Language:English
AZ Alkmaar v Hapoel Be'er Sheva
Head to Head
AZ Alkmaar (Local)
Prediction 70.36%1.42fair odd
EV -5.02%
Edge -3.72%
Kelly -14.33%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.67%70.25%70.45%71.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.321.321.3580.00%76.03%75.76%74.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hapoel Be'er Sheva (Visit)
Prediction 11.24%8.90fair odd
EV +4.49%
Edge +0.483%
Kelly +0.541%
Growth +0.024%
assuming max odds 9.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.25%11.38%11.19%13.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.758.308.509.3014.81%12.05%11.76%10.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 18.41%5.43fair odd
EV +0.686%
Edge +0.125%
Kelly +0.154%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 5.47
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.64%18.38%18.36%19.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.705.035.005.4721.28%19.87%20.00%18.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: AZ Alkmaar (Local): 70.36%; Hapoel Be'er Sheva (Visit): 11.24%; Draw: 18.41%. For Hapoel Be'er Sheva (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.90. 6 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 9.30, producing a positive expected value of +4.49%.
Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.84%EV -5.02%E -3.72%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 9.30I 10.75%NM 10.43%EV +4.49%E +0.483%K +0.541%G +0.024% | 5.47I 18.28%NM 17.73%EV +0.686%E +0.125%K +0.154%G +0.001% | 3.1% | 2026-09-22 12:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.85%EV -7.13%E -5.40%K -22.27%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.25%EV +3.93%E +0.425%K +0.476%G +0.019% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.90%EV -2.44%E -0.461%K -0.568%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-22 12:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.90%EV -6.42%E -4.83%K -19.47%G +0.000% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.39%EV +3.37%E +0.366%K +0.410%G +0.014% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.71%EV -0.602%E -0.112%K -0.137%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-22 12:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.53%EV -7.13%E -5.40%K -22.27%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV +1.12%E +0.124%K +0.140%G +0.002% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -3.36%E -0.641%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-22 13:58 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.73%EV -6.42%E -4.83%K -19.47%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +1.12%E +0.124%K +0.140%G +0.002% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -7.96%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-22 13:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.20%EV -8.54%E -6.57%K -28.45%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV +1.12%E +0.124%K +0.140%G +0.002% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -7.96%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-22 12:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -6.42%E -4.83%K -19.47%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -4.50%E -0.529%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.96%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-22 12:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -6.42%E -4.83%K -19.47%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -4.50%E -0.529%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.96%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-22 12:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -6.42%E -4.83%K -19.47%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -4.50%E -0.529%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.96%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-22 12:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -6.42%E -4.83%K -19.47%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -4.50%E -0.529%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.96%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-22 12:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.36%EV -7.83%E -5.98%K -25.26%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -4.50%E -0.529%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV -2.44%E -0.461%K -0.568%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-22 12:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -8.54%E -6.57%K -28.45%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -4.50%E -0.529%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -7.96%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-22 11:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -8.54%E -6.57%K -28.45%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -4.50%E -0.529%K -0.600%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -7.96%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-22 11:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.56%EV -5.72%E -4.27%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 8.32I 12.02%NM 11.36%EV -6.52%E -0.784%K -0.891%G +0.000% | 5.23I 19.12%NM 18.08%EV -3.73%E -0.713%K -0.882%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-22 13:03 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -6.42%E -4.83%K -19.47%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -10.12%E -1.26%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -7.96%E -1.59%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-22 13:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.14%EV -6.42%E -4.83%K -19.47%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -10.12%E -1.26%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -12.57%E -2.65%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-22 12:29 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.51%EV -7.13%E -5.40%K -22.27%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.76%EV -12.36%E -1.59%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.73%EV -9.81%E -2.00%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-22 11:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.30%EV -7.83%E -5.98%K -25.26%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 11.79%EV -13.49%E -1.75%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -11.65%E -2.43%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-22 12:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.94%EV -7.13%E -5.40%K -22.27%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.31%EV -15.74%E -2.10%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.75%EV -4.28%E -0.824%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-22 13:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.51%EV -8.54%E -6.57%K -28.45%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV -15.74%E -2.10%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.44%EV -9.81%E -2.00%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-22 13:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.27%EV -9.24%E -7.16%K -31.86%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.91%EV -15.74%E -2.10%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.81%EV -12.57%E -2.65%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-22 13:03 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 69.80%EV -12.05%E -9.64%K -48.21%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.63%EV -15.74%E -2.10%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.56%EV -13.49%E -2.87%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-09-22 13:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 68.67%EV -9.94%E -7.77%K -35.51%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.02%EV -24.16%E -3.58%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.31%EV -11.65%E -2.43%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-22 12:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.73% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 33.13% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 33.13% | 169.5% | 2026-09-22 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 33.73% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 33.13% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 33.13% | 169.5% | 2026-09-22 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 32.93% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 33.54% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 33.54% | 176.1% | 2026-09-22 14:04 |