Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

SC Freiburg v KRC Genk

Kickoff: 2026-03-19 17:45 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SC Freiburg (Local)

Prediction 61.23%1.63fair odd
EV -3.25%
Edge -2.06%
Kelly -5.61%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.30%61.14%61.22%62.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.541.541.5867.57%65.06%64.94%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

KRC Genk (Visit)

Prediction 16.37%6.11fair odd
EV +6.43%
Edge +0.989%
Kelly +1.17%
Growth +0.075%

assuming max odds 6.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.93%16.38%16.40%17.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.205.825.756.5019.23%17.17%17.39%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.40%4.47fair odd
EV -1.24%
Edge -0.280%
Kelly -0.363%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.41

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.13%22.48%22.38%23.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.194.204.4125.00%23.85%23.81%22.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SC Freiburg (Local): 61.23%; KRC Genk (Visit): 16.37%; Draw: 22.40%. For KRC Genk (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.11. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.43%.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -4.48%E -2.87%K -8.00%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.93%EV +6.43%E +0.989%K +1.17%G +0.075%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.84%EV -4.82%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-19 17:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -4.48%E -2.87%K -8.00%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.93%EV +6.43%E +0.989%K +1.17%G +0.075%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.84%EV -4.82%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-19 17:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -4.48%E -2.87%K -8.00%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.93%EV +6.43%E +0.989%K +1.17%G +0.075%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.84%EV -4.82%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-19 17:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -4.48%E -2.87%K -8.00%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.93%EV +6.43%E +0.989%K +1.17%G +0.075%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.84%EV -4.82%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-19 17:39
TABtouch🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.12%EV -7.54%E -4.99%K -14.79%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.01%EV +2.33%E +0.373%K +0.444%G +0.010%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -8.18%E -1.99%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 17:39
Unibet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.12%EV -7.54%E -4.99%K -14.79%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.01%EV +2.33%E +0.373%K +0.444%G +0.010%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -8.18%E -1.99%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 17:39
Grosvenor🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.12%EV -7.54%E -4.99%K -14.79%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.01%EV +2.33%E +0.373%K +0.444%G +0.010%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -8.18%E -1.99%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 17:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.12%EV -7.54%E -4.99%K -14.79%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.01%EV +2.33%E +0.373%K +0.444%G +0.010%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -8.18%E -1.99%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 17:39
Casumo🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.12%EV -7.54%E -4.99%K -14.79%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.01%EV +2.33%E +0.373%K +0.444%G +0.010%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -8.18%E -1.99%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 17:39
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.12%EV -7.54%E -4.99%K -14.79%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.01%EV +2.33%E +0.373%K +0.444%G +0.010%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -8.18%E -1.99%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 17:32
betPARX🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.12%EV -7.54%E -4.99%K -14.79%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.01%EV +2.33%E +0.373%K +0.444%G +0.010%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -8.18%E -1.99%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 17:40
Bally Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.12%EV -7.54%E -4.99%K -14.79%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.01%EV +2.33%E +0.373%K +0.444%G +0.010%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -8.18%E -1.99%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 17:39
1xBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.15%EV -4.48%E -2.87%K -8.00%G +0.000%6.11I 16.37%NM 15.87%EV +0.040%E +0.007%K +0.008%G +0.000%4.41I 22.68%NM 21.98%EV -1.24%E -0.280%K -0.363%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-19 17:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.48%E -2.87%K -8.00%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.87%EV -0.124%E -0.020%K -0.024%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 22.10%EV -1.91%E -0.436%K -0.565%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-19 17:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.48%E -2.87%K -8.00%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.87%EV -0.124%E -0.020%K -0.024%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 22.10%EV -1.91%E -0.436%K -0.565%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-19 17:30
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.10%EV -5.09%E -3.28%K -9.26%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.78%EV -0.124%E -0.020%K -0.024%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.13%EV -2.58%E -0.593%K -0.770%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-19 17:20
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.10%EV -5.09%E -3.28%K -9.26%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.78%EV -0.124%E -0.020%K -0.024%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.13%EV -2.58%E -0.593%K -0.770%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-19 17:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.32%EV -3.25%E -2.06%K -5.61%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.15%EV -1.76%E -0.293%K -0.352%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.53%EV -3.70%E -0.861%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-19 17:39
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.75%EV -4.48%E -2.87%K -8.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.05%EV -1.76%E -0.293%K -0.352%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.20%EV -2.80%E -0.646%K -0.840%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-19 17:40
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.62%EV -4.48%E -2.87%K -8.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.02%EV -1.76%E -0.293%K -0.352%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.36%EV -3.70%E -0.861%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-19 17:20
Everygame🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.18%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -1.76%E -0.293%K -0.352%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.97%EV -3.03%E -0.699%K -0.909%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 17:30
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -8.15%E -5.44%K -16.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -1.76%E -0.293%K -0.352%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.94%E -1.41%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 17:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -9.38%E -6.34%K -19.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -1.76%E -0.293%K -0.352%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -10.42%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-19 17:40
Suprabets🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.76%EV -5.70%E -3.70%K -10.56%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.12%EV -3.40%E -0.576%K -0.694%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -3.70%E -0.861%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 17:28
PMU (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.75%EV -6.93%E -4.56%K -13.32%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.91%EV -3.40%E -0.576%K -0.694%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -5.94%E -1.41%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 17:19
FanDuel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.90%EV -7.54%E -4.99%K -14.79%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.84%EV -3.40%E -0.576%K -0.694%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -5.94%E -1.41%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 17:20
BetUS🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.52%EV -5.70%E -3.70%K -10.56%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.19%EV -4.22%E -0.721%K -0.869%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29%EV -4.82%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 17:30
