赔率学院

Aston Villa v Bologna

开赛时间: 2026-04-16 19:00 UTC

最终结果: Aston Villa 4–0 Bologna

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

60 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Aston Villa (主队)

预测 62.35%1.60公平赔率
EV -1.49%
优势 -0.941%
Kelly -2.56%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.58

博彩公司预测分布
59.43%62.27%62.32%64.42%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.441.511.521.5869.44%66.01%66.01%63.29%MIN均值中位数MAX

Bologna (客队)

预测 15.57%6.42公平赔率
EV +2.79%
优势 +0.422%
Kelly +0.498%
增长率 +0.014%

假设最高赔率为 6.60

博彩公司预测分布
14.49%15.57%15.59%19.18%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
4.905.986.006.6020.41%16.72%16.67%15.15%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 22.08%4.53公平赔率
EV -0.659%
优势 -0.146%
Kelly -0.188%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.50

博彩公司预测分布
21.01%22.16%22.10%23.36%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
4.004.284.304.5025.00%23.34%23.26%22.22%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (60 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Marathon Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 63.47%EV -3.98%E -2.58%K -7.37%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.81%EV +2.79%E +0.422%K +0.498%G +0.014%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.72%EV -0.659%E -0.146%K -0.188%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-16 18:55
Pinnacle1.52I 65.79%NM 63.32%EV -5.23%E -3.44%K -10.05%G +0.000%6.46I 15.48%NM 14.90%EV +0.607%E +0.094%K +0.111%G +0.001%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.78%EV -2.42%E -0.549%K -0.709%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-16 18:45
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 63.01%EV -3.98%E -2.58%K -7.37%G +0.000%6.41I 15.60%NM 15.14%EV -0.172%E -0.027%K -0.032%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.85%EV -1.98%E -0.447%K -0.576%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-16 18:50
Unibet (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 63.18%EV -3.98%E -2.58%K -7.37%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.20%EV -0.328%E -0.051%K -0.061%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.62%EV -0.659%E -0.146%K -0.188%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-16 18:50
ATG (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 63.18%EV -3.98%E -2.58%K -7.37%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.20%EV -0.328%E -0.051%K -0.061%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.62%EV -0.659%E -0.146%K -0.188%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-16 18:50
Svenska Spel1.54I 64.94%NM 63.18%EV -3.98%E -2.58%K -7.37%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.20%EV -0.328%E -0.051%K -0.061%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.62%EV -0.659%E -0.146%K -0.188%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-16 18:50
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 63.33%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.69%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.14%EV -0.328%E -0.051%K -0.061%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.53%EV -0.659%E -0.146%K -0.188%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-16 18:50
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.18%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.69%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.10%EV -0.328%E -0.051%K -0.061%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.72%EV -1.76%E -0.396%K -0.511%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-16 18:45
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.18%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.69%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.10%EV -0.328%E -0.051%K -0.061%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.72%EV -1.76%E -0.396%K -0.511%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-16 18:45
Betclic (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.48%EV -6.47%E -4.32%K -12.95%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.88%EV -0.328%E -0.051%K -0.061%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.64%EV -2.87%E -0.651%K -0.843%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 18:31
Unibet (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.42%EV -10.22%E -7.09%K -23.22%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.49%EV -0.328%E -0.051%K -0.061%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -2.87%E -0.651%K -0.843%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 18:49
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 62.48%EV -3.36%E -2.17%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 15.25%EV -1.11%E -0.174%K -0.207%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26%EV -3.97%E -0.913%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-16 18:30
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 63.03%EV -6.47%E -4.32%K -12.95%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.13%EV -2.66%E -0.426%K -0.507%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.84%EV -4.41%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-16 18:25
Casumo1.49I 67.11%NM 63.25%EV -7.10%E -4.76%K -14.49%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -2.66%E -0.426%K -0.507%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.67%EV -3.97%E -0.913%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-16 18:50
Grosvenor1.49I 67.11%NM 63.25%EV -7.10%E -4.76%K -14.49%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -2.66%E -0.426%K -0.507%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.67%EV -3.97%E -0.913%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-16 18:50
Unibet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.25%EV -7.10%E -4.76%K -14.49%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -2.66%E -0.426%K -0.507%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.67%EV -3.97%E -0.913%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-16 18:50
TABtouch1.49I 67.11%NM 63.25%EV -7.10%E -4.76%K -14.49%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -2.66%E -0.426%K -0.507%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.67%EV -3.97%E -0.913%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-16 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.25%EV -7.10%E -4.76%K -14.49%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -2.66%E -0.426%K -0.507%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.67%EV -3.97%E -0.913%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-16 18:50
betPARX1.49I 67.11%NM 63.25%EV -7.10%E -4.76%K -14.49%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -2.66%E -0.426%K -0.507%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.67%EV -3.97%E -0.913%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-16 18:50
Bally Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.25%EV -7.10%E -4.76%K -14.49%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -2.66%E -0.426%K -0.507%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.67%EV -3.97%E -0.913%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-16 18:50
Suprabets1.51I 66.23%NM 62.71%EV -5.85%E -3.87%K -11.47%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.27%EV -3.44%E -0.555%K -0.662%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.02%EV -5.07%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 18:26
ReBet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.40%EV -3.98%E -2.58%K -7.37%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.75%EV -5.00%E -0.820%K -0.980%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.84%EV -2.87%E -0.651%K -0.843%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-16 18:25
PMU (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.18%EV -8.34%E -5.68%K -17.76%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.22%EV -5.00%E -0.820%K -0.980%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -5.07%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-16 18:50
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.99%EV -1.49%E -0.941%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.06%EV -6.56%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.95%EV -7.28%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-16 18:25
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 60.99%EV -1.49%E -0.941%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.06%EV -6.56%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.95%EV -7.28%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-16 18:25
DraftKings1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -6.56%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%EV -5.07%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 18:30
Codere (IT)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -6.56%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%EV -5.07%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 18:25
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -6.56%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -7.28%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-16 18:25
