默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Juventus v NEC Nijmegen

2026-09-17 19:00 UTC — UEFA Europa League

胜负盘

15 家博彩公司 (3 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Juventus (主队)

预测 67.08%1.49公平赔率
EV -5.42%
优势 -3.84%
Kelly -13.22%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.41

博彩公司预测分布
63.99%67.08%67.39%67.54%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.311.371.381.4176.34%72.92%72.46%70.92%最小值均值中位数最大值

NEC Nijmegen (客队)

预测 13.33%7.50公平赔率
EV -0.054%
优势 -0.007%
Kelly -0.008%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 7.50

博彩公司预测分布
12.52%13.33%13.21%14.93%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.806.706.707.5017.24%14.93%14.93%13.33%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 19.59%5.10公平赔率
EV -3.99%
优势 -0.813%
Kelly -1.02%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.90

博彩公司预测分布
19.27%19.59%19.39%21.08%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.254.554.504.9023.53%22.00%22.22%20.41%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Juventus (主队):67.08%;NEC Nijmegen (客队):13.33%;平局:19.59%。 对于“NEC Nijmegen (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为7.504。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率:当前最佳赔率为7.500,期望值为-0.054%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (15 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Codere (IT)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.40%EV -5.42%E -3.84%K -13.22%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.20%EV -4.05%E -0.563%K -0.653%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.40%EV -3.99%E -0.813%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 21:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.07%EV -6.09%E -4.35%K -15.22%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.95%EV -3.39%E -0.467%K -0.542%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.98%EV -7.90%E -1.68%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 21:10
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.07%EV -6.09%E -4.35%K -15.22%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -0.054%E -0.007%K -0.008%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -9.86%E -2.14%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 21:09
TAB🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.99%EV -6.09%E -4.35%K -15.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.93%EV -20.04%E -3.34%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.08%EV -16.72%E -3.93%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-30 23:40
SportsBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.51%EV -6.76%E -4.86%K -17.33%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.94%EV -3.39%E -0.467%K -0.542%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -5.94%E -1.24%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 21:10
Suprabets🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 66.08%EV -6.76%E -4.86%K -17.33%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.51%EV -9.38%E -1.38%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -11.82%E -2.63%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-30 21:06
ReBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.11%EV -7.43%E -5.38%K -19.56%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.62%EV -10.71%E -1.60%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -11.82%E -2.63%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 21:09
LeoVegas🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.53%EV -7.43%E -5.38%K -19.56%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -13.38%E -2.06%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.55%EV -13.78%E -3.13%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 21:09
FanDuel🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.52%EV -8.10%E -5.91%K -21.90%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -6.72%E -0.960%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -5.94%E -1.24%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-30 21:10
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -8.77%E -6.45%K -24.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -6.72%E -0.960%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -6.92%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-30 21:10
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.29%EV -8.77%E -6.45%K -24.37%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.21%EV -16.71%E -2.67%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -15.15%E -3.50%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-30 21:09
Betclic (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.32%EV -9.44%E -7.00%K -26.98%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.56%EV -12.05%E -1.83%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.12%EV -12.80%E -2.88%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-30 21:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 65.74%EV -10.11%E -7.55%K -29.75%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.68%EV -20.04%E -3.34%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.58%EV -11.82%E -2.63%K -3.38%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-30 21:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 64.99%EV -10.79%E -8.11%K -32.68%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 14.90%EV -22.71%E -3.92%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.10%EV -15.74%E -3.66%K -4.77%G +0.000%15.7%2026-08-30 21:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 66.84%EV -12.13%E -9.26%K -39.12%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.27%EV -12.05%E -1.83%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.90%EV -13.78%E -3.13%K -4.05%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-30 21:09
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。