默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

SK Sturm Graz v Marseille

2026-10-22 16:45 UTC — UEFA Europa League

胜负盘

23 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

SK Sturm Graz (主队)

预测 32.15%3.11公平赔率
EV -1.63%
优势 -0.532%
Kelly -0.791%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.06

博彩公司预测分布
30.68%32.09%32.00%33.14%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.702.892.903.0637.04%34.62%34.48%32.68%最小值均值中位数最大值

Marseille (客队)

预测 40.87%2.45公平赔率
EV +0.123%
优势 +0.050%
Kelly +0.085%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.45

博彩公司预测分布
38.31%40.69%40.93%42.36%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.102.282.302.4547.62%43.91%43.48%40.82%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 26.99%3.71公平赔率
EV -2.85%
优势 -0.792%
Kelly -1.10%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.60

博彩公司预测分布
26.50%27.21%27.07%29.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.203.423.453.6031.25%29.24%28.99%27.78%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:SK Sturm Graz (主队):32.15%;Marseille (客队):40.87%;平局:26.99%。 对于“Marseille (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.447。 有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为2.450,由此产生+0.123%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (23 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.77%E -2.34%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV +0.123%E +0.050%K +0.085%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -13.64%E -4.26%K -6.20%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-16 00:10
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.97%EV -7.42%E -2.57%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -2.74%E -1.15%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -5.55%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-15 23:54
1xBet🎯3.06I 32.68%NM 31.65%EV -1.63%E -0.532%K -0.791%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.22%EV -3.96%E -1.69%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.13%EV -3.66%E -1.03%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-16 00:20
NordicBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.03%EV -3.56%E -1.19%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.89%EV -3.96%E -1.69%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.07%EV -4.20%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-16 01:10
Coolbet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.90%EV -6.77%E -2.34%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.60%EV -3.96%E -1.69%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -2.85%E -0.792%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-15 23:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -6.77%E -2.34%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.29%EV -3.96%E -1.69%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -5.55%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-15 23:55
Marathon Bet🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 31.65%EV -2.91%E -0.965%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.20%EV -5.19%E -2.24%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.15%EV -5.01%E -1.42%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-16 00:10
Betsson🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.89%EV -4.20%E -1.41%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.96%EV -5.19%E -2.24%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -5.55%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-16 01:20
SportsBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -8.38%E -2.94%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -6.01%E -2.61%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.55%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-15 23:55
FanDuel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -8.38%E -2.94%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -6.01%E -2.61%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.55%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-15 23:55
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -8.38%E -2.94%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -6.01%E -2.61%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.55%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-16 00:10
Bet Right🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -8.38%E -2.94%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -6.01%E -2.61%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -6.90%E -2.00%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-15 23:50
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -6.01%E -2.61%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -5.55%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-15 23:55
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -9.99%E -3.57%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -6.82%E -2.99%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.25%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-16 00:35
LeoVegas🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -5.17%E -1.75%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -8.05%E -3.58%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -8.25%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-16 00:04
picklebet_au🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.77%E -2.34%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.05%E -3.58%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.95%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-16 00:00
ReBet🎯2.91I 34.36%NM 31.27%EV -6.45%E -2.22%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.81%EV -8.87%E -3.98%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 27.92%EV -12.03%E -3.69%K -5.32%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-16 00:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -6.77%E -2.34%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -10.09%E -4.59%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.25%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-15 23:58
Betway🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -7.42%E -2.57%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -10.09%E -4.59%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.25%E -2.43%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-16 00:09
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -13.20%E -4.89%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -10.09%E -4.59%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -10.95%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.8%2026-10-16 00:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -6.77%E -2.34%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -12.14%E -5.64%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -12.30%E -3.78%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-15 23:59
Winamax (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.00%EV -11.59%E -4.22%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.93%EV -12.14%E -5.64%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -12.30%E -3.78%K -5.46%G +0.000%13.6%2026-10-16 00:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -6.77%E -2.34%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -14.18%E -6.75%K -12.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -10.95%E -3.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-16 00:00
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎2.94I 34.01%NM 32.11%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.52%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%5.9%2026-10-16 01:35
Smarkets◎2.82I 35.46%NM 31.24%2.16I 46.30%NM 40.79%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.97%13.5%2026-10-16 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 28.06%1.10I 90.91%NM 43.88%1.72I 58.14%NM 28.06%107.2%2026-10-16 00:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 28.06%1.10I 90.91%NM 43.88%1.72I 58.14%NM 28.06%107.2%2026-10-16 00:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 28.06%1.10I 90.91%NM 43.88%1.72I 58.14%NM 28.06%107.2%2026-10-16 00:35