Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dinamo Zagreb v Anderlecht

2026-10-15 19:00 UTC — UEFA Europa League

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dinamo Zagreb (Local)

Prediction 46.73%2.14fair odd
EV -4.20%
Edge -2.05%
Kelly -4.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.69%46.65%46.71%47.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.821.982.002.0554.95%50.43%50.00%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Anderlecht (Visit)

Prediction 26.23%3.81fair odd
EV -1.10%
Edge -0.291%
Kelly -0.397%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.44%26.31%26.27%27.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.493.503.7730.77%28.69%28.57%26.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.04%3.70fair odd
EV -2.67%
Edge -0.742%
Kelly -1.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.21%27.04%27.03%27.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.423.403.6031.25%29.24%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Dinamo Zagreb (Local): 46.73%; Anderlecht (Visit): 26.23%; Draw: 27.04%. For Anderlecht (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.81. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.77, with an expected value of -1.10%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.29%EV -4.20%E -2.05%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.71%EV -1.10%E -0.291%K -0.397%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 27.00%EV -2.94%E -0.819%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-22 13:59
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -4.20%E -2.05%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -2.67%E -0.742%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-22 13:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -4.20%E -2.05%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -2.67%E -0.742%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-22 13:58
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -4.20%E -2.05%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -9.49%E -2.75%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.37%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-22 13:59
FanDuel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -4.20%E -2.05%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.37%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-22 13:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.31%EV -5.60%E -2.77%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.69%EV -2.41%E -0.648%K -0.886%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.00%EV -4.29%E -1.21%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-22 14:01
Pinnacle🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.36%EV -6.07%E -3.02%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.52%EV -2.15%E -0.576%K -0.787%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.12%EV -5.10%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-22 14:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.54%E -3.27%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.18%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.08%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-22 13:59
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.54%E -3.27%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.18%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.08%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-22 13:59
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.54%E -3.27%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.18%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.08%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-22 13:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.54%E -3.27%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.18%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.08%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-22 13:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.54%E -3.27%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.18%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.08%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-22 13:59
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.54%E -3.27%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -5.37%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-22 13:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.56%EV -7.47%E -3.77%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -9.49%E -2.75%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -6.73%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-22 13:59
ReBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.16%EV -7.94%E -4.03%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.28%EV -9.23%E -2.67%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -10.78%E -3.27%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-22 13:59
Suprabets🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.85%EV -8.41%E -4.29%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.65%EV -6.08%E -1.70%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.49%EV -9.70%E -2.90%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-22 13:59
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.88%E -4.55%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.18%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.08%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-22 14:02
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.88%E -4.55%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.18%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.08%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-22 14:03
LeoVegas🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.21%EV -8.88%E -4.55%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -12.12%E -3.62%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -9.43%E -2.81%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-22 13:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.06%EV -9.34%E -4.82%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.66%EV -12.67%E -3.92%K -5.68%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-22 13:58
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -10.75%E -5.63%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -8.18%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -8.08%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-22 14:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 46.10%EV -11.21%E -5.90%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.95%EV -14.74%E -4.54%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.95%EV -12.13%E -3.73%K -5.39%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-22 13:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 47.53%EV -14.95%E -8.21%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.44%EV -10.81%E -3.18%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.03%EV -13.49%E -4.21%K -6.13%G +0.000%15.6%2026-09-22 13:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.87%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.37%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.76%2.4%2026-09-22 14:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.87%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.37%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.76%2.4%2026-09-22 14:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.70%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.27%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.03%2.8%2026-09-22 14:14