Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rennes v OFI Crete

2026-10-15 19:00 UTC — UEFA Europa League

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rennes (Local)

Prediction 67.82%1.47fair odd
EV -4.37%
Edge -3.10%
Kelly -10.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.41

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.47%68.04%67.82%71.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.261.361.361.4179.37%73.63%73.53%70.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

OFI Crete (Visit)

Prediction 12.93%7.73fair odd
EV +2.18%
Edge +0.276%
Kelly +0.316%
Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 7.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.26%12.86%13.00%13.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.507.177.007.9015.38%13.95%14.29%12.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 19.25%5.20fair odd
EV +7.78%
Edge +1.39%
Kelly +1.69%
Growth +0.131%

assuming max odds 5.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.43%19.10%19.19%20.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.844.755.6022.22%20.68%21.05%17.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Rennes (Local): 67.82%; OFI Crete (Visit): 12.93%; Draw: 19.25%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.20. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 5.60, producing a positive expected value of +7.78%.

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Winamax (DE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.31%EV -12.51%E -9.70%K -43.15%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -3.00%E -0.399%K -0.461%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.43%EV +7.78%E +1.39%K +1.69%G +0.131%8.7%2026-09-22 11:59
1xBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.78%EV -4.37%E -3.10%K -10.67%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 12.28%EV +2.18%E +0.276%K +0.316%G +0.007%5.12I 19.53%NM 18.94%EV -1.46%E -0.285%K -0.355%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-22 12:34
SportsBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.06%EV -7.76%E -5.71%K -21.57%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -3.00%E -0.399%K -0.461%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.42%EV -1.85%E -0.362%K -0.450%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-22 11:59
FanDuel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.69%EV -10.48%E -7.94%K -32.74%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -3.00%E -0.399%K -0.461%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -1.85%E -0.362%K -0.450%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-22 13:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 69.75%EV -14.55%E -11.54%K -55.95%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.02%EV -12.70%E -1.88%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.23%EV -1.85%E -0.362%K -0.450%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-22 12:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.80%EV -5.73%E -4.12%K -14.69%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.26%EV +0.885%E +0.113%K +0.130%G +0.001%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV -2.81%E -0.556%K -0.693%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-22 12:22
Pinnacle🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.40%EV -6.41%E -4.64%K -16.86%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.76%EV -4.29%E -0.580%K -0.670%G +0.000%5.01I 19.96%NM 18.84%EV -3.58%E -0.714%K -0.892%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-22 13:03
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.05%E -3.61%K -12.63%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.73%EV -3.00%E -0.399%K -0.461%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.77%E -0.754%K -0.943%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-22 13:54
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.80%E -7.37%K -29.69%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -3.00%E -0.399%K -0.461%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -3.77%E -0.754%K -0.943%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-22 13:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.23%EV -6.41%E -4.64%K -16.86%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.55%EV -3.00%E -0.399%K -0.461%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -5.69%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-22 13:58
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -7.76%E -5.71%K -21.57%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -9.46%E -1.35%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -8.58%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-22 12:00
Suprabets🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -7.76%E -5.71%K -21.57%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.29%EV -10.76%E -1.56%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -8.58%E -1.81%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-22 12:52
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.47%EV -5.05%E -3.61%K -12.63%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -9.46%E -1.35%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -11.47%E -2.49%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-22 12:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.47%EV -5.05%E -3.61%K -12.63%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -9.46%E -1.35%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -11.47%E -2.49%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-22 12:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.47%EV -5.05%E -3.61%K -12.63%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -9.46%E -1.35%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -11.47%E -2.49%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-22 12:49
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.47%EV -5.05%E -3.61%K -12.63%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -9.46%E -1.35%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -11.47%E -2.49%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-22 12:54
betano_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -7.76%E -5.71%K -21.57%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -9.46%E -1.35%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -11.47%E -2.49%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-22 11:59
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -7.76%E -5.71%K -21.57%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -9.46%E -1.35%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -11.47%E -2.49%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-22 11:59
LeoVegas🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.61%EV -8.44%E -6.25%K -24.12%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -15.93%E -2.45%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -11.47%E -2.49%K -3.19%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-22 12:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.29%EV -9.80%E -7.37%K -29.69%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.26%EV -12.70%E -1.88%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -11.47%E -2.49%K -3.19%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-22 12:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 68.06%EV -13.19%E -10.30%K -47.11%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.00%EV -13.34%E -1.99%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.94%EV -11.47%E -2.49%K -3.19%G +0.000%14.8%2026-09-22 11:59
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.82%EV -7.76%E -5.71%K -21.57%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -9.46%E -1.35%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -13.39%E -2.98%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-22 12:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-09-22 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-09-22 14:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-09-22 14:05