L’École des cotes

Real Betis v SC Braga

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-16 19:00 UTC

Score final : Real Betis 2–4 SC Braga

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Real Betis (Local)

Prévision 52.86%1.89cote équitable
EV -2.20%
Avantage -1.19%
Kelly -2.59%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.60%52.83%52.93%54.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.701.781.791.8558.82%56.26%55.87%54.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

SC Braga (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.37%4.91cote équitable
EV +1.85%
Avantage +0.370%
Kelly +0.463%
Croissance +0.009%

avec la cote maximale 5.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.44%20.40%20.31%23.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.644.655.0025.00%21.54%21.51%20.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.77%3.74cote équitable
EV -0.968%
Avantage -0.262%
Kelly -0.359%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.80%26.78%26.76%27.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.543.563.7029.41%28.23%28.09%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 54.16%EV -4.84%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.50%EV +1.85%E +0.370%K +0.463%G +0.009%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.35%EV -0.968%E -0.262%K -0.359%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-16 18:50
Svenska Spel1.80I 55.56%NM 54.16%EV -4.84%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.50%EV +1.85%E +0.370%K +0.463%G +0.009%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.35%EV -0.968%E -0.262%K -0.359%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-16 18:45
ATG (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 54.16%EV -4.84%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.50%EV +1.85%E +0.370%K +0.463%G +0.009%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.35%EV -0.968%E -0.262%K -0.359%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-16 18:50
Unibet (NL)1.79I 55.87%NM 54.30%EV -5.37%E -3.00%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.44%EV +1.85%E +0.370%K +0.463%G +0.009%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.27%EV -0.968%E -0.262%K -0.359%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-16 18:50
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 53.42%EV -4.32%E -2.38%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.96I 20.16%NM 19.49%EV +1.04%E +0.209%K +0.262%G +0.003%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.08%EV -4.45%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-16 18:45
BetOnline.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 53.93%EV -5.37%E -3.00%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.92I 20.33%NM 19.62%EV +0.222%E +0.045%K +0.057%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.45%EV -2.31%E -0.632%K -0.870%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-16 18:55
LowVig.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 53.93%EV -5.37%E -3.00%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.92I 20.33%NM 19.62%EV +0.222%E +0.045%K +0.057%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.45%EV -2.31%E -0.632%K -0.870%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-16 18:55
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.90%EV -4.84%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.88I 20.49%NM 19.88%EV -0.593%E -0.121%K -0.153%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22%EV -0.968%E -0.262%K -0.359%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-16 18:45
Marathon Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.95%EV -3.26%E -1.78%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.98%EV -1.20%E -0.248%K -0.313%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.07%EV -4.18%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-16 18:45
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 53.17%EV -3.79%E -2.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.95%EV -1.20%E -0.248%K -0.313%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.88%EV -3.64%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-16 17:50
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 52.25%EV -2.20%E -1.19%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.14%EV -2.22%E -0.463%K -0.585%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.62%EV -6.32%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-16 18:50
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 52.25%EV -2.20%E -1.19%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.14%EV -2.22%E -0.463%K -0.585%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.62%EV -6.32%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-16 18:50
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 53.55%EV -6.43%E -3.63%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.75%EV -2.22%E -0.463%K -0.585%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -4.98%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-16 18:49
Suprabets1.78I 56.18%NM 53.21%EV -5.90%E -3.32%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -2.22%E -0.463%K -0.585%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -6.32%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 18:47
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.18%EV -8.02%E -4.61%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.64%EV -2.22%E -0.463%K -0.585%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -3.64%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-16 18:45
Casumo1.74I 57.47%NM 54.18%EV -8.02%E -4.61%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.64%EV -2.22%E -0.463%K -0.585%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -3.64%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-16 18:45
Unibet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.18%EV -8.02%E -4.61%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.64%EV -2.22%E -0.463%K -0.585%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -3.64%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-16 18:45
betPARX1.74I 57.47%NM 54.18%EV -8.02%E -4.61%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.64%EV -2.22%E -0.463%K -0.585%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -3.64%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-16 18:50
Bally Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.18%EV -8.02%E -4.61%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.64%EV -2.22%E -0.463%K -0.585%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -3.64%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-16 18:50
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 53.14%EV -6.43%E -3.63%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -2.22%E -0.463%K -0.585%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -7.66%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 18:43
TABtouch1.73I 57.80%NM 54.32%EV -8.54%E -4.94%K -11.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -2.22%E -0.463%K -0.585%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -3.64%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 18:55
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.32%EV -8.54%E -4.94%K -11.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -2.22%E -0.463%K -0.585%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -3.64%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 18:55
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 52.82%EV -4.84%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.02%EV -3.24%E -0.682%K -0.864%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -6.32%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 18:43
BetRivers1.75I 57.14%NM 53.72%EV -7.49%E -4.28%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.79%EV -3.24%E -0.682%K -0.864%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -4.98%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 18:25
PMU (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.15%EV -9.07%E -5.28%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -3.24%E -0.682%K -0.864%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -4.98%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-16 18:45
Betclic (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.19%EV -5.90%E -3.32%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.14%EV -4.26%E -0.906%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.67%EV -4.98%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 18:31
