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PFC Levski Sofia v Salzburg

2026-09-17 16:45 UTC — UEFA Europa League

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

PFC Levski Sofia (Local)

Prediction 31.85%3.14fair odd
EV -3.18%
Edge -1.05%
Kelly -1.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.04

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.73%32.06%31.85%32.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.842.853.0437.74%35.19%35.09%32.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Salzburg (Visit)

Prediction 41.38%2.42fair odd
EV -1.50%
Edge -0.632%
Kelly -1.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.89%41.30%41.38%42.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.232.222.3848.78%44.94%45.05%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.77%3.74fair odd
EV -3.64%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -1.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.50%26.64%26.77%28.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.423.403.6031.25%29.22%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: PFC Levski Sofia (Local): 31.85%; Salzburg (Visit): 41.38%; Draw: 26.77%. For Salzburg (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.42. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.38, with an expected value of -1.50%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 31.91%EV -3.18%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.76%EV -1.50%E -0.632%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.33%EV -4.98%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-30 21:09
Codere (IT)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.75%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.42%EV -4.81%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.83%EV -4.98%E -1.40%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 21:09
SportsBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.64%E -2.63%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -4.81%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.66%E -2.22%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 21:10
FanDuel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -7.64%E -2.63%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -4.81%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -8.99%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-30 21:10
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.76%EV -8.28%E -2.87%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.81%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -3.64%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 21:09
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -8.28%E -2.87%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -4.81%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -8.99%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-30 21:10
Suprabets🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 32.04%EV -8.91%E -3.12%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.09%EV -7.71%E -3.46%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 26.87%EV -8.73%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-30 21:06
ReBet🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 31.79%EV -8.91%E -3.12%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 41.14%EV -8.54%E -3.86%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.06%EV -10.07%E -3.00%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-30 21:09
Betr (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -9.23%E -3.24%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -4.81%E -2.09%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -3.64%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 21:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.73%EV -9.23%E -3.24%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.73%EV -15.16%E -7.40%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.54%EV -11.67%E -3.54%K -5.07%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-30 21:09
Betclic (FR)🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 31.58%EV -9.87%E -3.49%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.57%EV -11.02%E -5.13%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.84%EV -10.87%E -3.26%K -4.66%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-30 21:10
Bet Victor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -10.82%E -3.87%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.95%E -4.07%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -3.64%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-31 01:29
betano_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -10.82%E -3.87%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.95%E -4.07%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -3.64%E -1.01%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-31 01:30
LeoVegas🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.18%EV -10.82%E -3.87%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.33%EV -9.78%E -4.49%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -8.99%E -2.65%K -3.75%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-30 21:09
TAB🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -10.82%E -3.87%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -6.88%E -3.06%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -14.35%E -4.48%K -6.52%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-30 23:40
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -12.42%E -4.51%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -8.95%E -4.07%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -13.01%E -4.00%K -5.78%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-30 21:09
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.34%EV -14.01%E -5.19%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.59%EV -13.09%E -6.23%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.07%EV -10.33%E -3.08%K -4.40%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-30 21:09
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 32.50%EV -15.60%E -5.89%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.01%EV -13.09%E -6.23%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.50%EV -13.01%E -4.00%K -5.78%G +0.000%16.1%2026-08-30 21:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.70I 37.04%NM 31.82%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.91%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.27%16.4%2026-08-30 21:10