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.47%E -4.32%K -12.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -6.56%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.07%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-16 18:55
BetUS1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.47%E -4.32%K -12.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -6.56%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.07%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-16 18:54
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -6.47%E -4.32%K -12.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -6.56%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-16 18:43
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -6.47%E -4.32%K -12.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -6.56%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-16 18:44
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -6.56%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -11.70%E -2.92%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 18:34
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.47%E -4.32%K -12.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -6.56%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.28%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-16 18:20
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.47%E -4.32%K -12.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -6.56%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.28%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-16 18:18
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.47%E -4.32%K -12.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -6.56%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.28%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-16 18:20
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.47%E -4.32%K -12.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -6.56%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.28%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-16 18:55
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 62.54%EV -7.72%E -5.22%K -16.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.43%EV -6.56%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -7.28%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-16 18:20
NetBet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.20%EV -7.72%E -5.22%K -16.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -6.56%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -9.49%E -2.31%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-16 18:55
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -10.22%E -7.09%K -23.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -6.56%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -7.28%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-16 18:55
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -6.47%E -4.32%K -12.95%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -9.67%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -11.70%E -2.92%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-16 18:30
Fliff1.47I 68.03%NM 62.20%EV -8.34%E -5.68%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.76%EV -9.67%E -1.67%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.03%EV -8.39%E -2.02%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-16 18:55
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -3.36%E -2.17%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.56%EV -10.45%E -1.82%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.99%EV -4.41%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 18:40
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 61.60%EV -3.98%E -2.58%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.50%EV -10.45%E -1.82%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.91%EV -4.41%E -1.02%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 18:45
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 60.66%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -10.45%E -1.82%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -11.70%E -2.92%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 18:30
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.66%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -10.45%E -1.82%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -11.70%E -2.92%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 18:30
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.66%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -10.45%E -1.82%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -11.70%E -2.92%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 18:30
LiveScore Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 62.60%EV -8.97%E -6.14%K -19.50%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.89%EV -10.45%E -1.82%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.50%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-16 18:50
Virgin Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 62.60%EV -8.97%E -6.14%K -19.50%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.89%EV -10.45%E -1.82%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.50%EV -6.18%E -1.45%K -1.90%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-16 18:50
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.16%EV -6.47%E -4.32%K -12.95%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV -12.79%E -2.28%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -2.87%E -0.651%K -0.843%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-16 18:25
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.85%EV -6.47%E -4.32%K -12.95%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.57%EV -12.79%E -2.28%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -5.07%E -1.18%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 18:25
betfred_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 61.80%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -14.34%E -2.61%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -0.659%E -0.146%K -0.188%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-16 18:50
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 60.57%EV -3.36%E -2.17%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -14.34%E -2.61%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -7.28%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-16 18:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.57%EV -3.36%E -2.17%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -14.34%E -2.61%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -7.28%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-16 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.57%EV -3.36%E -2.17%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -14.34%E -2.61%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -7.28%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-16 18:45
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -6.47%E -4.32%K -12.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -14.34%E -2.61%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -2.87%E -0.651%K -0.843%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-16 18:05
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -3.36%E -2.17%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -14.34%E -2.61%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -11.70%E -2.92%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-16 18:30
Bet Right1.53I 65.36%NM 61.01%EV -4.60%E -3.01%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -18.24%E -3.47%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -2.87%E -0.651%K -0.843%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-16 18:50
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 59.43%EV -3.36%E -2.17%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -18.24%E -3.47%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -11.70%E -2.92%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-16 18:55
Betr (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.47%EV -1.49%E -0.941%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.18%EV -23.69%E -4.83%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -2.87%E -0.651%K -0.843%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 18:30
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.30%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.61%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%0.6%2026-04-16 18:55
Matchbook1.57I 63.69%NM 63.30%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.61%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%0.6%2026-04-16 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.02%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.1%2026-04-16 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.02%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.1%2026-04-16 18:55
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 63.17%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.93%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.90%1.5%2026-04-16 18:55
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 62.80%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.67%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.53%2.1%2026-04-16 18:25