Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Marseille v Olympiakos Piraeus

2026-10-15 19:00 UTC — UEFA Europa League

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Marseille (Local)

Prediction 45.80%2.18fair odd
EV -3.83%
Edge -1.82%
Kelly -3.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.11%45.83%45.80%47.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.842.002.002.1054.35%49.91%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Olympiakos Piraeus (Visit)

Prediction 28.81%3.47fair odd
EV -0.610%
Edge -0.177%
Kelly -0.249%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.37%28.80%28.83%29.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.213.203.4532.79%31.15%31.25%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.40%3.94fair odd
EV -3.50%
Edge -0.920%
Kelly -1.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.24%25.37%25.37%25.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.653.703.8028.57%27.37%27.03%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Marseille (Local): 45.80%; Olympiakos Piraeus (Visit): 28.81%; Draw: 25.40%. For Olympiakos Piraeus (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.47. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.45, with an expected value of -0.610%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.17%EV -3.83%E -1.82%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.11%EV -0.610%E -0.177%K -0.249%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.72%EV -4.26%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-22 14:14
Marathon Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.99%EV -4.75%E -2.28%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.30%EV -2.63%E -0.777%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.71%EV -5.53%E -1.49%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-22 14:19
Pinnacle🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.70%EV -4.75%E -2.28%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.54%EV -4.07%E -1.22%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.76%EV -6.29%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-22 14:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.08%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.06%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -3.50%E -0.920%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-22 14:14
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.93%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.97%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -4.77%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-22 14:14
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -7.81%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.50%E -0.920%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-22 14:14
FanDuel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -6.12%E -2.98%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -7.81%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -3.50%E -0.920%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-22 14:14
Suprabets🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -7.49%E -3.71%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -7.81%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -9.85%E -2.77%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-22 14:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -8.41%E -4.20%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -4.93%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -8.58%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-22 14:09
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -8.41%E -4.20%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.81%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -6.04%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-22 14:09
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -8.41%E -4.20%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.81%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -6.04%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-22 14:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -8.41%E -4.20%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.81%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -6.04%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-22 14:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -8.41%E -4.20%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.81%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -6.04%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-22 14:10
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -8.41%E -4.20%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -10.69%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -3.50%E -0.920%K -1.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-22 14:14
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.41%E -4.20%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.18%EV -10.12%E -3.24%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.58%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-22 14:13
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.41%E -4.20%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.18%EV -10.12%E -3.24%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.58%E -2.38%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-22 14:12
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -8.41%E -4.20%K -8.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -10.69%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -11.12%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-22 14:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.43%EV -9.32%E -4.71%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -7.81%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -6.04%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-22 14:09
ReBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.95%EV -9.32%E -4.71%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -7.81%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -9.85%E -2.77%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-22 14:10
LeoVegas🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -10.70%E -5.49%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -7.81%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -11.12%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-22 14:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.33%EV -11.61%E -6.02%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.12%EV -8.39%E -2.64%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -11.12%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-22 14:13
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 45.91%EV -12.07%E -6.29%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.90%EV -12.13%E -3.98%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.19%EV -11.12%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-22 14:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 47.60%EV -15.74%E -8.55%K -18.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -7.81%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.03%EV -11.12%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-22 14:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 21.05%1.12I 89.29%NM 39.47%1.12I 89.29%NM 39.47%126.2%2026-09-22 14:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 21.05%1.12I 89.29%NM 39.47%1.12I 89.29%NM 39.47%126.2%2026-09-22 14:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 32.93%1.12I 89.29%NM 32.93%1.08I 92.59%NM 34.15%171.2%2026-09-22 14:14