L’École des cotes

SC Freiburg v SC Braga

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-07 19:00 UTC

Score final : SC Freiburg 3–1 SC Braga

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

SC Freiburg (Local)

Prévision 55.50%1.80cote équitable
EV -1.20%
Avantage -0.676%
Kelly -1.54%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.91%55.48%55.58%56.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.651.701.701.7860.61%58.75%58.82%56.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

SC Braga (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.24%5.48cote équitable
EV +1.22%
Avantage +0.220%
Kelly +0.269%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 5.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.29%18.20%18.22%19.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.755.195.235.5521.05%19.29%19.12%18.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.26%3.81cote équitable
EV -0.219%
Avantage -0.058%
Kelly -0.078%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.96%26.32%26.21%27.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.573.603.8029.41%27.98%27.78%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.94%EV -4.53%E -2.64%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.34%EV +1.22%E +0.220%K +0.269%G +0.003%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.73%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-07 18:45
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.94%EV -4.53%E -2.64%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.34%EV +1.22%E +0.220%K +0.269%G +0.003%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.73%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-07 18:45
Unibet (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.97%EV -3.42%E -1.97%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.71%EV +0.310%E +0.056%K +0.069%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.32%EV -2.84%E -0.769%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-07 18:55
ATG (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.97%EV -3.42%E -1.97%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.71%EV +0.310%E +0.056%K +0.069%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.32%EV -2.84%E -0.769%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-07 18:54
Svenska Spel1.74I 57.47%NM 55.97%EV -3.42%E -1.97%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.71%EV +0.310%E +0.056%K +0.069%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.32%EV -2.84%E -0.769%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-07 18:55
Unibet (NL)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.77%EV -3.42%E -1.97%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.64%EV +0.310%E +0.056%K +0.069%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.59%EV -4.16%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-07 18:54
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.28%EV -6.20%E -3.67%K -8.98%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +0.310%E +0.056%K +0.069%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 18:35
LowVig.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 55.81%EV -3.98%E -2.30%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.88%EV -1.51%E -0.280%K -0.344%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.31%EV -3.63%E -0.990%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-07 18:50
BetOnline.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 55.81%EV -3.98%E -2.30%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.88%EV -1.51%E -0.280%K -0.344%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.31%EV -3.63%E -0.990%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-07 18:50
Pinnacle1.73I 57.80%NM 55.73%EV -3.98%E -2.30%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.85%EV -1.51%E -0.280%K -0.344%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV -4.16%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-07 18:50
BetRivers1.66I 60.24%NM 56.54%EV -7.86%E -4.74%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -1.51%E -0.280%K -0.344%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 18:45
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 55.63%EV -5.09%E -2.98%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.95%EV -3.34%E -0.630%K -0.776%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 18:50
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.77%EV -5.64%E -3.32%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.89%EV -3.34%E -0.630%K -0.776%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 18:55
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 55.77%EV -5.64%E -3.32%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.89%EV -3.34%E -0.630%K -0.776%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.77%EV -5.64%E -3.32%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.89%EV -3.34%E -0.630%K -0.776%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 18:55
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 55.77%EV -5.64%E -3.32%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.89%EV -3.34%E -0.630%K -0.776%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 18:55
Bally Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.77%EV -5.64%E -3.32%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.89%EV -3.34%E -0.630%K -0.776%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 18:55
Suprabets1.71I 58.48%NM 55.42%EV -5.09%E -2.98%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.88%EV -3.34%E -0.630%K -0.776%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -6.78%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 18:52
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 55.86%EV -6.75%E -4.02%K -9.93%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.71%EV -3.34%E -0.630%K -0.776%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -6.78%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-07 18:55
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 55.86%EV -6.75%E -4.02%K -9.93%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.71%EV -3.34%E -0.630%K -0.776%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -6.78%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-07 18:55
FanDuel1.65I 60.61%NM 56.51%EV -8.42%E -5.10%K -12.95%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -3.34%E -0.630%K -0.776%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-07 18:50
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.73%EV -5.09%E -2.98%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.15%EV -4.25%E -0.809%K -1.000%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.16%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 18:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.68%EV -5.64%E -3.32%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -4.25%E -0.809%K -1.000%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 18:00
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 55.68%EV -5.64%E -3.32%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -4.25%E -0.809%K -1.000%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 18:00
Betclic (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -7.31%E -4.38%K -10.91%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -4.25%E -0.809%K -1.000%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -2.84%E -0.769%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 18:55
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 55.82%EV -6.20%E -3.67%K -8.98%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -4.25%E -0.809%K -1.000%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 18:00
Everygame1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.64%E -3.32%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -4.25%E -0.809%K -1.000%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -8.10%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 18:49
Bovada1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.64%E -3.32%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -4.25%E -0.809%K -1.000%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -8.10%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 18:50
PMU (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -7.86%E -4.74%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.66%EV -4.25%E -0.809%K -1.000%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -8.10%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-07 18:55
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 55.36%EV -2.87%E -1.64%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.23I 19.12%NM 18.52%EV -4.61%E -0.882%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 26.11%EV -2.58%E -0.696%K -0.953%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-07 18:20
