La escuela de los momios

Porto v VfB Stuttgart

Inicio: 2026-03-19 20:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Porto (Local)

Predicción 37.93%2.64momio equitativo
EV -2.52%
Ventaja -0.979%
Kelly -1.60%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.57

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.08%37.99%37.92%40.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.472.452.5743.48%40.50%40.82%38.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

VfB Stuttgart (Visitante)

Predicción 34.64%2.89momio equitativo
EV +2.87%
Ventaja +0.967%
Kelly +1.46%
Crecimiento +0.042%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.97

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.64%34.62%34.60%35.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.742.752.9740.00%36.52%36.36%33.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.43%3.65momio equitativo
EV -1.24%
Ventaja -0.346%
Kelly -0.479%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.92%27.38%27.49%28.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.443.453.6030.30%29.03%28.99%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet2.44I 40.98%NM 39.73%EV -7.45%E -3.05%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.64%EV +2.87%E +0.967%K +1.46%G +0.042%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.62%EV -3.71%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-19 19:55
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 38.41%EV -3.28%E -1.28%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.01%EV -0.246%E -0.086%K -0.131%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.59%EV -2.62%E -0.737%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-19 19:50
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 38.41%EV -3.28%E -1.28%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.01%EV -0.246%E -0.086%K -0.131%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.59%EV -2.62%E -0.737%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-19 19:50
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 38.41%EV -3.28%E -1.28%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.01%EV -0.246%E -0.086%K -0.131%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.59%EV -2.62%E -0.737%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.1%2026-03-19 19:50
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 38.27%EV -3.28%E -1.28%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.24%EV -1.29%E -0.451%K -0.695%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.49%EV -2.62%E -0.737%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-19 19:50
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 38.76%EV -7.07%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -1.29%E -0.451%K -0.695%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -6.73%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 04:35
Parions Sport (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -12.76%E -5.55%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -1.29%E -0.451%K -0.695%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.99%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 18:09
Marathon Bet2.52I 39.68%NM 38.45%EV -4.41%E -1.75%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.48%EV -2.67%E -0.951%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.07%EV -1.79%E -0.501%K -0.695%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-19 19:54
LowVig.ag2.57I 38.91%NM 37.55%EV -2.52%E -0.979%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.47%EV -3.02%E -1.08%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.98%EV -5.36%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-19 19:50
BetOnline.ag2.57I 38.91%NM 37.55%EV -2.52%E -0.979%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.47%EV -3.02%E -1.08%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.98%EV -5.36%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-19 19:50
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 38.68%EV -7.07%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -3.02%E -1.08%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -5.36%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 19:50
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.68%EV -7.07%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -3.02%E -1.08%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -5.36%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 19:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.68%EV -7.07%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -3.02%E -1.08%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -5.36%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 19:50
Bally Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.68%EV -7.07%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -3.02%E -1.08%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -5.36%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 19:50
betPARX2.45I 40.82%NM 38.68%EV -7.07%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -3.02%E -1.08%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -5.36%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 19:50
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -7.07%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -3.02%E -1.08%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -6.73%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 04:04
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -7.07%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -3.02%E -1.08%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -6.73%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 18:49
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -7.07%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -3.02%E -1.08%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -6.73%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 04:05
ReBet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.74%EV -3.28%E -1.28%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.61%EV -3.71%E -1.33%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.65%EV -4.54%E -1.30%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-19 19:54
Pinnacle2.54I 39.37%NM 38.13%EV -3.65%E -1.44%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.97%EV -4.06%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.90%EV -1.24%E -0.346%K -0.479%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-19 19:50
Coolbet2.52I 39.68%NM 38.17%EV -4.41%E -1.75%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.73%EV -4.06%E -1.46%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -2.62%E -0.737%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-19 19:53
NordicBet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.28%E -1.28%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.91%EV -4.75%E -1.73%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.43%EV -3.99%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 19:44
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.28%E -1.28%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.91%EV -4.75%E -1.73%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.43%EV -3.99%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 19:34
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.28%E -1.28%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.78%EV -4.75%E -1.73%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.72%EV -5.36%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 19:54
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -7.07%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -4.75%E -1.73%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.36%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 19:50
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -7.07%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -4.75%E -1.73%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.36%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 19:50
BetRivers2.48I 40.32%NM 37.85%EV -5.93%E -2.39%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV -4.75%E -1.73%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -8.10%E -2.42%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 19:44
