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AZ Alkmaar v Hapoel Be'er Sheva
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
AZ Alkmaar (Local)
Prediction 64.58%1.55fair odd
EV -2.48%
Edge -1.64%
Kelly -4.87%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.51
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.19%64.57%64.54%67.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.371.441.441.5172.99%69.33%69.44%66.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hapoel Be'er Sheva (Visit)
Prediction 15.90%6.29fair odd
EV +7.34%
Edge +1.09%
Kelly +1.28%
Growth +0.094%
assuming max odds 6.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.25%15.90%15.94%17.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.006.006.006.7520.00%16.67%16.67%14.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 19.52%5.12fair odd
EV +1.49%
Edge +0.286%
Kelly +0.354%
Growth +0.005%
assuming max odds 5.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.25%19.53%19.52%20.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.824.805.2022.22%20.76%20.83%19.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: AZ Alkmaar (Local): 64.58%; Hapoel Be'er Sheva (Visit): 15.90%; Draw: 19.52%. For Hapoel Be'er Sheva (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.29. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.34%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.26%EV -7.65%E -5.35%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.25%EV +7.34%E +1.09%K +1.28%G +0.094% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV +1.49%E +0.286%K +0.354%G +0.005% | 4.0% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.26%EV -7.65%E -5.35%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.25%EV +7.34%E +1.09%K +1.28%G +0.094% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV +1.49%E +0.286%K +0.354%G +0.005% | 4.0% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.26%EV -7.65%E -5.35%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.25%EV +7.34%E +1.09%K +1.28%G +0.094% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV +1.49%E +0.286%K +0.354%G +0.005% | 4.0% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.26%EV -7.65%E -5.35%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.25%EV +7.34%E +1.09%K +1.28%G +0.094% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.50%EV +1.49%E +0.286%K +0.354%G +0.005% | 4.0% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.91%EV -5.07%E -3.45%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.91%EV +3.36%E +0.518%K +0.612%G +0.021% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 19.19%EV -1.44%E -0.286%K -0.356%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-15 16:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.91%EV -5.07%E -3.45%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.91%EV +3.36%E +0.518%K +0.612%G +0.021% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 19.19%EV -1.44%E -0.286%K -0.356%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-15 16:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -7.00%E -4.86%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV +3.36%E +0.518%K +0.612%G +0.021% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -10.22%E -2.22%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.48%EV -8.29%E -5.84%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV +3.36%E +0.518%K +0.612%G +0.021% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -10.22%E -2.22%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-15 16:07 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.25%EV -7.65%E -5.35%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.80%EV +1.77%E +0.277%K +0.329%G +0.006% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -2.42%E -0.484%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.25%EV -7.65%E -5.35%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.80%EV +1.77%E +0.277%K +0.329%G +0.006% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -2.42%E -0.484%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.25%EV -7.65%E -5.35%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.80%EV +1.77%E +0.277%K +0.329%G +0.006% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -2.42%E -0.484%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.25%EV -7.65%E -5.35%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.80%EV +1.77%E +0.277%K +0.329%G +0.006% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -2.42%E -0.484%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.45%EV -5.71%E -3.91%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 6.35I 15.75%NM 15.05%EV +0.979%E +0.154%K +0.183%G +0.002% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.50%EV -4.37%E -0.892%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-15 16:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.91%EV -6.36%E -4.38%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.06%EV -0.611%E -0.098%K -0.116%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -8.27%E -1.76%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.08%EV -8.94%E -6.34%K -21.81%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV -0.611%E -0.098%K -0.116%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -4.37%E -0.892%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.39%EV -8.29%E -5.84%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -0.611%E -0.098%K -0.116%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.76%EV -8.27%E -1.76%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.30%EV -10.88%E -7.88%K -28.63%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.64%EV -0.611%E -0.098%K -0.116%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -6.32%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-15 16:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.98%EV -4.42%E -2.99%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.51%EV -1.41%E -0.227%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 4.93I 20.28%NM 19.51%EV -3.78%E -0.768%K -0.963%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-15 16:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.56%EV -2.48%E -1.64%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 6.18I 16.18%NM 15.53%EV -1.72%E -0.279%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 4.59I 21.79%NM 20.91%EV -10.42%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.59%EV -3.77%E -2.53%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.78%EV -3.00%E -0.491%K -0.588%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.64%EV -4.37%E -0.892%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.39%EV -5.07%E -3.45%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.76%EV -3.00%E -0.491%K -0.588%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.85%EV -0.467%E -0.091%K -0.114%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-15 16:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.58%EV -8.94%E -6.34%K -21.81%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.16%EV -3.00%E -0.491%K -0.588%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.26%EV -6.32%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.15%EV -3.77%E -2.53%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.93%EV -4.59%E -0.764%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.91%EV -6.32%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-15 16:34 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.46%EV -5.07%E -3.45%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -4.59%E -0.764%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.74%EV -6.32%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-15 16:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.45%EV -7.00%E -4.86%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -4.59%E -0.764%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -2.42%E -0.484%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.78%EV -6.36%E -4.38%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -4.59%E -0.764%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -6.32%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -7.00%E -4.86%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -4.59%E -0.764%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -7.30%E -1.54%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.39%EV -7.00%E -4.86%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -4.59%E -0.764%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -10.22%E -2.22%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-15 16:39 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.39%EV -7.00%E -4.86%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -4.59%E -0.764%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -10.22%E -2.22%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-15 16:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -6.36%E -4.38%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -4.59%E -0.764%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -12.18%E -2.71%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-15 16:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.25%EV -8.29%E -5.84%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -4.59%E -0.764%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -6.32%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -9.59%E -6.85%K -23.96%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -4.59%E -0.764%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -6.32%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -9.59%E -6.85%K -23.96%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -4.59%E -0.764%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -10.22%E -2.22%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-15 16:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -9.59%E -6.85%K -23.96%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -4.59%E -0.764%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -10.22%E -2.22%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-15 16:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -9.59%E -6.85%K -23.96%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -4.59%E -0.764%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -10.22%E -2.22%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-15 16:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -9.59%E -6.85%K -23.96%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -4.59%E -0.764%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -10.22%E -2.22%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-15 16:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.51%EV -5.07%E -3.45%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 5.95I 16.81%NM 15.94%EV -5.38%E -0.905%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.55%EV -5.35%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.09%EV -3.13%E -2.09%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.29%EV -6.18%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.62%EV -4.37%E -0.892%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.22%EV -4.42%E -2.99%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.39%EV -7.77%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.40%EV -4.37%E -0.892%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-15 16:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.75%EV -7.65%E -5.35%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.96%EV -7.77%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.29%EV -6.32%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.91%EV -8.29%E -5.84%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.89%EV -7.77%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -6.32%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.97%EV -9.59%E -6.85%K -23.96%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.68%EV -7.77%E -1.34%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.35%EV -8.27%E -1.76%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.38%EV -4.42%E -2.99%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV -8.56%E -1.49%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06%EV -2.42%E -0.484%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-15 16:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.87%EV -4.42%E -2.99%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -8.56%E -1.49%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -6.32%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-15 16:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -3.13%E -2.09%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -8.56%E -1.49%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -12.18%E -2.71%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.84%EV -6.36%E -4.38%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.35%EV -8.56%E -1.49%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -2.42%E -0.484%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-15 16:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.00%EV -7.00%E -4.86%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV -8.56%E -1.49%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -2.42%E -0.484%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-15 16:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.21%EV -6.36%E -4.38%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -8.56%E -1.49%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -7.30%E -1.54%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-15 16:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.50%EV -7.00%E -4.86%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -8.56%E -1.49%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -6.32%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-15 16:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.80%EV -6.36%E -4.38%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -8.56%E -1.49%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.11%EV -10.22%E -2.22%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-15 16:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.75%EV -6.36%E -4.38%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.47%EV -9.36%E -1.64%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -2.42%E -0.484%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-15 16:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.19%EV -8.29%E -5.84%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.99%EV -9.36%E -1.64%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.82%EV -10.22%E -2.22%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.46%EV -4.42%E -2.99%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.77%EV -10.95%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -7.30%E -1.54%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-15 16:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.46%EV -4.42%E -2.99%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.77%EV -10.95%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -7.30%E -1.54%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-15 16:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.31%EV -8.94%E -6.34%K -21.81%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -10.95%E -1.95%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.50%EV -9.25%E -1.99%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-15 16:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.26%EV -4.42%E -2.99%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV -7.30%E -1.54%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-15 16:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.58%EV -4.42%E -2.99%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -12.18%E -2.71%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-15 16:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.35%EV -8.29%E -5.84%K -19.75%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.61%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.04%EV -6.32%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-15 16:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -9.59%E -6.85%K -23.96%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.59%EV -12.54%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -2.42%E -0.484%K -0.605%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-15 15:58 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -7.00%E -4.86%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -20.49%E -4.10%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -12.18%E -2.71%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-15 16:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 64.13%EV -11.52%E -8.41%K -31.14%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.57%EV -20.49%E -4.10%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.30%EV -6.32%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-10-15 16:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.68% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.13% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.20% | 0.2% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.83% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.11% | 0.6% | 2026-10-15 16:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.83% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.11% | 0.6% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.58% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.42% | 1.0% | 2026-10-15 16:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.73% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.94% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.33% | 1.4% | 2026-10-15 16:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.72% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.67% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.62% | 2.1% | 2026-10-15 16:35 |