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Lillestrom v Viktoria Plzeň

2026-11-05 17:45 UTC — UEFA Europa League

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lillestrom (Local)

Prediction 34.96%2.86fair odd
EV -3.86%
Edge -1.40%
Kelly -2.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.67%34.99%35.04%36.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.632.602.7540.00%38.08%38.46%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Viktoria Plzeň (Visit)

Prediction 39.52%2.53fair odd
EV +0.370%
Edge +0.145%
Kelly +0.240%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.16%39.43%39.61%39.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.372.372.5445.45%42.23%42.19%39.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.52%3.92fair odd
EV -4.29%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -1.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.06%25.58%25.35%26.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.603.633.7529.41%27.79%27.59%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Lillestrom (Local): 34.96%; Viktoria Plzeň (Visit): 39.52%; Draw: 25.52%. For Viktoria Plzeň (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.53. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.54, producing a positive expected value of +0.370%.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -3.86%E -1.40%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.20%EV +0.370%E +0.145%K +0.240%G +0.001%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.51%EV -6.59%E -1.80%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-23 15:40
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -8.40%E -3.21%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.16%EV -1.21%E -0.484%K -0.807%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.44%EV -4.29%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-23 15:44
NordicBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.90%EV -3.86%E -1.40%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.17%EV -3.19%E -1.30%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.94%EV -5.56%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-23 15:54
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.30%EV -9.10%E -3.50%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -3.19%E -1.30%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -4.29%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-23 15:44
Betsson🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.85%EV -4.91%E -1.80%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.17%EV -4.37%E -1.81%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.97%EV -6.84%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-23 15:50
SportsBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.58%EV -7.35%E -2.77%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.28%EV -5.16%E -2.15%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -4.29%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-23 15:44
FanDuel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.46%EV -7.35%E -2.77%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.15%EV -5.16%E -2.15%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -5.56%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-23 15:45
betano_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.27%EV -9.10%E -3.50%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.53%EV -5.95%E -2.50%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -10.67%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-23 15:44
Bet Victor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.27%EV -9.10%E -3.50%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.53%EV -5.95%E -2.50%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -10.67%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-23 15:44
Pinnacle🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.68%EV -4.91%E -1.80%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.97%EV -6.74%E -2.86%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.36%EV -5.05%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-23 15:50
picklebet_au🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -9.10%E -3.50%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -7.14%E -3.04%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -10.67%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-23 15:45
ReBet🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 34.78%EV -8.75%E -3.35%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 39.29%EV -8.72%E -3.77%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -10.67%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-23 15:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.18%EV -9.10%E -3.50%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.77%EV -9.11%E -3.96%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.06%EV -6.84%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-23 15:45
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -9.10%E -3.50%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -9.11%E -3.96%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -8.12%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-23 15:49
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -9.10%E -3.50%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.20%EV -9.11%E -3.96%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.13%EV -11.94%E -3.46%K -4.88%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-23 15:45
Unibet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.13%EV -12.60%E -5.04%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.04%EV -11.09%E -4.93%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -13.22%E -3.89%K -5.51%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-23 15:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.08%EV -12.60%E -5.04%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.86%EV -13.07%E -5.94%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -10.67%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-23 15:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.63I 38.02%NM 34.54%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.17%3.33I 30.03%NM 27.28%10.1%2026-10-23 15:45
Smarkets◎2.48I 40.32%NM 34.60%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.00%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.40%16.5%2026-10-23 15:45

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 47.81%2.40I 41.67%NM 52.19%-20.2%2026-10-23 15:54