Language:English
Sunderland v AZ Alkmaar
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sunderland (Local)
Prediction 63.56%1.57fair odd
EV -3.38%
Edge -2.23%
Kelly -6.51%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.52
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.54%63.40%63.60%64.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.491.501.5270.42%67.32%66.67%65.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
AZ Alkmaar (Visit)
Prediction 14.60%6.85fair odd
EV +2.21%
Edge +0.316%
Kelly +0.368%
Growth +0.008%
assuming max odds 7.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.56%14.68%14.58%15.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.006.466.507.0016.67%15.47%15.38%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 21.83%4.58fair odd
EV -1.74%
Edge -0.388%
Kelly -0.498%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.51%21.92%21.82%23.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.274.304.5025.00%23.43%23.26%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sunderland (Local): 63.56%; AZ Alkmaar (Visit): 14.60%; Draw: 21.83%. For AZ Alkmaar (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.85. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.21%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.30%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.78%EV +2.21%E +0.316%K +0.368%G +0.008% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.92%EV -3.93%E -0.893%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.30%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.78%EV +2.21%E +0.316%K +0.368%G +0.008% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.92%EV -3.93%E -0.893%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.30%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.78%EV +2.21%E +0.316%K +0.368%G +0.008% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.92%EV -3.93%E -0.893%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.30%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.78%EV +2.21%E +0.316%K +0.368%G +0.008% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.92%EV -3.93%E -0.893%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.29%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV +2.21%E +0.316%K +0.368%G +0.008% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -10.48%E -2.56%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.12%EV -5.93%E -4.00%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV +2.21%E +0.316%K +0.368%G +0.008% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.33%EV -7.20%E -1.69%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.12%EV -5.93%E -4.00%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV +2.21%E +0.316%K +0.368%G +0.008% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.33%EV -7.20%E -1.69%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.12%EV -5.93%E -4.00%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV +2.21%E +0.316%K +0.368%G +0.008% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.33%EV -7.20%E -1.69%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.12%EV -5.93%E -4.00%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV +2.21%E +0.316%K +0.368%G +0.008% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.33%EV -7.20%E -1.69%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.12%EV -5.93%E -4.00%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV +2.21%E +0.316%K +0.368%G +0.008% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.33%EV -7.20%E -1.69%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.20%EV -4.02%E -2.66%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.26%EV -0.710%E -0.104%K -0.122%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%EV -1.74%E -0.388%K -0.498%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-16 18:51 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.52%EV -3.38%E -2.23%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 6.76I 14.79%NM 14.28%EV -1.29%E -0.191%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.20%EV -5.02%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-16 18:51 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.10%EV -4.02%E -2.66%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.34%EV -1.44%E -0.213%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 4.49I 22.27%NM 21.56%EV -1.96%E -0.437%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-16 17:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.10%EV -4.02%E -2.66%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.34%EV -1.44%E -0.213%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 4.49I 22.27%NM 21.56%EV -1.96%E -0.437%K -0.562%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-16 17:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.96%EV -5.93%E -4.00%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.02%EV -1.44%E -0.213%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -6.11%E -1.42%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.60%EV -7.20%E -4.93%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.76%EV -1.44%E -0.213%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.65%EV -10.48%E -2.56%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.24%EV -7.20%E -4.93%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -1.44%E -0.213%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.66%E -3.17%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.59%EV -4.02%E -2.66%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.33%EV -2.17%E -0.324%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.07%EV -5.02%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-16 18:51 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -4.02%E -2.66%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.55%EV -3.63%E -0.550%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.83%EV -3.93%E -0.893%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-16 18:51 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.97%EV -3.38%E -2.23%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.50%EV -3.63%E -0.550%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.52%EV -7.20%E -1.69%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-16 18:51 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.49%EV -3.63%E -0.550%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.74%EV -3.93%E -0.893%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.70%EV -5.29%E -3.55%K -10.80%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.38%EV -3.63%E -0.550%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.92%EV -5.46%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-16 18:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.63%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.68%EV -5.09%E -0.783%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69%EV -3.93%E -0.893%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-16 18:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.15%EV -4.02%E -2.66%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.67%EV -5.09%E -0.783%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.18%EV -6.11%E -1.42%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-16 18:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.40%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -5.09%E -0.783%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.96%EV -5.46%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-16 15:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.40%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -5.09%E -0.783%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.96%EV -5.46%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-16 18:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.24%EV -5.93%E -4.00%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -5.09%E -0.783%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -1.74%E -0.388%K -0.498%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-16 17:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.14%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.57%EV -5.09%E -0.783%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29%EV -7.20%E -1.69%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.98%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -5.09%E -0.783%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -8.30%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-16 18:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.71%EV -5.93%E -4.00%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -5.09%E -0.783%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.78%EV -5.46%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-16 18:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.29%EV -5.93%E -4.00%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -5.09%E -0.783%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -8.30%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-16 18:12 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.19%EV -7.83%E -5.40%K -17.41%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -5.09%E -0.783%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.49%EV -5.46%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-16 18:56 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.09%EV -7.83%E -5.40%K -17.41%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV -5.09%E -0.783%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.61%EV -6.11%E -1.42%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -8.47%E -5.88%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -5.09%E -0.783%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -8.30%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.42%EV -7.83%E -5.40%K -17.41%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -5.09%E -0.783%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -10.48%E -2.56%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.42%EV -7.83%E -5.40%K -17.41%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -5.09%E -0.783%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -10.48%E -2.56%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.42%EV -7.83%E -5.40%K -17.41%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -5.09%E -0.783%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -10.48%E -2.56%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.32%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.84%EV -6.55%E -1.02%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.84%EV -5.02%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-16 18:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.03%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.13%EV -8.74%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.84%EV -5.46%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-16 18:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.94%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.11%EV -8.74%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -6.11%E -1.42%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.93%EV -5.93%E -4.00%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.90%EV -8.74%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -8.30%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -5.93%E -4.00%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.82%EV -8.74%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%EV -10.48%E -2.56%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-16 18:41 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.75%EV -6.56%E -4.46%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.76%EV -8.74%E -1.40%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -10.48%E -2.56%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-16 18:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.94%EV -4.02%E -2.66%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 6.23I 16.05%NM 15.26%EV -9.03%E -1.45%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.36I 22.94%NM 21.80%EV -4.80%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-16 18:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.33%EV -7.83%E -5.40%K -17.41%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.81%EV -9.47%E -1.53%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86%EV -8.30%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.28%EV -9.10%E -6.37%K -21.17%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.07%EV -10.93%E -1.79%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.66%EV -2.84%E -0.637%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-16 18:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.33%EV -9.74%E -6.86%K -23.19%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.74%EV -10.93%E -1.79%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93%EV -10.48%E -2.56%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -12.39%E -2.07%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.93%E -0.893%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-16 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -12.39%E -2.07%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.93%E -0.893%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-16 18:11 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.64%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -12.39%E -2.07%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.46%E -1.26%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-16 18:11 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -12.39%E -2.07%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.20%E -1.69%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-16 18:51 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.63%EV -6.56%E -4.46%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -12.39%E -2.07%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -1.74%E -0.388%K -0.498%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-16 18:51 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -12.39%E -2.07%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.30%E -1.98%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.49%EV -7.20%E -4.93%K -15.64%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -12.39%E -2.07%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%EV -3.93%E -0.893%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -8.47%E -5.88%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -12.39%E -2.07%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -1.74%E -0.388%K -0.498%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-16 17:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -12.39%E -2.07%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.66%E -3.17%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-16 18:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -12.39%E -2.07%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.66%E -3.17%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -12.39%E -2.07%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.66%E -3.17%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -12.39%E -2.07%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.66%E -3.17%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.65%E -3.10%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -12.39%E -2.07%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.66%E -3.17%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -5.93%E -4.00%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -12.39%E -2.07%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -12.66%E -3.17%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.97% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 14.01% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 21.02% | -0.1% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.35% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.48% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.17% | 0.3% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.35% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.48% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.17% | 0.3% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.50% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.42% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.07% | 0.7% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.03% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.41% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.56% | 0.8% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.94% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.68% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.38% | 1.6% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |