Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Celtic v Ferencváros TC

2026-09-17 19:00 UTC — UEFA Europa League

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Celtic (Local)

Prediction 50.64%1.97fair odd
EV -2.27%
Edge -1.18%
Kelly -2.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.53%50.64%50.52%51.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.831.841.9358.82%54.76%54.35%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ferencváros TC (Visit)

Prediction 25.17%3.97fair odd
EV -0.330%
Edge -0.083%
Kelly -0.111%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.29%25.17%24.91%27.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.583.603.9630.30%27.96%27.78%25.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.19%4.13fair odd
EV -3.23%
Edge -0.807%
Kelly -1.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.27%24.19%24.57%25.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.793.754.0028.17%26.39%26.67%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Celtic (Local): 50.64%; Ferencváros TC (Visit): 25.17%; Draw: 24.19%. For Ferencváros TC (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.97. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.96, with an expected value of -0.330%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.28%EV -2.27%E -1.18%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.51%EV -0.330%E -0.083%K -0.111%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.21%EV -6.86%E -1.78%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-30 21:09
betfred_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.93%EV -3.79%E -1.99%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -9.39%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -3.23%E -0.807%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 21:09
Codere (IT)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.59%EV -4.80%E -2.55%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -3.10%E -0.805%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -6.86%E -1.78%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 21:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.20%EV -4.80%E -2.55%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -9.39%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -3.23%E -0.807%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 21:10
SportsBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.46%EV -5.81%E -3.13%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -9.39%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -3.23%E -0.807%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 21:10
Paddy Power🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -6.32%E -3.42%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -9.39%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -3.23%E -0.807%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 21:10
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.53%EV -6.32%E -3.42%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -16.94%E -5.13%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.26%EV -10.49%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-30 23:40
Suprabets🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.86%EV -6.83%E -3.71%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.07%EV -7.88%E -2.15%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.07%EV -11.45%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-30 21:06
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -7.33%E -4.01%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -9.39%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -3.23%E -0.807%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-30 21:10
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.82%EV -8.85%E -4.92%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -10.65%E -3.00%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.91%EV -12.91%E -3.59%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-30 21:09
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -8.85%E -4.92%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -14.42%E -4.24%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -9.28%E -2.47%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-30 21:09
Betclic (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.45%EV -10.37%E -5.86%K -13.47%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.94%EV -9.89%E -2.76%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 24.60%EV -12.18%E -3.36%K -4.63%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-30 21:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.00%EV -10.88%E -6.18%K -14.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.88%EV -14.42%E -4.24%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.11%EV -11.70%E -3.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-30 21:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 49.76%EV -11.89%E -6.83%K -16.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.85%EV -15.68%E -4.68%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.39%EV -14.12%E -3.98%K -5.54%G +0.000%15.5%2026-08-30 21:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 51.43%EV -13.92%E -8.19%K -19.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.29%EV -9.39%E -2.61%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.29%EV -12.91%E -3.59%K -4.96%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-30 21:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.