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -7.07%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -4.75%E -1.73%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -8.10%E -2.42%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -7.07%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -4.75%E -1.73%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -8.10%E -2.42%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 18:50
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.96%E -3.74%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -4.75%E -1.73%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -9.47%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-19 19:50
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.96%E -3.74%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -4.75%E -1.73%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -9.47%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-19 19:55
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.96%E -3.74%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -4.75%E -1.73%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -9.47%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-19 19:50
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.96%E -3.74%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -4.75%E -1.73%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -9.47%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-19 19:49
Betsson2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -3.28%E -1.28%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.43%EV -5.79%E -2.13%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.77%EV -1.24%E -0.346%K -0.479%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-19 19:55
Suprabets2.48I 40.32%NM 38.22%EV -5.93%E -2.39%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.85%EV -5.79%E -2.13%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.93%EV -3.44%E -0.977%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 19:50
Everygame2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -5.17%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -3.99%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 19:50
Bovada2.47I 40.49%NM 38.16%EV -6.31%E -2.55%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.99%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-19 19:53
BetUS2.47I 40.49%NM 38.16%EV -6.31%E -2.55%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.99%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-19 19:54
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -5.17%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.73%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 19:54
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -7.07%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.73%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-19 03:45
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -7.07%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.73%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-19 19:53
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -5.17%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.47%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-19 18:09
Caesars2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -5.17%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.47%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-19 10:26
NetBet (FR)2.42I 41.32%NM 38.19%EV -8.21%E -3.39%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.23%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.59%EV -8.10%E -2.42%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-19 19:39
Virgin Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -7.83%E -3.22%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.47%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-19 19:50
LiveScore Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.93%EV -7.83%E -3.22%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.14%EV -6.48%E -2.40%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.47%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-19 19:49
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -5.17%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -8.21%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -3.99%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 19:45
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -8.96%E -3.74%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.21%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -1.24%E -0.346%K -0.479%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-19 19:54
PMU (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.96%EV -7.07%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -8.21%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -5.36%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 19:45
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.73%EV -8.96%E -3.74%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -8.21%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -2.62%E -0.737%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 19:54
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -7.07%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -8.21%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.73%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-19 19:54
Betclic (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -8.96%E -3.74%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -8.21%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -3.99%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-19 19:44
Fliff2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -8.96%E -3.74%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -8.21%E -3.10%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.47%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-19 19:50
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.28%EV -7.07%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.66%EV -8.91%E -3.39%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -1.24%E -0.346%K -0.479%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 19:45
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -5.17%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.76%EV -9.25%E -3.53%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -3.99%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 19:45
Paddy Power2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -7.07%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -9.25%E -3.53%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -6.73%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-19 19:44
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -7.07%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -9.94%E -3.82%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -3.99%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-19 19:50
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -5.17%E -2.07%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -9.94%E -3.82%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.73%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-19 19:55
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -9.72%E -4.09%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -13.41%E -5.36%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -6.73%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-19 19:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.64I 37.88%NM 37.83%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.74%0.1%2026-03-19 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.62%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.32%0.3%2026-03-19 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.62%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.32%0.3%2026-03-19 19:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.64%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.75%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-03-19 19:55
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 37.65%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.62%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-03-19 19:55
Smarkets2.62I 38.17%NM 37.68%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.52%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.81%1.3%2026-03-19 19:55