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Lech Poznań v Bayer Leverkusen
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Lech Poznań (Local)
Prediction 15.04%6.65fair odd
EV +5.25%
Edge +0.750%
Kelly +0.875%
Growth +0.046%
assuming max odds 7.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.76%15.18%15.00%17.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.206.196.257.0019.23%16.14%16.00%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Bayer Leverkusen (Visit)
Prediction 65.91%1.52fair odd
EV -1.13%
Edge -0.756%
Kelly -2.27%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.16%65.76%65.95%67.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.431.421.5073.53%70.14%70.42%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 19.05%5.25fair odd
EV -0.353%
Edge -0.067%
Kelly -0.083%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.02%19.06%19.05%20.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.404.915.005.2322.73%20.36%20.00%19.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lech Poznań (Local): 15.04%; Bayer Leverkusen (Visit): 65.91%; Draw: 19.05%. For Lech Poznań (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.65. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.25%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.76%EV +5.25%E +0.750%K +0.875%G +0.046% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -5.75%E -4.02%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.89%EV -2.83%E -0.555%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-15 16:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.76%EV +5.25%E +0.750%K +0.875%G +0.046% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -5.75%E -4.02%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.89%EV -2.83%E -0.555%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-15 16:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.76%EV +5.25%E +0.750%K +0.875%G +0.046% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -5.75%E -4.02%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.89%EV -2.83%E -0.555%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-15 16:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.76%EV +5.25%E +0.750%K +0.875%G +0.046% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -5.75%E -4.02%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.89%EV -2.83%E -0.555%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-15 16:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.08%EV +1.49%E +0.221%K +0.260%G +0.004% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.92%EV -6.41%E -4.51%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.00%EV -4.73%E -0.947%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-15 16:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.08%EV +1.49%E +0.221%K +0.260%G +0.004% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.92%EV -6.41%E -4.51%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.00%EV -4.73%E -0.947%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-15 16:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.08%EV +1.49%E +0.221%K +0.260%G +0.004% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.92%EV -6.41%E -4.51%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.00%EV -4.73%E -0.947%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-15 16:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.08%EV +1.49%E +0.221%K +0.260%G +0.004% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.92%EV -6.41%E -4.51%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.00%EV -4.73%E -0.947%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-15 16:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.46%EV +0.291%E +0.044%K +0.051%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.52%EV -4.43%E -3.05%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 5.07I 19.72%NM 19.02%EV -3.40%E -0.671%K -0.836%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-15 16:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.56%EV -0.762%E -0.115%K -0.136%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.83%EV -3.77%E -2.58%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.61%EV -6.64%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-15 16:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.71%EV -2.27%E -0.349%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.96%EV -4.43%E -3.05%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.32%EV -5.69%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-15 16:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.68%EV -2.27%E -0.349%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.25%EV -5.09%E -3.53%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -4.73%E -0.947%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.66%EV -2.27%E -0.349%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.70%EV -4.43%E -3.05%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.64%EV -7.59%E -1.57%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-15 16:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV -2.27%E -0.349%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.40%EV -5.75%E -4.02%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.99%EV -4.73%E -0.947%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-15 16:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.48%EV -2.27%E -0.349%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.30%EV -6.41%E -4.51%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV -6.64%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-15 16:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -2.27%E -0.349%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.12%EV -7.72%E -5.52%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.42%EV -2.83%E -0.555%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.42%EV -2.27%E -0.349%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.46%EV -7.07%E -5.01%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -6.64%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-15 16:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.42%EV -2.27%E -0.349%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.46%EV -7.07%E -5.01%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -6.64%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-15 16:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -2.27%E -0.349%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -7.72%E -5.52%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -4.73%E -0.947%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-15 16:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -2.27%E -0.349%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -7.72%E -5.52%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -4.73%E -0.947%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-15 16:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -2.27%E -0.349%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -7.72%E -5.52%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -4.73%E -0.947%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -2.27%E -0.349%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.90%EV -6.41%E -4.51%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -9.50%E -2.00%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -2.27%E -0.349%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.44%EV -9.04%E -6.55%K -23.80%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -2.83%E -0.555%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -2.27%E -0.349%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -10.36%E -7.62%K -28.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -4.73%E -0.947%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 6.45I 15.50%NM 14.98%EV -3.02%E -0.468%K -0.554%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.71%EV -3.11%E -2.12%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.32%EV -4.73%E -0.947%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-15 15:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.07%EV -3.77%E -0.589%K -0.698%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.50%EV -4.43%E -3.05%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 5.23I 19.12%NM 18.44%EV -0.353%E -0.067%K -0.083%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-15 16:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.07%EV -3.77%E -0.589%K -0.698%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.50%EV -4.43%E -3.05%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 5.23I 19.12%NM 18.44%EV -0.353%E -0.067%K -0.083%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-15 16:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.98%EV -3.77%E -0.589%K -0.698%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.11%EV -4.43%E -3.05%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 5.07I 19.72%NM 18.91%EV -3.40%E -0.671%K -0.836%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -6.02%E -0.964%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.17%EV -6.41%E -4.51%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -4.73%E -0.947%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -6.02%E -0.964%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -5.75%E -4.02%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -12.36%E -2.69%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-15 16:31 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV -6.02%E -0.964%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.84%EV -7.72%E -5.52%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -9.50%E -2.00%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-15 16:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV -6.02%E -0.964%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.84%EV -7.72%E -5.52%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -9.50%E -2.00%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-15 16:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV -6.02%E -0.964%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.84%EV -7.72%E -5.52%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -9.50%E -2.00%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-15 16:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.31%EV -6.78%E -1.09%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.90%EV -5.09%E -3.53%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.79%EV -3.78%E -0.749%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-15 16:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.82%EV -8.28%E -1.36%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.52%EV -9.04%E -6.55%K -23.80%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -12.36%E -2.69%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-15 16:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.78%EV -9.78%E -1.63%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.29%EV -4.43%E -3.05%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.93%EV -4.73%E -0.947%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -9.78%E -1.63%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.45%EV -5.09%E -3.53%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -4.73%E -0.947%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -9.78%E -1.63%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -6.41%E -4.51%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -4.73%E -0.947%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-15 16:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.43%EV -9.78%E -1.63%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.67%EV -7.07%E -5.01%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.90%EV -6.64%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -9.78%E -1.63%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -7.72%E -5.52%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -4.73%E -0.947%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-15 16:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -9.78%E -1.63%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.12%EV -6.41%E -4.51%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.47%EV -9.50%E -2.00%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-15 16:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -9.78%E -1.63%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.12%EV -6.41%E -4.51%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.47%EV -9.50%E -2.00%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-15 16:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.23%EV -9.78%E -1.63%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 65.74%EV -8.38%E -6.03%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.04%EV -8.55%E -1.78%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -9.78%E -1.63%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -10.36%E -7.62%K -28.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -4.73%E -0.947%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-15 16:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 5.95I 16.81%NM 15.34%EV -10.54%E -1.77%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 65.65%EV -8.38%E -6.03%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -8.55%E -1.78%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.90%EV -12.79%E -2.21%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.05%EV -5.09%E -3.53%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -12.36%E -2.69%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV -13.54%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.38%EV -2.45%E -1.66%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06%EV -4.73%E -0.947%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-15 15:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.35%EV -13.54%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.84%EV -4.43%E -3.05%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -4.73%E -0.947%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-15 15:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -13.54%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.37%EV -5.09%E -3.53%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -9.50%E -2.00%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.07%EV -13.54%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.07%EV -6.41%E -4.51%K -15.25%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -6.64%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -13.54%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.96%EV -5.09%E -3.53%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -12.36%E -2.69%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -13.54%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.96%EV -5.09%E -3.53%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -12.36%E -2.69%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -13.54%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.96%EV -5.09%E -3.53%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -12.36%E -2.69%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.84%EV -14.29%E -2.51%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.97%EV -1.13%E -0.756%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.19%EV -4.73%E -0.947%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-15 15:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.44%EV -14.29%E -2.51%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.54%EV -5.75%E -4.02%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -0.924%E -0.178%K -0.220%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -17.30%E -3.15%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.39%EV -2.45%E -1.66%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -8.55%E -1.78%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-15 15:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -17.30%E -3.15%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.39%EV -2.45%E -1.66%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -8.55%E -1.78%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-15 15:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -17.30%E -3.15%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.39%EV -2.45%E -1.66%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -8.55%E -1.78%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-15 15:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.60%EV -17.30%E -3.15%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.76%EV -7.07%E -5.01%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -6.64%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.59%EV -17.30%E -3.15%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -7.72%E -5.52%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -4.73%E -0.947%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-15 15:58 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -17.30%E -3.15%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.55%EV -7.72%E -5.52%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.02%EV -9.50%E -2.00%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-15 16:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.88%EV -21.81%E -4.19%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 63.16%EV -8.38%E -6.03%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.95%EV -16.17%E -3.67%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-10-15 16:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.69% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.09% | 0.5% | 2026-10-15 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.69% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.09% | 0.5% | 2026-10-15 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.69% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.09% | 0.5% | 2026-10-15 16:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.69% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.09% | 0.5% | 2026-10-15 16:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.04% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.77% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.20% | 1.8% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.56% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.98% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.46% | 3.0% | 2026-10-15 16:35 |