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Torreense v FC Ararat-Armenia

2026-11-05 20:00 UTC — UEFA Europa League

Head to Head

27 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Torreense (Local)

Prediction 54.82%1.82fair odd
EV -4.07%
Edge -2.32%
Kelly -5.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.37%54.54%54.98%55.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.631.711.701.7561.35%58.58%58.82%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Ararat-Armenia (Visit)

Prediction 20.54%4.87fair odd
EV -0.993%
Edge -0.206%
Kelly -0.260%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.47%20.79%20.31%22.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.854.474.404.8225.97%22.39%22.73%20.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.64%4.06fair odd
EV -1.44%
Edge -0.360%
Kelly -0.480%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.68%24.67%24.70%26.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.763.804.0028.57%26.57%26.32%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Torreense (Local): 54.82%; FC Ararat-Armenia (Visit): 20.54%; Draw: 24.64%. For FC Ararat-Armenia (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.87. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.82, with an expected value of -0.993%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.40%EV -4.07%E -2.32%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 20.11%EV -0.993%E -0.206%K -0.260%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.48%EV -2.43%E -0.612%K -0.819%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-23 19:50
picklebet_au🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -4.07%E -2.32%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -13.73%E -3.27%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.30%E -3.14%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-23 23:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.82%EV -4.61%E -2.65%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.08%EV -2.43%E -0.512%K -0.648%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.10%EV -6.37%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-23 19:50
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.50%EV -4.61%E -2.65%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.55%EV -9.62%E -2.19%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.95%EV -2.43%E -0.612%K -0.819%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-23 19:50
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.50%EV -4.61%E -2.65%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.55%EV -9.62%E -2.19%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.95%EV -2.43%E -0.612%K -0.819%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-23 19:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.96%EV -4.61%E -2.65%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -15.78%E -3.85%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -7.60%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-23 23:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.32%EV -5.16%E -2.98%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.15%EV -2.43%E -0.512%K -0.648%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.54%EV -3.90%E -1.00%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-23 19:50
ReBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.38%EV -5.16%E -2.98%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.10%EV -15.78%E -3.85%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -12.53%E -3.53%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-23 23:30
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.75%EV -5.71%E -3.32%K -7.93%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.98%EV -1.40%E -0.292%K -0.369%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.28%EV -2.67%E -0.676%K -0.906%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-23 19:49
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.34%EV -5.71%E -3.32%K -7.93%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.25%EV -3.46%E -0.736%K -0.935%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -3.90%E -1.00%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-23 19:50
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.25%EV -6.26%E -3.66%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.89%EV -2.43%E -0.512%K -0.648%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -6.37%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-23 19:50
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.72%EV -6.81%E -4.00%K -9.73%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.59%EV -5.51%E -1.20%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -1.44%E -0.360%K -0.480%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-23 19:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.63%EV -6.81%E -4.00%K -9.73%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.12%EV -3.46%E -0.736%K -0.935%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.25%EV -3.90%E -1.00%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-23 19:50
SportsBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.51%EV -6.81%E -4.00%K -9.73%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.66%EV -1.40%E -0.292%K -0.369%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -6.37%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-23 19:50
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.53%EV -6.81%E -4.00%K -9.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -9.62%E -2.19%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -6.37%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-23 19:49
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.53%EV -6.81%E -4.00%K -9.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -9.62%E -2.19%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -6.37%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-23 19:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.53%EV -6.81%E -4.00%K -9.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -9.62%E -2.19%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -6.37%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-23 19:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.53%EV -6.81%E -4.00%K -9.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -9.62%E -2.19%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -6.37%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-23 19:50
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -6.81%E -4.00%K -9.73%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -5.51%E -1.20%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -13.76%E -3.93%K -5.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-23 19:50
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -6.81%E -4.00%K -9.73%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -5.51%E -1.20%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -13.76%E -3.93%K -5.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-23 19:50
Betway🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -6.81%E -4.00%K -9.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -17.84%E -4.46%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -6.37%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-23 19:50
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.18%EV -6.81%E -4.00%K -9.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -15.78%E -3.85%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -10.06%E -2.76%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-23 23:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 52.37%EV -7.90%E -4.70%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.85%EV -20.92%E -5.43%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.78%EV -12.53%E -3.53%K -4.91%G +0.000%13.7%2026-10-23 23:30
FanDuel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -8.45%E -5.06%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -1.40%E -0.292%K -0.369%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.37%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-23 19:50
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -8.45%E -5.06%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -2.43%E -0.512%K -0.648%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.37%E -1.68%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-23 19:49
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -8.45%E -5.06%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -11.06%E -2.55%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.61%EV -13.76%E -3.93%K -5.50%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-23 19:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 53.67%EV -10.65%E -6.53%K -16.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -15.78%E -3.85%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.99%EV -13.76%E -3.93%K -5.50%G +0.000%14.3%2026-10-23 23:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.67I 59.88%NM 53.53%4.17I 23.98%NM 21.44%3.57I 28.01%NM 25.04%11.9%2026-10-24 01:35
Smarkets◎1.66I 60.24%NM 51.70%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.29%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.01%16.5%2026-10-23 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.07I 93.46%NM 33.75%1.09I 91.74%NM 33.13%1.09I 91.74%NM 33.13%176.9%2026-10-23 19:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.07I 93.46%NM 33.75%1.09I 91.74%NM 33.13%1.09I 91.74%NM 33.13%176.9%2026-10-23 19:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.07I 93.46%NM 33.75%1.09I 91.74%NM 33.13%1.09I 91.74%NM 33.13%176.9%2026-10-23 19:50