La scuola delle quote

Porto v VfB Stuttgart

Inizio: 2026-03-19 20:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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59 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Porto (Casa)

Previsione 37.93%2.64quota equa
EV -2.52%
Vantaggio -0.979%
Kelly -1.60%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.57

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.08%37.99%37.92%40.58%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.302.472.452.5743.48%40.50%40.82%38.91%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

VfB Stuttgart (Trasferta)

Previsione 34.64%2.89quota equa
EV +2.87%
Vantaggio +0.967%
Kelly +1.46%
Crescita +0.042%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.97

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.64%34.62%34.60%35.90%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.502.742.752.9740.00%36.52%36.36%33.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.43%3.65quota equa
EV -1.24%
Vantaggio -0.346%
Kelly -0.479%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.92%27.38%27.49%28.23%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.443.453.6030.30%29.03%28.99%27.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (59 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet2.44I 40.98%NM 39.73%EV -7.45%E -3.05%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.64%EV +2.87%E +0.967%K +1.46%G +0.042%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.62%EV -3.71%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-19 19:55
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 38.41%EV -3.28%E -1.28%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.01%EV -0.246%E -0.086%K -0.131%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.59%EV -2.62%E -0.737%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-19 19:50
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 38.41%EV -3.28%E -1.28%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.01%EV -0.246%E -0.086%K -0.131%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.59%EV -2.62%E -0.737%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-19 19:50
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 38.41%EV -3.28%E -1.28%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.01%EV -0.246%E -0.086%K -0.131%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.59%EV -2.62%E -0.737%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-19 19:50
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 38.27%EV -3.28%E -1.28%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.24%EV -1.29%E -0.451%K -0.695%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.49%EV -2.62%E -0.737%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-19 19:50
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 38.76%EV -7.07%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -1.29%E -0.451%K -0.695%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -6.73%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 04:35
Parions Sport (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -12.76%E -5.55%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -1.29%E -0.451%K -0.695%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.99%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 18:09
Marathon Bet2.52I 39.68%NM 38.45%EV -4.41%E -1.75%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.48%EV -2.67%E -0.951%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.07%EV -1.79%E -0.501%K -0.695%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-19 19:54
LowVig.ag2.57I 38.91%NM 37.55%EV -2.52%E -0.979%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.47%EV -3.02%E -1.08%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.98%EV -5.36%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-19 19:50
BetOnline.ag2.57I 38.91%NM 37.55%EV -2.52%E -0.979%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.47%EV -3.02%E -1.08%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.98%EV -5.36%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-19 19:50
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 38.68%EV -7.07%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -3.02%E -1.08%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -5.36%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 19:50
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.68%EV -7.07%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -3.02%E -1.08%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -5.36%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 19:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.68%EV -7.07%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -3.02%E -1.08%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -5.36%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 19:50
Bally Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.68%EV -7.07%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -3.02%E -1.08%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -5.36%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 19:50
betPARX2.45I 40.82%NM 38.68%EV -7.07%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -3.02%E -1.08%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -5.36%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 19:50
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -7.07%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -3.02%E -1.08%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -6.73%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 04:04
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -7.07%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -3.02%E -1.08%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -6.73%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 18:49
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -7.07%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -3.02%E -1.08%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -6.73%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 04:05
ReBet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.74%EV -3.28%E -1.28%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.61%EV -3.71%E -1.33%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.65%EV -4.54%E -1.30%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-19 19:54
Pinnacle2.54I 39.37%NM 38.13%EV -3.65%E -1.44%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.97%EV -4.06%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.90%EV -1.24%E -0.346%K -0.479%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-19 19:50
Coolbet2.52I 39.68%NM 38.17%EV -4.41%E -1.75%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.73%EV -4.06%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -2.62%E -0.737%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-19 19:53
NordicBet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.28%E -1.28%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.91%EV -4.75%E -1.73%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.43%EV -3.99%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 19:44
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.28%E -1.28%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.91%EV -4.75%E -1.73%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.43%EV -3.99%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 19:34
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.28%E -1.28%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.78%EV -4.75%E -1.73%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.72%EV -5.36%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 19:54
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -7.07%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -4.75%E -1.73%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.36%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 19:50
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -7.07%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -4.75%E -1.73%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.36%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 19:50
BetRivers2.48I 40.32%NM 37.85%EV -5.93%E -2.39%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV -4.75%E -1.73%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -8.10%E -2.42%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 19:44
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -7.07%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -4.75%E -1.73%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -8.10%E -2.42%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -7.07%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -4.75%E -1.73%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -8.10%E -2.42%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 18:50
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.96%E -3.74%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -4.75%E -1.73%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -9.47%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-19 19:50
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.96%E -3.74%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -4.75%E -1.73%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -9.47%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-19 19:55
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.96%E -3.74%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -4.75%E -1.73%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -9.47%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-19 19:50
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.96%E -3.74%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -4.75%E -1.73%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -9.47%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-19 19:49
Betsson2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -3.28%E -1.28%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.43%EV -5.79%E -2.13%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.77%EV -1.24%E -0.346%K -0.479%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-19 19:55
Suprabets2.48I 40.32%NM 38.22%EV -5.93%E -2.39%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.85%EV -5.79%E -2.13%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.93%EV -3.44%E -0.977%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 19:50
Everygame2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -5.17%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -3.99%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 19:50
Bovada2.47I 40.49%NM 38.16%EV -6.31%E -2.55%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.99%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-19 19:53
BetUS2.47I 40.49%NM 38.16%EV -6.31%E -2.55%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.99%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-19 19:54
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -5.17%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.73%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 19:54
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -7.07%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.73%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-19 03:45
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -7.07%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.73%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-19 19:53
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -5.17%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.47%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-19 18:09
Caesars2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -5.17%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.47%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-19 10:26
NetBet (FR)2.42I 41.32%NM 38.19%EV -8.21%E -3.39%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.23%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -8.10%E -2.42%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-19 19:39
Virgin Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -7.83%E -3.22%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.47%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-19 19:50
LiveScore Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -7.83%E -3.22%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.47%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-19 19:49
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -5.17%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -8.21%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -3.99%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 19:45
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -8.96%E -3.74%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.21%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -1.24%E -0.346%K -0.479%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-19 19:54
PMU (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.96%EV -7.07%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -8.21%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -5.36%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 19:45
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.73%EV -8.96%E -3.74%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -8.21%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -2.62%E -0.737%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 19:54
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -7.07%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -8.21%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.73%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-19 19:54
Betclic (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -8.96%E -3.74%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -8.21%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -3.99%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-19 19:44
Fliff2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -8.96%E -3.74%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -8.21%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.47%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-19 19:50
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28%EV -7.07%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.66%EV -8.91%E -3.39%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -1.24%E -0.346%K -0.479%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 19:45
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -5.17%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.76%EV -9.25%E -3.53%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -3.99%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 19:45
Paddy Power2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -7.07%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -9.25%E -3.53%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -6.73%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-19 19:44
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -7.07%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -9.94%E -3.82%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -3.99%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-19 19:50
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -5.17%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -9.94%E -3.82%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.73%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-19 19:55
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -9.72%E -4.09%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -13.41%E -5.36%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -6.73%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-19 19:49
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.64I 37.88%NM 37.83%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.74%0.1%2026-03-19 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.62%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.32%0.3%2026-03-19 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.62%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.32%0.3%2026-03-19 19:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.64%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.75%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-03-19 19:55
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 37.65%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.62%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-03-19 19:55
Smarkets2.62I 38.17%NM 37.68%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.52%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.81%1.3%2026-03-19 19:55