赔率学院赔率.net
默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
+ 新建模型所有模型

Salzburg v AC Milan

2026-10-15 16:45 UTC — UEFA Europa League

胜负盘

24 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Salzburg (主队)

预测 23.90%4.18公平赔率
EV -1.76%
优势 -0.428%
Kelly -0.566%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.11

博彩公司预测分布
23.32%23.99%23.89%25.17%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.553.853.814.1128.17%25.99%26.21%24.33%最小值均值中位数最大值

AC Milan (客队)

预测 51.39%1.95公平赔率
EV -0.813%
优势 -0.421%
Kelly -0.874%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.93

博彩公司预测分布
49.54%51.26%51.44%52.36%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.661.821.831.9360.24%55.05%54.64%51.81%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 24.70%4.05公平赔率
EV -2.91%
优势 -0.740%
Kelly -0.993%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.93

博彩公司预测分布
24.11%24.75%24.68%26.56%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.583.713.713.9327.93%26.95%26.99%25.45%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Salzburg (主队)：23.90%；AC Milan (客队)：51.39%；平局：24.70%。 对于“Salzburg (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.18。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率：当前最佳赔率为4.11，期望值为-1.76%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (23 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯4.11I 24.33%NM 23.63%EV -1.76%E -0.428%K -0.566%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.66%EV -3.38%E -1.80%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.71%EV -2.91%E -0.740%K -0.993%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-22 14:59
Marathon Bet🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.62%EV -3.19%E -0.789%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.72%EV -4.92%E -2.66%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.66%EV -4.14%E -1.07%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-22 14:55
Pinnacle🎯4.03I 24.81%NM 23.56%EV -3.67%E -0.911%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.92%E -2.66%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.12%EV -6.62%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-22 14:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -4.39%E -1.10%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -7.49%E -4.16%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -7.36%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-22 14:59
888sport🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -6.78%E -1.74%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -4.92%E -2.66%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -11.06%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-22 14:49
William Hill🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -6.78%E -1.74%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -4.92%E -2.66%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -11.06%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-22 14:49
888sport (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -6.78%E -1.74%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -4.92%E -2.66%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -11.06%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-22 14:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -6.78%E -1.74%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -4.92%E -2.66%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -11.06%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-22 14:44
betano_uk🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -6.78%E -1.74%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -7.49%E -4.16%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -8.59%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-22 14:58
Bet Victor🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -6.78%E -1.74%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -7.49%E -4.16%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -8.59%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-22 14:58
Suprabets🎯3.83I 26.11%NM 23.97%EV -8.45%E -2.21%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.29%EV -8.01%E -4.47%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 24.74%EV -8.34%E -2.25%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-22 14:57
Betr (AU)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -9.17%E -2.41%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.10%EV -3.38%E -1.80%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -7.36%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-22 14:54
SportsBet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.73%EV -9.17%E -2.41%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -4.41%E -2.37%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.73%EV -6.12%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-22 14:55
Paddy Power🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -9.17%E -2.41%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -4.92%E -2.66%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -6.12%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-22 14:54
FanDuel🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -9.17%E -2.41%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -5.95%E -3.25%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.12%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-22 14:55
ReBet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -9.17%E -2.41%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.12%EV -8.52%E -4.79%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -9.83%E -2.69%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-22 14:59
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -10.36%E -2.76%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.67%EV -2.35%E -1.24%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -7.36%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-22 14:55
Winamax (DE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -10.36%E -2.76%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.46%EV -8.52%E -4.79%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -6.12%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-22 14:59
BoyleSports🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -10.36%E -2.76%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -10.06%E -5.75%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -7.36%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-22 14:55
Betclic (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -10.36%E -2.76%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 51.28%EV -10.58%E -6.08%K -14.29%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.92%EV -11.56%E -3.23%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-22 14:58
LeoVegas🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -11.56%E -3.12%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 50.93%EV -9.04%E -5.10%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.70%EV -9.83%E -2.69%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-22 14:59
Unibet (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 23.49%EV -11.56%E -3.12%K -4.28%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 52.36%EV -14.69%E -8.85%K -22.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.14%EV -11.06%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%15.0%2026-09-22 14:59
Winamax (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 24.69%EV -15.14%E -4.27%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 50.96%EV -11.61%E -6.75%K -16.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.35%EV -11.06%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-22 15:00
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 35.26%1.34I 74.63%NM 29.47%1.12I 89.29%NM 35.26%153.2%2026-09-22 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 35.26%1.34I 74.63%NM 29.47%1.12I 89.29%NM 35.26%153.2%2026-09-22 14:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.08I 92.59%NM 33.94%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.12I 89.29%NM 32.73%172.8%2026-09-22 14:59