Codere (IT)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.64%EV -5.09%E -2.98%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.30%EV -5.16%E -0.993%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.07%EV -4.16%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 18:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.46%EV -6.75%E -4.02%K -9.93%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -5.16%E -0.993%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.10%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-07 18:00
Neds1.68I 59.52%NM 55.46%EV -6.75%E -4.02%K -9.93%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -5.16%E -0.993%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.10%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-07 18:00
Marathon Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 54.45%EV -1.20%E -0.676%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.00%EV -6.98%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.55%EV -4.16%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-07 18:54
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.45%EV -6.75%E -4.02%K -9.93%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.59%EV -6.98%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -0.219%E -0.058%K -0.078%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 18:35
NetBet (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -7.31%E -4.38%K -10.91%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.21%EV -6.98%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -6.78%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-07 18:55
1xBet1.76I 56.82%NM 55.03%EV -2.31%E -1.31%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.04I 19.84%NM 19.22%EV -8.08%E -1.60%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.76%EV -1.27%E -0.338%K -0.460%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-07 18:50
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.43%EV -5.09%E -2.98%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.81%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -2.84%E -0.769%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 18:35
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 54.75%EV -3.98%E -2.30%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -8.81%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.31%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 18:54
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -7.31%E -4.38%K -10.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -8.81%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -1.53%E -0.408%K -0.557%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 18:50
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -5.64%E -3.32%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -8.81%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-07 18:50
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -3.98%E -2.30%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -8.81%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -10.72%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-07 18:50
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -3.98%E -2.30%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -8.81%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -10.72%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-07 18:49
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -3.98%E -2.30%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -8.81%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -10.72%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-07 18:50
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -3.98%E -2.30%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -8.81%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -10.72%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-07 18:50
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.16%EV -7.86%E -4.74%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -8.81%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -2.84%E -0.769%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-07 18:35
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -5.64%E -3.32%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -8.81%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -8.10%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-07 18:50
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.77%EV -5.64%E -3.32%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -8.81%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -8.10%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-07 18:43
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -7.31%E -4.38%K -10.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -8.81%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-07 18:49
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 54.20%EV -5.09%E -2.98%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -8.81%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -10.72%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-07 18:49
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -5.64%E -3.32%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.48%EV -8.81%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -10.72%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-07 18:50
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -5.64%E -3.32%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.48%EV -8.81%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -10.72%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-07 18:50
BoyleSports1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -5.64%E -3.32%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.48%EV -8.81%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -10.72%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-07 18:49
Unibet (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -7.31%E -4.38%K -10.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -8.81%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -8.10%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-07 18:35
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -8.42%E -5.10%K -12.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -8.81%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -8.10%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-07 18:55
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -8.42%E -5.10%K -12.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -8.81%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -10.72%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-07 18:55
Virgin Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -8.42%E -5.10%K -12.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -8.81%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -10.72%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-07 18:55
Betr (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.46%EV -4.53%E -2.64%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -12.46%E -2.60%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 18:55
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 54.30%EV -5.09%E -2.98%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -13.37%E -2.81%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -6.78%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-07 18:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.84%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.85%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.31%0.0%2026-05-07 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.53%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.17%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.30%0.1%2026-05-07 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.66%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.12%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.22%0.4%2026-05-07 18:50
Smarkets1.78I 56.18%NM 55.80%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.06%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14%0.7%2026-05-07 18:55
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 55.79%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.73%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%0.7%2026-05-07 18:55
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 56.38%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.44%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.19%3.1%2026-05-07 18:35