La escuela de los momios

Real Betis v SC Braga

Inicio: 2026-04-16 19:00 UTC

Final: Real Betis 2–4 SC Braga

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Real Betis (Local)

Predicción 52.86%1.89momio equitativo
EV -2.20%
Ventaja -1.19%
Kelly -2.59%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.60%52.83%52.93%54.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.701.781.791.8558.82%56.26%55.87%54.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

SC Braga (Visitante)

Predicción 20.37%4.91momio equitativo
EV +1.85%
Ventaja +0.370%
Kelly +0.463%
Crecimiento +0.009%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.44%20.40%20.31%23.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.644.655.0025.00%21.54%21.51%20.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.77%3.74momio equitativo
EV -0.968%
Ventaja -0.262%
Kelly -0.359%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.80%26.78%26.76%27.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.543.563.7029.41%28.23%28.09%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 54.16%EV -4.84%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.50%EV +1.85%E +0.370%K +0.463%G +0.009%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.35%EV -0.968%E -0.262%K -0.359%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-16 18:50
Svenska Spel1.80I 55.56%NM 54.16%EV -4.84%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.50%EV +1.85%E +0.370%K +0.463%G +0.009%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.35%EV -0.968%E -0.262%K -0.359%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-16 18:45
ATG (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 54.16%EV -4.84%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.50%EV +1.85%E +0.370%K +0.463%G +0.009%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.35%EV -0.968%E -0.262%K -0.359%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-16 18:50
Unibet (NL)1.79I 55.87%NM 54.30%EV -5.37%E -3.00%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.44%EV +1.85%E +0.370%K +0.463%G +0.009%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.27%EV -0.968%E -0.262%K -0.359%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-16 18:50
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 53.42%EV -4.32%E -2.38%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.96I 20.16%NM 19.49%EV +1.04%E +0.209%K +0.262%G +0.003%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.08%EV -4.45%E -1.25%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-16 18:45
BetOnline.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 53.93%EV -5.37%E -3.00%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.92I 20.33%NM 19.62%EV +0.222%E +0.045%K +0.057%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.45%EV -2.31%E -0.632%K -0.870%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-16 18:55
LowVig.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 53.93%EV -5.37%E -3.00%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.92I 20.33%NM 19.62%EV +0.222%E +0.045%K +0.057%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.45%EV -2.31%E -0.632%K -0.870%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-16 18:55
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.90%EV -4.84%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.88I 20.49%NM 19.88%EV -0.593%E -0.121%K -0.153%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.22%EV -0.968%E -0.262%K -0.359%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-16 18:45
Marathon Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.95%EV -3.26%E -1.78%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.98%EV -1.20%E -0.248%K -0.313%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.07%EV -4.18%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-16 18:45
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 53.17%EV -3.79%E -2.08%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.95%EV -1.20%E -0.248%K -0.313%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.88%EV -3.64%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-16 17:50
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 52.25%EV -2.20%E -1.19%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.14%EV -2.22%E -0.463%K -0.585%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.62%EV -6.32%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-16 18:50
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 52.25%EV -2.20%E -1.19%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.14%EV -2.22%E -0.463%K -0.585%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.62%EV -6.32%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-16 18:50
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 53.55%EV -6.43%E -3.63%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.75%EV -2.22%E -0.463%K -0.585%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -4.98%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-16 18:49
Suprabets1.78I 56.18%NM 53.21%EV -5.90%E -3.32%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -2.22%E -0.463%K -0.585%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -6.32%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 18:47
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.18%EV -8.02%E -4.61%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.64%EV -2.22%E -0.463%K -0.585%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -3.64%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-16 18:45
Casumo1.74I 57.47%NM 54.18%EV -8.02%E -4.61%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.64%EV -2.22%E -0.463%K -0.585%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -3.64%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-16 18:45
Unibet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.18%EV -8.02%E -4.61%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.64%EV -2.22%E -0.463%K -0.585%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -3.64%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-16 18:45
betPARX1.74I 57.47%NM 54.18%EV -8.02%E -4.61%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.64%EV -2.22%E -0.463%K -0.585%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -3.64%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-16 18:50
Bally Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.18%EV -8.02%E -4.61%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.64%EV -2.22%E -0.463%K -0.585%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -3.64%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-16 18:50
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 53.14%EV -6.43%E -3.63%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -2.22%E -0.463%K -0.585%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -7.66%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 18:43
TABtouch1.73I 57.80%NM 54.32%EV -8.54%E -4.94%K -11.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -2.22%E -0.463%K -0.585%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -3.64%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 18:55
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.32%EV -8.54%E -4.94%K -11.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -2.22%E -0.463%K -0.585%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -3.64%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 18:55
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 52.82%EV -4.84%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.02%EV -3.24%E -0.682%K -0.864%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -6.32%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 18:43
BetRivers1.75I 57.14%NM 53.72%EV -7.49%E -4.28%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.79%EV -3.24%E -0.682%K -0.864%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -4.98%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 18:25
PMU (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.15%EV -9.07%E -5.28%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -3.24%E -0.682%K -0.864%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -4.98%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-16 18:45
Betclic (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.19%EV -5.90%E -3.32%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.14%EV -4.26%E -0.906%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.67%EV -4.98%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 18:31
