مدرسة الاحتمالات

Aston Villa v Lille

البداية: 2026-03-19 20:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Aston Villa (المضيف)

التنبؤ 55.42%1.80السعر العادل
EV -1.35%
الأفضلية -0.758%
Kelly -1.73%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.78

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
53.64%55.34%55.47%56.82%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.621.701.701.7861.73%58.82%58.82%56.18%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Lille (الضيف)

التنبؤ 19.61%5.10السعر العادل
EV +3.96%
الأفضلية +0.747%
Kelly +0.920%
النمو +0.036%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
18.44%19.64%19.59%21.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.404.834.805.3022.73%20.71%20.83%18.87%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 24.96%4.01السعر العادل
EV -1.40%
الأفضلية -0.353%
Kelly -0.473%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.95

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.99%25.02%24.94%26.06%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.603.783.803.9527.78%26.46%26.32%25.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 56.82%EV -4.67%E -2.72%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.44%EV +3.96%E +0.747%K +0.920%G +0.036%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.74%EV -1.40%E -0.353%K -0.473%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-19 19:44
Svenska Spel1.72I 58.14%NM 56.82%EV -4.67%E -2.72%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.44%EV +3.96%E +0.747%K +0.920%G +0.036%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.74%EV -1.40%E -0.353%K -0.473%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-19 19:45
ATG (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 56.82%EV -4.67%E -2.72%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.44%EV +3.96%E +0.747%K +0.920%G +0.036%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.74%EV -1.40%E -0.353%K -0.473%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-19 19:44
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.68%EV -5.23%E -3.06%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.46%EV +2.98%E +0.567%K +0.701%G +0.021%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.85%EV -2.64%E -0.678%K -0.912%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-19 19:45
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.77%EV -3.57%E -2.05%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.12I 19.53%NM 18.95%EV +0.427%E +0.083%K +0.104%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.27%EV -4.14%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-19 19:55
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.05%EV -4.67%E -2.72%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.90%EV +0.035%E +0.007%K +0.009%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.04%EV -3.89%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-19 19:54
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.05%EV -4.67%E -2.72%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.90%EV +0.035%E +0.007%K +0.009%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.04%EV -3.89%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-19 19:54
Casumo1.66I 60.24%NM 56.74%EV -8.00%E -4.82%K -12.12%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV +0.035%E +0.007%K +0.009%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.14%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 19:44
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 56.74%EV -8.00%E -4.82%K -12.12%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV +0.035%E +0.007%K +0.009%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.14%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 19:45
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.74%EV -8.00%E -4.82%K -12.12%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV +0.035%E +0.007%K +0.009%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.14%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 19:44
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 56.74%EV -8.00%E -4.82%K -12.12%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV +0.035%E +0.007%K +0.009%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.14%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 19:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.74%EV -8.00%E -4.82%K -12.12%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV +0.035%E +0.007%K +0.009%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.14%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 19:44
BetRivers1.66I 60.24%NM 56.74%EV -8.00%E -4.82%K -12.12%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV +0.035%E +0.007%K +0.009%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.14%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 19:44
Bally Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.74%EV -8.00%E -4.82%K -12.12%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV +0.035%E +0.007%K +0.009%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.14%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 19:45
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 56.74%EV -8.00%E -4.82%K -12.12%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV +0.035%E +0.007%K +0.009%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.14%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 19:45
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 55.38%EV -2.46%E -1.40%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 19.30%EV -0.946%E -0.187%K -0.233%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.32%EV -3.89%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-19 19:35
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.09%EV -6.34%E -3.75%K -9.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.93%E -0.385%K -0.482%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.95%EV -5.14%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 18:54
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -5.78%E -3.40%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -1.93%E -0.385%K -0.482%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -10.13%E -2.81%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 19:49
Marathon Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 55.52%EV -2.46%E -1.40%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.74%EV -2.91%E -0.587%K -0.736%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.74%EV -1.40%E -0.353%K -0.473%G +0.000%2.3%2026-03-19 19:50
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.94%EV -3.01%E -1.72%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.42%EV -2.91%E -0.587%K -0.736%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.64%EV -6.39%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-19 19:53
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.23%E -3.06%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.24%EV -2.91%E -0.587%K -0.736%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.06%EV -5.14%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 19:54
ReBet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.66%EV -4.12%E -2.38%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.65%EV -3.89%E -0.793%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.69%EV -2.64%E -0.678%K -0.912%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-19 19:09
Codere (IT)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.62%EV -4.67%E -2.72%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.53%EV -3.89%E -0.793%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.85%EV -3.89%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-19 19:05
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.77%EV -5.23%E -3.06%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.46%EV -3.89%E -0.793%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.77%EV -3.89%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 18:54
Suprabets1.71I 58.48%NM 55.44%EV -5.23%E -3.06%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.35%EV -3.89%E -0.793%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.21%EV -6.14%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 19:20
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 55.69%EV -6.34%E -3.75%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV -3.89%E -0.793%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -6.39%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 19:53
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.65%EV -6.34%E -3.75%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -5.85%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.14%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 19:40
PMU (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.43%EV -6.89%E -4.10%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -5.85%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -7.64%E -2.06%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 19:49
