Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Bournemouth v SK Sturm Graz

2026-10-15 19:00 UTC — UEFA Europa League

Testa a testa

24 bookmaker (8 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Bournemouth (Casa)

Previsione 77.34%1.29quota equa
EV -4.10%
Vantaggio -3.30%
Kelly -17.07%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.24

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
75.63%77.17%77.39%78.56%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.131.201.211.2488.50%83.36%82.99%80.65%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

SK Sturm Graz (Trasferta)

Previsione 8.18%12.22quota equa
EV +3.10%
Vantaggio +0.246%
Kelly +0.267%
Crescita +0.008%

ipotizzando la quota massima 12.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
7.65%8.30%8.12%9.75%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
9.0011.2611.7512.6011.11%8.88%8.51%7.94%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 14.48%6.91quota equa
EV +1.04%
Vantaggio +0.150%
Kelly +0.175%
Crescita +0.002%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.98

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
13.61%14.52%14.48%15.58%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
5.806.366.386.9817.24%15.73%15.69%14.33%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Bournemouth (Casa): 77.34%; SK Sturm Graz (Trasferta): 8.18%; Pareggio: 14.48%. Per SK Sturm Graz (Trasferta), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 12.22. 3 bookmaker offrono quote superiori a tale livello; la migliore quota disponibile è 13.00, con un valore atteso positivo del +6.38%.

Quote dei bookmaker (23 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
SportsBet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.72%EV -6.42%E -5.30%K -30.56%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV +6.38%E +0.490%K +0.531%G +0.034%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.05%EV -9.52%E -1.52%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-22 11:59
1xBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 78.30%EV -4.10%E -3.30%K -17.07%G +0.000%12.60I 7.94%NM 7.71%EV +3.10%E +0.246%K +0.267%G +0.008%6.94I 14.41%NM 13.99%EV +0.466%E +0.067%K +0.078%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-22 14:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.39%EV -5.64%E -4.63%K -25.65%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.65%EV +2.28%E +0.183%K +0.199%G +0.005%6.85I 14.60%NM 13.96%EV -0.837%E -0.122%K -0.143%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-22 14:55
betfred_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.56%EV -5.64%E -4.63%K -25.65%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.89%EV -1.81%E -0.151%K -0.164%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -5.90%E -0.908%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-22 13:54
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.64%E -4.63%K -25.65%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -1.81%E -0.151%K -0.164%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -13.14%E -2.19%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-22 14:59
William Hill🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.64%E -4.63%K -25.65%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -1.81%E -0.151%K -0.164%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -13.14%E -2.19%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-22 15:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.64%E -4.63%K -25.65%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -1.81%E -0.151%K -0.164%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -13.14%E -2.19%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-22 14:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.64%E -4.63%K -25.65%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -1.81%E -0.151%K -0.164%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -13.14%E -2.19%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-22 15:00
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.19%E -5.99%K -35.95%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -1.81%E -0.151%K -0.164%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -13.14%E -2.19%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-22 13:18
betano_uk🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.13%EV -8.74%E -7.40%K -48.54%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV -1.81%E -0.151%K -0.164%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -5.90%E -0.908%K -1.07%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-22 15:03
Bet Victor🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.13%EV -8.74%E -7.40%K -48.54%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV -1.81%E -0.151%K -0.164%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -5.90%E -0.908%K -1.07%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-22 15:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -4.87%E -3.96%K -21.18%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.20%EV -5.90%E -0.513%K -0.562%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.09%EV -9.52%E -1.52%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-22 15:04
Pinnacle🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.11%EV -4.87%E -3.96%K -21.18%G +0.000%11.14I 8.98%NM 8.51%EV -8.84%E -0.794%K -0.872%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.37%EV -4.46%E -0.675%K -0.796%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-22 13:03
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.30%EV -7.19%E -5.99%K -35.95%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -9.99%E -0.908%K -0.999%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -5.90%E -0.908%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-22 14:59
BoyleSports🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -7.19%E -5.99%K -35.95%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -9.99%E -0.908%K -0.999%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -13.14%E -2.19%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-22 14:59
FanDuel🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.69%EV -8.74%E -7.40%K -48.54%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.23%EV -9.99%E -0.908%K -0.999%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -13.14%E -2.19%K -2.63%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-22 12:00
ReBet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 76.49%EV -7.96%E -6.69%K -41.92%G +0.000%10.60I 9.43%NM 8.59%EV -13.26%E -1.25%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.92%EV -11.69%E -1.92%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-22 14:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 76.39%EV -9.51%E -8.13%K -55.95%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 8.72%EV -16.13%E -1.57%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -13.14%E -2.19%K -2.63%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-22 14:58
Suprabets🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 75.98%EV -6.42%E -5.30%K -30.56%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.19%EV -18.17%E -1.82%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.83%EV -10.25%E -1.65%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-22 12:52
Winamax (DE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 77.20%EV -7.96%E -6.69%K -41.92%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.19%EV -18.17%E -1.82%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.61%EV -2.28%E -0.339%K -0.397%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-22 14:59
LeoVegas🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.52%EV -8.74%E -7.40%K -48.54%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.03%EV -18.17%E -1.82%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.45%EV -9.52%E -1.52%K -1.81%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-22 14:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 76.46%EV -12.60%E -11.15%K -96.96%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.64%EV -18.17%E -1.82%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 14.90%EV -16.04%E -2.77%K -3.34%G +0.000%15.7%2026-09-22 14:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 75.63%EV -10.28%E -8.87%K -64.28%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.75%EV -26.36%E -2.93%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.62%EV -13.14%E -2.19%K -2.63%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-22 15:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-09-22 13:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-09-22 13:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-09-22 13:35