La scuola delle quote

Nottingham Forest v Porto

Inizio: 2026-04-16 19:00 UTC

Finale: Nottingham Forest 1–0 Porto

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

60 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Nottingham Forest (Casa)

Previsione 40.94%2.44quota equa
EV +0.720%
Vantaggio +0.293%
Kelly +0.493%
Crescita +0.004%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.46

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.43%40.96%41.00%42.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.202.322.302.4645.45%43.08%43.48%40.65%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Porto (Trasferta)

Previsione 28.72%3.48quota equa
EV -2.35%
Vantaggio -0.692%
Kelly -0.981%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.59%28.69%28.63%33.04%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.853.263.253.4035.09%30.68%30.77%29.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 30.34%3.30quota equa
EV +0.114%
Vantaggio +0.035%
Kelly +0.050%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.53%30.35%30.37%31.12%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.113.103.3033.33%32.14%32.26%30.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (60 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet2.46I 40.65%NM 39.44%EV +0.720%E +0.293%K +0.493%G +0.004%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.67%EV -6.09%E -1.86%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.90%EV -4.74%E -1.51%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-16 18:55
Unibet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV +0.310%E +0.127%K +0.214%G +0.001%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -18.15%E -6.37%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV +0.114%E +0.035%K +0.050%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 18:55
Unibet (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 40.25%EV -0.509%E -0.209%K -0.356%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.19%EV -3.79%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.56%EV -2.92%E -0.912%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-16 18:55
ATG (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 40.25%EV -0.509%E -0.209%K -0.356%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.19%EV -3.79%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.56%EV -2.92%E -0.912%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-16 18:55
Svenska Spel2.43I 41.15%NM 40.25%EV -0.509%E -0.209%K -0.356%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.19%EV -3.79%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.56%EV -2.92%E -0.912%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-16 18:55
PMU (FR)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%EV -0.509%E -0.209%K -0.356%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.15%EV -8.10%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.15%EV -2.92%E -0.912%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-16 18:55
Unibet (NL)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.35%EV -1.74%E -0.724%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.91%EV -3.79%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.74%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-16 18:50
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 39.82%EV -2.56%E -1.07%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV -10.97%E -3.54%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -2.92%E -0.912%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-16 18:44
Marathon Bet2.36I 42.37%NM 41.05%EV -3.37%E -1.43%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.49%EV -2.35%E -0.692%K -0.981%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.46%EV -3.53%E -1.11%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-16 18:20
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 41.23%EV -3.78%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.50%EV -2.35%E -0.692%K -0.981%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.28%EV -2.92%E -0.912%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-16 18:15
Pinnacle2.35I 42.55%NM 41.19%EV -3.78%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.56%EV -2.64%E -0.779%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.25%EV -2.92%E -0.912%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-16 18:45
BetOnline.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 41.17%EV -3.78%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.88%EV -3.79%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.95%EV -2.01%E -0.622%K -0.901%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-16 18:55
LowVig.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 41.17%EV -3.78%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.88%EV -3.79%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.95%EV -2.01%E -0.622%K -0.901%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-16 18:55
Betsson2.35I 42.55%NM 40.87%EV -3.78%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.11%EV -5.23%E -1.58%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.02%EV -2.92%E -0.912%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-16 18:30
NordicBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.87%EV -3.78%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.11%EV -5.23%E -1.58%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.02%EV -2.92%E -0.912%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-16 18:40
ReBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.85%EV -3.78%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.57%EV -3.50%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.57%EV -4.74%E -1.51%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-16 18:05
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.68%EV -3.78%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.97%EV -5.23%E -1.58%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.35%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 18:55
BetUS2.35I 42.55%NM 40.68%EV -3.78%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.97%EV -5.23%E -1.58%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.35%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 18:54
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 40.50%EV -3.78%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.28%EV -6.66%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30%EV -3.78%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -6.66%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 18:55
Casumo2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30%EV -3.78%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -6.66%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 18:55
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30%EV -3.78%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -6.66%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 18:55
betPARX2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30%EV -3.78%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -6.66%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 18:55
Bally Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30%EV -3.78%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -6.66%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 18:55
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.93%EV -3.78%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -10.97%E -3.54%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-16 18:45
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -3.78%E -1.61%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -10.97%E -3.54%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-16 18:45
Codere (IT)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.60%E -1.98%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.79%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.71%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 18:10
Grosvenor2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -4.60%E -1.98%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.66%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -7.47%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-16 18:45
TABtouch2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -4.60%E -1.98%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.66%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -7.47%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-16 18:45
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -5.83%E -2.54%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.23%E -1.58%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 18:00
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -5.83%E -2.54%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.23%E -1.58%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 18:05
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -5.83%E -2.54%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.23%E -1.58%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 18:10
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -5.83%E -2.54%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -5.23%E -1.58%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-16 18:05
BetRivers2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -5.83%E -2.54%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -6.66%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-16 18:05
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -5.83%E -2.54%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -8.10%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.02%EV -5.35%E -1.71%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-16 18:54
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -5.83%E -2.54%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -8.10%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 18:00
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -5.83%E -2.54%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -8.10%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 18:40
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -5.83%E -2.54%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -8.10%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 18:55
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -5.83%E -2.54%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.23%E -1.58%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-16 18:25
Caesars2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -5.83%E -2.54%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.23%E -1.58%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-16 18:20
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -5.83%E -2.54%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.66%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-16 18:45
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -5.83%E -2.54%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.66%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-16 18:44
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -5.83%E -2.54%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.66%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-16 18:45
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -5.83%E -2.54%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.66%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-16 18:45
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -5.83%E -2.54%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.10%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-16 18:40
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -5.83%E -2.54%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.10%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-16 18:00
Suprabets2.29I 43.67%NM 41.40%EV -6.24%E -2.73%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -3.79%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.29%EV -5.04%E -1.61%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-16 18:06
Bovada2.29I 43.67%NM 40.93%EV -6.24%E -2.73%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.66%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 18:50
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.88%E -3.50%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -8.10%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -2.92%E -0.912%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-16 18:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.88%E -3.50%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.23%E -1.58%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 18:05
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.88%E -3.50%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.23%E -1.58%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 18:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.88%E -3.50%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.23%E -1.58%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 18:05
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -7.88%E -3.50%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -8.10%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-16 18:05
NetBet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.33%EV -7.88%E -3.50%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.18%EV -5.23%E -1.58%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.49%EV -7.47%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-16 18:45
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.88%E -3.50%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.10%E -2.53%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-16 18:05
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.88%E -3.50%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.66%E -2.05%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-16 18:25
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.58%EV -7.88%E -3.50%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -9.53%E -3.03%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-16 18:55
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.58%EV -7.88%E -3.50%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -9.53%E -3.03%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-16 18:55
Betclic (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -9.93%E -4.51%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -2.35%E -0.692%K -0.981%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-16 18:31
Fliff2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -9.93%E -4.51%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -9.53%E -3.03%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-16 18:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.44I 40.98%NM 41.04%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.61%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.35%-0.1%2026-04-16 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.87%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.91%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.22%0.3%2026-04-16 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.87%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.91%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.22%0.3%2026-04-16 18:50
Smarkets2.44I 40.98%NM 40.70%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.09%0.7%2026-04-16 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.70%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.09%0.7%2026-04-16 18:50
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 40.79%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.15%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.06%3.0%2026-04-16 18:55