NetBet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.69%EV -8.54%E -4.94%K -11.71%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.76%EV -4.26%E -0.906%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -6.32%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-16 18:50
Unibet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.99%EV -7.49%E -4.28%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.73%EV -4.26%E -0.906%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 18:49
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 53.14%EV -8.02%E -4.61%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.67%EV -4.26%E -0.906%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-16 18:45
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.87%EV -4.84%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.30%E -1.37%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -3.64%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 17:15
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.87%EV -4.84%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.30%E -1.37%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -3.64%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 17:15
Codere (IT)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.54%EV -4.32%E -2.38%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.67%EV -6.30%E -1.37%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.79%EV -4.98%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 17:15
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.57%EV -7.49%E -4.28%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -6.30%E -1.37%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -3.64%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 18:54
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 52.48%EV -6.43%E -3.63%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -6.30%E -1.37%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-16 16:39
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.77%EV -7.49%E -4.28%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -6.30%E -1.37%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-16 18:45
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.84%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.33%E -1.85%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.64%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 18:50
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 52.24%EV -4.84%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -8.33%E -1.85%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.32%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 17:35
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.49%E -4.28%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -8.33%E -1.85%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -3.64%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-16 18:45
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -4.84%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -8.33%E -1.85%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-16 18:45
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -4.84%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -8.33%E -1.85%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-16 18:45
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -4.84%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -8.33%E -1.85%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-16 18:45
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -4.84%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -8.33%E -1.85%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-16 18:44
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -4.84%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -8.33%E -1.85%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-16 18:50
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 52.66%EV -6.43%E -3.63%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -8.33%E -1.85%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -6.32%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-16 18:45
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 52.25%EV -6.43%E -3.63%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -8.33%E -1.85%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-16 18:45
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -7.49%E -4.28%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -8.33%E -1.85%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-16 18:45
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.66%EV -10.13%E -5.96%K -14.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -8.33%E -1.85%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -6.32%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-16 18:55
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.66%EV -10.13%E -5.96%K -14.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -8.33%E -1.85%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -6.32%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-16 18:55
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 53.31%EV -9.60%E -5.62%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV -8.33%E -1.85%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.43%EV -7.66%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-16 18:55
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.84%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -10.37%E -2.36%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -3.64%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-16 16:45
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.84%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -10.37%E -2.36%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -3.64%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-16 16:44
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -7.49%E -4.28%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -10.37%E -2.36%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -3.64%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-16 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.20%EV -4.84%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -11.80%E -2.72%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -3.64%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 16:45
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 51.41%EV -4.84%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.37%EV -11.80%E -2.72%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-16 18:35
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.21%EV -5.90%E -3.32%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.61%EV -12.41%E -2.89%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -4.98%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-16 17:14
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -4.84%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -13.43%E -3.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -3.64%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-16 16:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -4.84%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -13.43%E -3.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -3.64%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-16 16:45
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -2.20%E -1.19%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -18.52%E -4.63%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -3.64%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 21:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.89%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.17%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.94%0.3%2026-04-16 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.68%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.47%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.84%0.7%2026-04-16 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.68%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.47%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.84%0.7%2026-04-16 18:55
Matchbook1.85I 54.05%NM 53.68%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.47%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.84%0.7%2026-04-16 18:55
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 53.82%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76%1.0%2026-04-16 18:55
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.35%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.40%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.24%3.0%2026-04-16 18:55