默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Dinamo Zagreb v NEC Nijmegen

2026-10-22 16:45 UTC — UEFA Europa League

胜负盘

23 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Dinamo Zagreb (主队)

预测 53.52%1.87公平赔率
EV -1.52%
优势 -0.824%
Kelly -1.80%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.84

博彩公司预测分布
52.24%53.49%53.45%54.75%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.651.741.741.8460.61%57.46%57.47%54.35%最小值均值中位数最大值

NEC Nijmegen (客队)

预测 22.01%4.54公平赔率
EV +0.160%
优势 +0.035%
Kelly +0.045%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.55

博彩公司预测分布
21.04%21.98%22.18%22.84%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.904.234.204.5525.64%23.64%23.81%21.98%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 24.46%4.09公平赔率
EV -2.15%
优势 -0.537%
Kelly -0.717%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.00

博彩公司预测分布
23.60%24.53%24.37%26.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.453.783.854.0028.99%26.45%25.97%25.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Dinamo Zagreb (主队):53.52%;NEC Nijmegen (客队):22.01%;平局:24.46%。 对于“NEC Nijmegen (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.54。 有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为4.55,由此产生+0.160%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (23 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.71%EV -6.33%E -3.62%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.04%EV +0.160%E +0.035%K +0.045%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.24%EV -3.37%E -0.854%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-16 01:10
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.42%EV -6.33%E -3.62%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -0.940%E -0.209%K -0.269%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.60%E -1.18%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-16 01:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.26%E -2.97%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -0.940%E -0.209%K -0.269%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -7.04%E -1.85%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-16 00:15
picklebet_au🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -6.33%E -3.62%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -4.68%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -14.38%E -4.11%K -5.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-15 23:50
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.93%EV -5.26%E -2.97%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%EV -5.34%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.87%EV -2.15%E -0.537%K -0.717%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-16 00:15
SportsBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.03%EV -6.87%E -3.95%K -9.28%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -5.34%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -4.60%E -1.18%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-15 23:50
LeoVegas🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -5.26%E -2.97%K -6.83%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -5.34%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -10.71%E -2.93%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-15 23:50
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.75%EV -9.54%E -5.65%K -13.83%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -5.34%E -1.24%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.73%EV -4.60%E -1.18%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-15 23:50
1xBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.79%EV -1.52%E -0.824%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.80%EV -6.22%E -1.46%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.41%EV -2.64%E -0.663%K -0.886%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-16 00:20
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.23%EV -3.66%E -2.03%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.81%EV -7.54%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -2.15%E -0.537%K -0.717%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-15 23:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.83%EV -3.12%E -1.72%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.77%EV -7.54%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.40%EV -4.11%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-16 00:10
Coolbet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.51%EV -4.73%E -2.66%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV -7.54%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.15%E -0.537%K -0.717%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-15 23:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -6.33%E -3.62%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -7.54%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -2.15%E -0.537%K -0.717%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-16 00:09
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.56%EV -7.40%E -4.28%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -7.54%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -7.04%E -1.85%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-15 23:49
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.16%EV -9.01%E -5.30%K -12.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -7.54%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -5.82%E -1.51%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-16 00:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.88%EV -6.87%E -3.95%K -9.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -7.54%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -10.71%E -2.93%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-15 23:50
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.24%EV -6.87%E -3.95%K -9.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -7.54%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.12%EV -14.87%E -4.27%K -6.00%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-15 23:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.07%EV -10.08%E -6.00%K -14.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.23%EV -7.54%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 25.70%EV -15.11%E -4.36%K -6.12%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-15 23:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 53.64%EV -11.69%E -7.08%K -17.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.07%EV -7.54%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.29%EV -14.38%E -4.11%K -5.75%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-15 23:50
Bet Right🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.46%EV -6.87%E -3.95%K -9.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -9.75%E -2.38%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -4.60%E -1.18%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-16 00:10
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -7.40%E -4.28%K -10.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -11.95%E -2.99%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -8.27%E -2.20%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-16 00:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 52.29%EV -10.08%E -6.00%K -14.82%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.24%EV -13.05%E -3.30%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.46%EV -15.60%E -4.52%K -6.37%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-15 23:49
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.85%EV -10.61%E -6.36%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.63%EV -14.15%E -3.63%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.52%EV -11.93%E -3.32%K -4.59%G +0.000%13.3%2026-10-16 00:20
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets◎1.70I 58.82%NM 51.75%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.99%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%13.7%2026-10-15 23:50
Kalshi◎1.64I 60.98%NM 48.40%2.86I 34.97%NM 27.76%3.33I 30.03%NM 23.84%26.0%2026-10-16 01:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-16 00:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-16 00:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-16 00:35