Coolbet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.82%EV -3.25%E -2.06%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.57%EV -5.04%E -0.868%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.61%EV -4.82%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 16:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.37%EV -8.77%E -5.88%K -17.89%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.77%EV -5.04%E -0.868%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -10.42%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-19 17:39
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -5.09%E -3.28%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.56%EV -5.85%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.99%EV -3.03%E -0.699%K -0.909%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 17:00
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.87%EV -4.48%E -2.87%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.52%EV -5.85%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%EV -5.94%E -1.41%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:40
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.60%EV -5.70%E -3.70%K -10.56%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.50%EV -5.85%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.91%EV -3.03%E -0.699%K -0.909%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 16:59
Bovada🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.34%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.32%EV -5.85%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -5.94%E -1.41%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 17:18
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.66%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -5.85%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -10.42%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-19 17:28
ReBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.80%EV -3.25%E -2.06%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.85%EV -6.67%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.34%EV -3.70%E -0.861%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 17:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.72%EV -8.15%E -5.44%K -16.31%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.24%EV -6.67%E -1.17%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -5.94%E -1.41%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-19 17:19
Codere (IT)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.87%E -2.46%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.95%EV -8.31%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -5.94%E -1.41%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 17:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.70%E -3.70%K -10.56%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.75%EV -8.31%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -5.94%E -1.41%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 17:38
Fliff🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.37%EV -8.77%E -5.88%K -17.89%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.33%EV -8.31%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -8.18%E -1.99%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-19 17:39
Fanatics🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.94%EV -3.87%E -2.46%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -9.95%E -1.81%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -8.18%E -1.99%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 16:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.29%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -9.95%E -1.81%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV -3.03%E -0.699%K -0.909%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 17:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -3.87%E -2.46%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -9.95%E -1.81%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -10.42%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 17:20
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -3.87%E -2.46%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -9.95%E -1.81%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -10.42%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 17:29
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -3.87%E -2.46%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -9.95%E -1.81%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -10.42%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 17:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -3.87%E -2.46%K -6.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -9.95%E -1.81%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -10.42%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 17:20
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.04%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -9.95%E -1.81%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -4.82%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.04%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -9.95%E -1.81%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -4.82%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 17:00
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -9.95%E -1.81%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -5.94%E -1.41%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 17:19
Bet Right🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.40%EV -5.70%E -3.70%K -10.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -9.95%E -1.81%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -8.18%E -1.99%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 17:30
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -8.15%E -5.44%K -16.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -9.95%E -1.81%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -1.46%E -0.332%K -0.430%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 17:19
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -5.09%E -3.28%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -9.95%E -1.81%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -10.42%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-19 17:39
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.71%EV -6.93%E -4.56%K -13.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -9.95%E -1.81%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -8.18%E -1.99%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-19 17:39
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -9.95%E -1.81%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.42%E -2.60%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-19 15:00
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -8.15%E -5.44%K -16.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -9.95%E -1.81%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -5.94%E -1.41%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-19 17:20
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -8.15%E -5.44%K -16.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -9.95%E -1.81%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -5.94%E -1.41%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-19 17:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.65%EV -5.70%E -3.70%K -10.56%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.62%EV -13.22%E -2.49%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -3.70%E -0.861%K -1.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 17:39
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.81%EV -6.32%E -4.13%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV -13.22%E -2.49%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -3.70%E -0.861%K -1.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 17:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.30%EV -3.25%E -2.06%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -14.04%E -2.67%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -8.18%E -1.99%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 14:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.14%EV -5.70%E -3.70%K -10.56%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.81%EV -14.86%E -2.86%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -5.94%E -1.41%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-19 17:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.27%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.07%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.66%0.4%2026-03-19 17:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.83%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.05%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.12%0.5%2026-03-19 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.83%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.05%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.12%0.5%2026-03-19 17:40
Matchbook1.61I 62.11%NM 61.83%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.05%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.12%0.5%2026-03-19 17:40
Smarkets1.60I 62.50%NM 61.97%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.03%0.9%2026-03-19 17:40
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 61.73%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.69%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.57%1.9%2026-03-19 16:00