Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ferencváros TC v Torreense

2026-10-22 16:45 UTC — UEFA Europa League

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ferencváros TC (Local)

Prediction 68.13%1.47fair odd
EV -2.58%
Edge -1.80%
Kelly -5.99%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.50%67.93%68.22%70.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.361.361.4376.92%73.33%73.53%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Torreense (Visit)

Prediction 12.13%8.24fair odd
EV +16.45%
Edge +1.71%
Kelly +1.91%
Growth +0.315%

assuming max odds 9.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.98%12.40%12.00%14.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.007.697.959.6016.67%13.01%12.58%10.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 19.74%5.07fair odd
EV +3.64%
Edge +0.693%
Kelly +0.856%
Growth +0.031%

assuming max odds 5.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.03%19.67%19.78%21.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.704.755.2523.81%21.30%21.05%19.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Ferencváros TC (Local): 68.13%; Torreense (Visit): 12.13%; Draw: 19.74%. For Torreense (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.24. 7 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 9.60, producing a positive expected value of +16.45%.

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
NordicBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.46%EV -7.34%E -5.40%K -20.40%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.98%EV +16.45%E +1.71%K +1.91%G +0.315%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.56%EV -3.27%E -0.668%K -0.839%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-16 01:10
Coolbet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.21%EV -8.03%E -5.95%K -22.93%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.83%EV +6.14%E +0.702%K +0.793%G +0.049%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.30%E -0.260%K -0.325%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-15 23:55
betfred_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.83%EV -7.34%E -5.40%K -20.40%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.17%EV +3.11%E +0.366%K +0.415%G +0.013%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.99%EV -1.30%E -0.260%K -0.325%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-15 23:54
SportsBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.40%EV -8.71%E -6.50%K -25.61%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV +3.11%E +0.366%K +0.415%G +0.013%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.50%EV +0.676%E +0.132%K +0.165%G +0.001%6.0%2026-10-15 23:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.72%EV -8.03%E -5.95%K -22.93%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.07%EV +3.11%E +0.366%K +0.415%G +0.013%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV -3.27%E -0.668%K -0.839%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-15 23:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.14%EV -7.34%E -5.40%K -20.40%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.06%EV +3.11%E +0.366%K +0.415%G +0.013%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.80%EV -6.23%E -1.31%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-16 00:15
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -9.39%E -7.06%K -28.45%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV +3.11%E +0.366%K +0.415%G +0.013%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -1.30%E -0.260%K -0.325%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-15 23:55
Fanatics🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.13%EV -8.03%E -5.95%K -22.93%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -2.96%E -0.369%K -0.422%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV +3.64%E +0.693%K +0.856%G +0.031%5.6%2026-10-16 00:15
Bet Right🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.82%EV -8.03%E -5.95%K -22.93%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -2.96%E -0.369%K -0.422%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -6.23%E -1.31%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-15 23:55
FanDuel🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.39%EV -10.75%E -8.21%K -34.68%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.53%EV -2.96%E -0.369%K -0.422%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.08%EV +0.676%E +0.132%K +0.165%G +0.001%8.4%2026-10-15 23:55
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -9.39%E -7.06%K -28.45%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -2.96%E -0.369%K -0.422%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -6.23%E -1.31%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-16 00:00
1xBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.81%EV -2.58%E -1.80%K -5.99%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 12.27%EV -4.17%E -0.528%K -0.604%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.91%EV -3.86%E -0.794%K -0.999%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-16 00:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.82%EV -3.94%E -2.79%K -9.60%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.26%EV -5.38%E -0.690%K -0.791%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.92%EV -5.25%E -1.09%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-16 00:10
LeoVegas🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.55%EV -3.26%E -2.29%K -7.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -15.09%E -2.16%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -13.14%E -2.99%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-16 00:00
picklebet_au🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -4.62%E -3.30%K -11.55%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -15.09%E -2.16%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -14.52%E -3.35%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-15 23:54
Sky Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.10%EV -11.43%E -8.79%K -38.11%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.65%EV -15.09%E -2.16%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.25%EV -9.19%E -2.00%K -2.55%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-16 00:20
ReBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 65.26%EV -5.30%E -3.81%K -13.59%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.15%EV -16.30%E -2.36%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -17.09%E -4.07%K -5.34%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-15 23:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.75%EV -7.34%E -5.40%K -20.40%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 12.96%EV -16.30%E -2.36%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -17.09%E -4.07%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-15 23:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 65.96%EV -8.71%E -6.50%K -25.61%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.00%EV -17.51%E -2.58%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.04%EV -17.09%E -4.07%K -5.34%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-16 00:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -4.62%E -3.30%K -11.55%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -21.15%E -3.25%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -11.17%E -2.48%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-15 23:55
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -4.62%E -3.30%K -11.55%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -21.15%E -3.25%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -11.17%E -2.48%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-16 00:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.50%EV -7.34%E -5.40%K -20.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.62%EV -27.22%E -4.54%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.88%EV -17.09%E -4.07%K -5.34%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-15 23:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.36I 73.53%NM 64.41%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.69%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.90%14.2%2026-10-15 23:55
Kalshi◎1.28I 78.13%NM 49.11%2.94I 34.01%NM 21.38%2.13I 46.95%NM 29.51%59.1%2026-10-16 01:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-16 00:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-16 00:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-16 00:35
Arbitrage (4 combinations) +0.61%1xBet 1.43 (70.4%) / NordicBet 9.60 (10.5%) / Fanatics 5.25 (19.2%)Show all 4 combinations
Ferencváros TC (Local)Torreense (Visit)DrawMargin
1xBet🎯 1.43 (70.4%)NordicBet🎯 9.60 (10.5%)Fanatics🎯 5.25 (19.2%)+0.609%
LeoVegas🎯 1.42 (70.5%)NordicBet🎯 9.60 (10.4%)Fanatics🎯 5.25 (19.1%)+0.113%
1xBet🎯 1.43 (70.0%)NordicBet🎯 9.60 (10.4%)SportsBet🎯 5.10 (19.6%)+0.045%
1xBet🎯 1.43 (70.0%)NordicBet🎯 9.60 (10.4%)FanDuel🎯 5.10 (19.6%)+0.045%