NetBet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.69%EV -8.54%E -4.94%K -11.71%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.76%EV -4.26%E -0.906%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -6.32%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-16 18:50
Unibet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.99%EV -7.49%E -4.28%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.73%EV -4.26%E -0.906%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 18:49
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 53.14%EV -8.02%E -4.61%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.67%EV -4.26%E -0.906%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-16 18:45
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.87%EV -4.84%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.30%E -1.37%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -3.64%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 17:15
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.87%EV -4.84%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -6.30%E -1.37%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -3.64%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 17:15
Codere (IT)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.54%EV -4.32%E -2.38%K -5.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.67%EV -6.30%E -1.37%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.79%EV -4.98%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 17:15
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.57%EV -7.49%E -4.28%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -6.30%E -1.37%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -3.64%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 18:54
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 52.48%EV -6.43%E -3.63%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -6.30%E -1.37%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-16 16:39
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.77%EV -7.49%E -4.28%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -6.30%E -1.37%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-16 18:45
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.84%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.33%E -1.85%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.64%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 18:50
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 52.24%EV -4.84%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -8.33%E -1.85%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.32%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 17:35
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.49%E -4.28%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -8.33%E -1.85%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -3.64%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-16 18:45
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -4.84%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -8.33%E -1.85%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-16 18:45
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -4.84%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -8.33%E -1.85%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-16 18:45
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -4.84%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -8.33%E -1.85%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-16 18:45
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -4.84%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -8.33%E -1.85%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-16 18:44
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 51.83%EV -4.84%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -8.33%E -1.85%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-16 18:50
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 52.66%EV -6.43%E -3.63%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -8.33%E -1.85%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -6.32%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-16 18:45
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 52.25%EV -6.43%E -3.63%K -8.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -8.33%E -1.85%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-16 18:45
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -7.49%E -4.28%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -8.33%E -1.85%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-16 18:45
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.66%EV -10.13%E -5.96%K -14.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -8.33%E -1.85%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -6.32%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-16 18:55
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.66%EV -10.13%E -5.96%K -14.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -8.33%E -1.85%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -6.32%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-16 18:55
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 53.31%EV -9.60%E -5.62%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV -8.33%E -1.85%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.43%EV -7.66%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-16 18:55
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.84%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -10.37%E -2.36%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -3.64%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-16 16:45
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.84%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -10.37%E -2.36%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -3.64%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-16 16:44
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -7.49%E -4.28%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -10.37%E -2.36%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -3.64%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-16 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.20%EV -4.84%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -11.80%E -2.72%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -3.64%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 16:45
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 51.41%EV -4.84%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.37%EV -11.80%E -2.72%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -9.00%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-16 18:35
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.21%EV -5.90%E -3.32%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.61%EV -12.41%E -2.89%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -4.98%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-16 17:14
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -4.84%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -13.43%E -3.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -3.64%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-16 16:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -4.84%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -13.43%E -3.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -3.64%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-16 16:45
Betr (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -2.20%E -1.19%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -18.52%E -4.63%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -3.64%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 21:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.89%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.17%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.94%0.3%2026-04-16 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.68%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.47%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.84%0.7%2026-04-16 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.68%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.47%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.84%0.7%2026-04-16 18:55
Matchbook1.85I 54.05%NM 53.68%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.47%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.84%0.7%2026-04-16 18:55
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 53.82%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76%1.0%2026-04-16 18:55
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.35%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.40%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.24%3.0%2026-04-16 18:55