matchbook1.88I 53.19%NM 52.78%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.11%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11%0.8%2026-03-12 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.03%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.08%0.9%2026-03-12 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.58%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.41%1.0%2026-03-12 17:40
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.74%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-03-12 17:40
Smarkets1.88I 53.19%NM 52.54%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.47%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.99%1.2%2026-03-12 17:40