Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Lillestrom v Torreense

Início: 2026-09-17 19:00 UTC

Final: Lillestrom 1–2 Torreense

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

54 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Lillestrom (Local)

Previsão 53.74%1.86odd justa
EV -2.73%
Vantagem -1.51%
Kelly -3.38%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.81

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.40%53.70%53.88%55.01%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.681.741.751.8159.52%57.34%57.14%55.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Torreense (Visitante)

Previsão 21.38%4.68odd justa
EV +1.55%
Vantagem +0.326%
Kelly +0.412%
Crescimento +0.006%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.23%21.43%21.28%23.12%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.004.404.404.7525.00%22.71%22.73%21.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 24.88%4.02odd justa
EV -0.465%
Vantagem -0.116%
Kelly -0.155%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.07%24.87%24.84%26.01%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.553.793.804.0028.17%26.42%26.32%25.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Lillestrom (Local): 53.74%; Torreense (Visitante): 21.38%; Empate: 24.88%. Para Torreense (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.68. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.75, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.55%.

Odds das casas de apostas (54 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.75%EV -4.88%E -2.76%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.40%EV +1.55%E +0.326%K +0.412%G +0.006%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.85%EV -2.95%E -0.757%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-17 18:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.89%EV -5.42%E -3.08%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.34%EV +1.55%E +0.326%K +0.412%G +0.006%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.77%EV -2.95%E -0.757%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-17 18:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.89%EV -5.42%E -3.08%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.34%EV +1.55%E +0.326%K +0.412%G +0.006%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.77%EV -2.95%E -0.757%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-17 18:35
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.01%EV -8.11%E -4.74%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.23%EV -0.592%E -0.127%K -0.162%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -5.44%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-17 18:10
Pinnacle🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.96%EV -3.81%E -2.13%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.95%EV -1.45%E -0.314%K -0.401%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.09%EV -4.20%E -1.09%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-17 18:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -5.96%E -3.40%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.93%EV -1.66%E -0.361%K -0.461%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.07%EV -0.465%E -0.116%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-17 18:40
betPARX🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -5.96%E -3.40%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.93%EV -1.66%E -0.361%K -0.461%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.07%EV -0.465%E -0.116%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-17 18:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -5.96%E -3.40%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.93%EV -1.66%E -0.361%K -0.461%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.07%EV -0.465%E -0.116%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-17 18:40
Bally Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -5.96%E -3.40%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.93%EV -1.66%E -0.361%K -0.461%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.07%EV -0.465%E -0.116%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-17 18:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -5.96%E -3.40%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.93%EV -1.66%E -0.361%K -0.461%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.07%EV -0.465%E -0.116%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-17 18:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -5.96%E -3.40%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.93%EV -1.66%E -0.361%K -0.461%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.07%EV -0.465%E -0.116%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-17 18:40
Casumo🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -5.96%E -3.40%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.93%EV -1.66%E -0.361%K -0.461%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.07%EV -0.465%E -0.116%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-17 18:40
Unibet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -5.96%E -3.40%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.93%EV -1.66%E -0.361%K -0.461%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.07%EV -0.465%E -0.116%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-17 18:40
Suprabets🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.50%EV -6.50%E -3.73%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.61%EV -1.66%E -0.361%K -0.461%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.89%EV -5.19%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-17 18:48
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.00%EV -4.35%E -2.44%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.36%EV -3.80%E -0.844%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.64%EV -2.95%E -0.757%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-17 18:55
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.96%EV -4.88%E -2.76%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.23%EV -3.80%E -0.844%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.81%EV -4.20%E -1.09%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-17 18:30
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.96%E -3.40%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -3.80%E -0.844%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.42%E -2.89%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-17 18:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.70%EV -4.35%E -2.44%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.48%EV -4.87%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.83%EV -4.20%E -1.09%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-17 18:55
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.12%EV -5.96%E -3.40%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.28%EV -4.87%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.60%EV -4.20%E -1.09%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-17 18:55
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -3.27%E -1.82%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.66%EV -5.94%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -6.69%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-17 18:35
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.35%EV -4.88%E -2.76%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.46%EV -5.94%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.18%EV -6.69%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-17 18:30
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -5.96%E -3.40%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -5.94%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.69%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-17 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -5.96%E -3.40%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -5.94%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.69%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-17 18:30
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.10%EV -7.03%E -4.07%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -5.94%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -5.44%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-17 18:45
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.10%EV -7.03%E -4.07%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -5.94%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -5.44%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-17 18:45
SportsBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -4.88%E -2.76%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -5.94%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -10.42%E -2.89%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-17 18:40
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.39%EV -8.11%E -4.74%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -5.94%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -5.44%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-17 18:35
Grosvenor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.71%EV -8.65%E -5.09%K -12.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -5.94%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.16%EV -4.20%E -1.09%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-17 18:40
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -5.96%E -3.40%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -5.94%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -10.42%E -2.89%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-17 18:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -5.96%E -3.40%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -5.94%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -10.42%E -2.89%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-17 18:55
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -5.96%E -3.40%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -5.94%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -10.42%E -2.89%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-17 18:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -5.96%E -3.40%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -5.94%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -10.42%E -2.89%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-17 18:55
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.03%EV -8.11%E -4.74%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -5.94%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -7.93%E -2.14%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-17 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.40%EV -8.65%E -5.09%K -12.35%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.26%EV -7.01%E -1.61%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -5.44%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-17 18:40
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.76%EV -5.96%E -3.40%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -7.01%E -1.61%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -11.66%E -3.29%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-17 18:55
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.70%EV -9.72%E -5.79%K -14.29%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -7.01%E -1.61%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.44%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-17 18:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.70%EV -9.72%E -5.79%K -14.29%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -7.01%E -1.61%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.44%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-17 18:35
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.70%EV -9.72%E -5.79%K -14.29%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -7.01%E -1.61%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.44%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-17 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -5.96%E -3.40%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.53%EV -7.43%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -7.93%E -2.14%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-17 18:35
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.90%EV -5.96%E -3.40%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.38%EV -7.43%E -1.72%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -10.42%E -2.89%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-17 18:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.71%EV -2.73%E -1.51%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.19%EV -8.07%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.11%EV -5.44%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-17 18:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.85%EV -3.27%E -1.82%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -8.07%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.03%EV -5.44%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-17 18:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.77%EV -8.11%E -4.74%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -8.07%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -7.93%E -2.14%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-17 18:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.81%EV -8.11%E -4.74%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -9.14%E -2.15%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -6.69%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-17 18:30
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -3.27%E -1.82%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -10.21%E -2.43%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.69%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-17 18:40
LeoVegas🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.81%EV -4.88%E -2.76%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -10.21%E -2.43%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -6.69%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-17 18:50
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -5.96%E -3.40%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -10.21%E -2.43%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.44%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-17 18:30
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.64%EV -4.88%E -2.76%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -10.21%E -2.43%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -7.93%E -2.14%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-17 18:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.64%EV -8.65%E -5.09%K -12.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -10.21%E -2.43%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -7.93%E -2.14%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-17 18:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.64%EV -8.65%E -5.09%K -12.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -10.21%E -2.43%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -7.93%E -2.14%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-17 18:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 53.15%EV -9.18%E -5.43%K -13.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.91%EV -12.35%E -3.01%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -10.42%E -2.89%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-17 18:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.54%EV -5.42%E -3.08%K -7.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -14.49%E -3.62%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -5.44%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-17 18:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.66%EV -6.50%E -3.73%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -14.49%E -3.62%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -6.69%E -1.78%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-17 18:30
BoyleSports🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.65%E -5.09%K -12.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -14.49%E -3.62%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -10.42%E -2.89%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-17 18:33
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.64%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.78%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.58%0.2%2026-09-17 18:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.77%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.72%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51%0.5%2026-09-17 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.77%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.72%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.51%0.5%2026-09-17 18:55
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 54.32%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.43%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.25%2.8%2026-09-17 18:40