FanDuel1.65I 60.61%NM 56.24%EV -8.55%E -5.18%K -13.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -5.85%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.42%EV -5.14%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-19 19:50
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 54.90%EV -6.34%E -3.75%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -5.85%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.13%E -2.81%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-19 19:54
Virgin Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 56.14%EV -10.22%E -6.31%K -16.48%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -5.85%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -8.88%E -2.43%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-19 19:44
LiveScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 56.14%EV -10.22%E -6.31%K -16.48%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -5.85%E -1.22%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -8.88%E -2.43%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-19 19:44
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 54.07%EV -1.35%E -0.758%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.26%EV -6.83%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.67%EV -6.39%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-19 19:20
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 54.07%EV -1.35%E -0.758%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.26%EV -6.83%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.67%EV -6.39%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-19 19:20
Parions Sport (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.75%EV -5.78%E -3.40%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.95%EV -6.83%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -2.64%E -0.678%K -0.912%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 19:54
Betclic (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.75%EV -5.78%E -3.40%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.95%EV -6.83%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -2.64%E -0.678%K -0.912%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 18:59
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.25%EV -5.23%E -3.06%K -7.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.89%EV -6.83%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -5.14%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 19:10
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -5.78%E -3.40%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -6.83%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.39%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 19:49
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.65%EV -7.44%E -4.46%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -6.83%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -6.39%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 19:50
NetBet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.39%EV -6.89%E -4.10%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -7.81%E -1.66%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -6.39%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 19:04
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 54.60%EV -4.12%E -2.38%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -9.77%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -5.14%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 19:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.42%EV -4.12%E -2.38%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -9.77%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -6.39%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 19:09
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -6.89%E -4.10%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -9.77%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -2.64%E -0.678%K -0.912%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 19:00
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.78%E -3.40%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -9.77%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -7.64%E -2.06%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 19:29
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.78%E -3.40%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -9.77%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -7.64%E -2.06%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 19:29
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.78%E -3.40%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -9.77%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -7.64%E -2.06%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 19:30
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.78%E -3.40%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -9.77%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -7.64%E -2.06%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 19:30
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 55.23%EV -8.55%E -5.18%K -13.16%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -9.77%E -2.12%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -8.88%E -2.43%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-19 19:50
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 54.18%EV -4.12%E -2.38%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -11.73%E -2.61%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -6.39%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 18:49
Bet Right1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -4.67%E -2.72%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -11.73%E -2.61%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -7.64%E -2.06%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 19:54
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -4.67%E -2.72%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -11.73%E -2.61%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -7.64%E -2.06%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 19:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -4.67%E -2.72%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -11.73%E -2.61%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -7.64%E -2.06%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 19:10
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -6.89%E -4.10%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -11.73%E -2.61%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -3.89%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-19 19:00
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -7.44%E -4.46%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -11.73%E -2.61%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -5.14%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-19 19:50
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 54.72%EV -6.89%E -4.10%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -11.73%E -2.61%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -7.64%E -2.06%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-19 19:00
BoyleSports1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.78%E -3.40%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -11.73%E -2.61%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -10.13%E -2.81%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-19 18:54
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.64%EV -3.01%E -1.72%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -13.70%E -3.11%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.39%E -1.70%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 19:55
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 53.70%EV -4.67%E -2.72%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -13.70%E -3.11%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.31%EV -8.88%E -2.43%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-19 19:54
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.84%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.86%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.30%0.1%2026-03-19 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.98%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.80%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.22%0.4%2026-03-19 19:55
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 55.98%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.80%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.22%0.4%2026-03-19 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.11%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-03-19 19:55
Smarkets1.77I 56.50%NM 55.91%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.03%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.0%2026-03-19 19:55
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 55.94%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.58%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.48%2.1%2026-03-19 19:30