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Besiktas JK v Marseille

2026-09-17 19:00 UTC — UEFA Europa League

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Besiktas JK (Local)

Prediction 39.69%2.52fair odd
EV -1.57%
Edge -0.631%
Kelly -1.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.05%39.70%39.69%40.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.312.302.4846.51%43.34%43.48%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Marseille (Visit)

Prediction 32.51%3.08fair odd
EV -4.08%
Edge -1.38%
Kelly -2.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.86%32.58%32.51%33.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.782.802.9538.46%36.02%35.71%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.79%3.60fair odd
EV -1.61%
Edge -0.455%
Kelly -0.634%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.97%27.73%27.79%28.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.323.303.5431.75%30.10%30.30%28.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Besiktas JK (Local): 39.69%; Marseille (Visit): 32.51%; Draw: 27.79%. For Besiktas JK (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.52. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.48, with an expected value of -1.57%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.08%EV -1.57%E -0.631%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.54%EV -6.03%E -2.09%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.38%EV -1.61%E -0.455%K -0.634%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-30 21:09
Codere (IT)🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.59%EV -4.34%E -1.80%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -4.08%E -1.38%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -5.50%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 21:09
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -4.74%E -1.98%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -8.96%E -3.20%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -2.72%E -0.778%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 21:09
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -4.74%E -1.98%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -8.96%E -3.20%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -2.72%E -0.778%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 21:10
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -6.72%E -2.86%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -8.96%E -3.20%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -4.11%E -1.19%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 21:10
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -6.72%E -2.86%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.96%E -3.20%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -5.50%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-30 21:10
Suprabets🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.05%EV -6.72%E -2.86%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.54%EV -8.31%E -2.95%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.41%EV -10.23%E -3.17%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-30 21:06
ReBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 39.36%EV -8.31%E -3.60%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 32.58%EV -9.28%E -3.33%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.06%EV -9.95%E -3.07%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-30 21:09
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.71%E -3.79%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -8.96%E -3.20%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -5.50%E -1.62%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 21:10
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.71%E -3.79%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -8.96%E -3.20%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.28%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-31 01:29
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.71%E -3.79%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -8.96%E -3.20%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.28%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-31 01:30
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -8.71%E -3.79%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -10.58%E -3.85%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.67%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 21:09
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -8.71%E -3.79%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -12.21%E -4.52%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.28%E -2.51%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-31 01:20
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -10.69%E -4.75%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -12.21%E -4.52%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -9.67%E -2.98%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-30 21:09
Betclic (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.97%EV -11.49%E -5.15%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 32.18%EV -9.93%E -3.59%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -11.06%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-30 21:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.72%EV -12.68%E -5.76%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.97%EV -13.84%E -5.22%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.31%EV -11.06%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-30 21:09
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.75%EV -14.66%E -6.82%K -12.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -10.58%E -3.85%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -11.06%E -3.46%K -5.03%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-30 21:09
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 39.85%EV -14.66%E -6.82%K -12.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.95%EV -15.46%E -5.95%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.20%EV -12.45%E -3.95%K -5.79%G +0.000%16.7%2026-08-30 21:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.20I 45.45%NM 38.96%2.64I 37.88%NM 32.47%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%16.7%2026-08-30 21:10