The School of Odds
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Rennes v Olympiakos Piraeus

Kickoff: 2026-11-05 17:45 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rennes (Local)

Prediction 44.61%2.24fair odd
EV -1.85%
Edge -0.843%
Kelly -1.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.22%44.55%44.57%45.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.882.092.102.2053.19%47.92%47.62%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Olympiakos Piraeus (Visit)

Prediction 29.03%3.44fair odd
EV -2.74%
Edge -0.818%
Kelly -1.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.87%29.09%29.06%30.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.213.203.3533.33%31.17%31.25%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.35%3.79fair odd
EV -1.17%
Edge -0.312%
Kelly -0.425%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.01%26.36%26.37%27.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.513.503.7530.77%28.51%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rennes (Local): 44.61%; Olympiakos Piraeus (Visit): 29.03%; Draw: 26.35%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.79. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.75, with an expected value of -1.17%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
NordicBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.74%EV -1.85%E -0.843%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.16%EV -4.19%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -6.44%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-28 08:40
Pinnacle🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.75%E -1.26%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.66%EV -6.51%E -2.02%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.12%E -1.42%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-01 08:15
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.60%EV -2.75%E -1.26%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%EV -5.64%E -1.74%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -7.76%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-28 10:29
1xBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.08%EV -4.08%E -1.90%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.93%EV -2.74%E -0.818%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.99%EV -1.70%E -0.455%K -0.621%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-23 15:59
BetUS🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.48%EV -4.53%E -2.12%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -5.64%E -1.74%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.22%EV -4.33%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-24 16:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.42%E -2.56%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.96%EV -4.19%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.97%EV -3.01%E -0.819%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-23 15:55
Codere (IT)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.01%EV -5.42%E -2.56%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.48%EV -2.74%E -0.818%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -5.12%E -1.42%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-27 14:19
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.48%EV -5.42%E -2.56%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.19%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -7.76%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-26 10:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.48%EV -5.42%E -2.56%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.19%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -7.76%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-26 11:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.48%EV -5.42%E -2.56%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.19%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -7.76%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-26 11:00
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.48%EV -5.42%E -2.56%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.19%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -7.76%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-26 11:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.48%EV -5.42%E -2.56%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.19%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -7.76%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-26 11:00
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.48%EV -5.42%E -2.56%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.19%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -7.76%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-26 13:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.48%EV -5.42%E -2.56%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.19%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -7.76%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-26 16:35
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.48%EV -5.42%E -2.56%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.19%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -7.76%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-26 16:34
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.48%EV -5.42%E -2.56%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.19%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -7.76%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-26 16:35
Bally Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.48%EV -5.42%E -2.56%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.19%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -7.76%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-26 16:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.48%EV -5.42%E -2.56%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.19%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -7.76%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-26 16:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.48%EV -5.42%E -2.56%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.19%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -7.76%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-26 16:40
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.48%EV -5.42%E -2.56%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.19%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -7.76%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-26 16:45
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.48%EV -5.42%E -2.56%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.19%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -7.76%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-26 22:33
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.12%EV -6.31%E -3.01%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -7.09%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -1.17%E -0.312%K -0.425%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-24 16:15
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.12%EV -6.31%E -3.01%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -7.09%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -1.17%E -0.312%K -0.425%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-24 16:15
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -6.31%E -3.01%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -4.19%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -5.12%E -1.42%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-26 11:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -6.31%E -3.01%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -7.09%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -2.49%E -0.672%K -0.921%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-24 16:15
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -6.31%E -3.01%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -7.09%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -2.49%E -0.672%K -0.921%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-24 16:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.31%E -3.01%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -4.19%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.76%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-26 11:05
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.49%EV -6.31%E -3.01%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.09%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -6.44%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-27 07:02
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.49%EV -6.31%E -3.01%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.09%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -6.44%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-24 21:01
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -6.31%E -3.01%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.09%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.39%E -3.06%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-24 16:20
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -6.31%E -3.01%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.09%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.39%E -3.06%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-24 16:19
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -6.31%E -3.01%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.09%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.39%E -3.06%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-24 16:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -6.31%E -3.01%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.09%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -10.39%E -3.06%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-24 16:20
PlayUp🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -6.31%E -3.01%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -10.00%E -3.22%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -11.71%E -3.50%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-28 08:39
TAB🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -6.31%E -3.01%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -10.00%E -3.22%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -13.03%E -3.95%K -5.66%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-28 08:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -8.55%E -4.17%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -7.09%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.12%E -1.42%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-27 12:50
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -8.55%E -4.17%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -10.00%E -3.22%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -2.49%E -0.672%K -0.921%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-24 16:14
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.55%E -4.17%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.30%EV -9.42%E -3.02%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.76%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-23 15:39
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.55%E -4.17%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.30%EV -9.42%E -3.02%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.76%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-23 15:39
picklebet_au🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.55%E -4.17%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -7.09%E -2.22%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -10.39%E -3.06%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-23 15:35
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -8.55%E -4.17%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -12.90%E -4.30%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.76%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-28 08:59
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -8.55%E -4.17%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -12.90%E -4.30%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.76%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-28 08:49
ReBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.53%EV -8.99%E -4.41%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 28.75%EV -8.26%E -2.61%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -10.39%E -3.06%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-23 15:35
LeoVegas🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.70%EV -9.88%E -4.89%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -10.00%E -3.22%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -9.08%E -2.63%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-26 09:14
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -10.78%E -5.39%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -10.00%E -3.22%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -7.76%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-27 12:50
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -10.78%E -5.39%K -10.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -12.90%E -4.30%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -7.76%E -2.22%K -3.10%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-24 16:25
NetBet (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 44.46%EV -11.67%E -5.89%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.86%EV -11.45%E -3.75%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -13.03%E -3.95%K -5.66%G +0.000%13.6%2026-10-27 07:04
PMU (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 44.40%EV -12.11%E -6.15%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.68%EV -11.45%E -3.75%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -14.35%E -4.41%K -6.38%G +0.000%14.3%2026-10-26 16:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.28%EV -13.45%E -6.93%K -14.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.34%EV -10.00%E -3.22%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.38%EV -12.24%E -3.68%K -5.25%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-25 07:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 45.95%EV -16.13%E -8.58%K -18.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.87%EV -10.00%E -3.22%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.18%EV -13.03%E -3.95%K -5.66%G +0.000%15.8%2026-10-26 07:41
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.13I 46.95%NM 45.14%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.87%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.99%4.0%2026-10-28 12:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 45.14%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.00%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.86%4.5%2026-10-28 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 45.14%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.00%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.86%4.5%2026-10-28 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 45.14%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.00%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.86%4.5%2026-10-28 13:45
Smarkets◎2.10I 47.62%NM 45.01%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.90%5.8%2026-10-28 14:10

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