Language:English
AC Milan v Benfica
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
AC Milan (Local)
Prediction 41.63%2.40fair odd
EV -0.097%
Edge -0.040%
Kelly -0.069%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.07%41.76%41.66%44.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.272.252.4048.78%44.12%44.44%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Benfica (Visit)
Prediction 31.55%3.17fair odd
EV +0.331%
Edge +0.104%
Kelly +0.152%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 3.18
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.21%31.43%31.48%33.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.972.953.1835.71%33.71%33.90%31.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.82%3.73fair odd
EV -2.10%
Edge -0.574%
Kelly -0.791%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.79%26.81%26.86%27.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.493.503.6530.30%28.65%28.57%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: AC Milan (Local): 41.63%; Benfica (Visit): 31.55%; Draw: 26.82%. For Benfica (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.17. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.18, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.331%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -7.17%E -3.22%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.82%EV +0.331%E +0.104%K +0.152%G +0.001% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.65%EV -8.00%E -2.33%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-16 18:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -14.67%E -7.15%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -0.616%E -0.195%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -4.78%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-16 18:31 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.85%EV -3.84%E -1.66%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.99%EV -1.56%E -0.501%K -0.737%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.16%EV -4.51%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.85%EV -3.84%E -1.66%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.99%EV -1.56%E -0.501%K -0.737%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.16%EV -4.51%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.84%EV -3.01%E -1.29%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.45%EV -2.19%E -0.707%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.71%EV -2.10%E -0.574%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.84%EV -3.01%E -1.29%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.45%EV -2.19%E -0.707%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.71%EV -2.10%E -0.574%K -0.791%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.29%EV -2.18%E -0.927%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.30%EV -2.19%E -0.707%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.41%EV -5.05%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.16%EV -2.18%E -0.927%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.20%EV -2.19%E -0.707%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.64%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-16 18:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.16%EV -2.18%E -0.927%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.20%EV -2.19%E -0.707%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.64%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-16 18:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.87%EV -3.84%E -1.66%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.20%EV -2.19%E -0.707%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.94%EV -3.71%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-16 18:51 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.06%EV -5.09%E -2.23%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.93%EV -2.19%E -0.707%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.01%EV -4.78%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-16 18:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -11.75%E -5.54%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -2.19%E -0.707%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -8.80%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-16 18:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.17%EV -6.34%E -2.82%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.11%EV -3.77%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.73%EV -4.78%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-16 18:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.14%EV -4.26%E -1.85%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.03%EV -3.77%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -8.80%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-16 18:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.14%EV -4.26%E -1.85%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.03%EV -3.77%E -1.24%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -8.80%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-16 18:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.07%EV -0.097%E -0.040%K -0.069%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.06%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.87%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.42%EV -4.26%E -1.85%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.75%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.83%EV -4.78%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-16 18:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.42%EV -4.26%E -1.85%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.75%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.83%EV -4.78%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-16 18:51 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.39%EV -4.68%E -2.04%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.60%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.01%EV -5.85%E -1.67%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-16 18:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -6.34%E -2.82%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.44%E -0.955%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.47%EV -5.09%E -2.23%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.01%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.47%EV -5.09%E -2.23%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.01%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.47%EV -5.09%E -2.23%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.01%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.26%E -1.85%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -8.80%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-16 18:51 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.34%E -2.82%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-16 18:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -6.34%E -2.82%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -8.42%E -3.83%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -5.35%E -1.78%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-16 18:51 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.96%EV -2.18%E -0.927%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.30%EV -5.98%E -2.01%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.74%EV -3.44%E -0.955%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-16 18:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.83%EV -2.18%E -0.927%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.52%EV -6.93%E -2.35%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.65%EV -3.44%E -0.955%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-16 18:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.88%EV -3.01%E -1.29%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.29%EV -6.93%E -2.35%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.83%EV -4.78%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-16 18:46 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.34%E -2.82%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -6.93%E -2.35%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -3.44%E -0.955%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-16 18:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -6.34%E -2.82%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -6.93%E -2.35%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -11.48%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-16 18:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -6.34%E -2.82%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -6.93%E -2.35%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -11.48%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-16 18:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -8.42%E -3.83%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.39%EV -7.87%E -2.70%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -8.80%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-16 18:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.34%E -2.82%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -3.44%E -0.955%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-16 18:56 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.34%E -2.82%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -3.44%E -0.955%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-16 18:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.34%E -2.82%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -3.44%E -0.955%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-16 18:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.34%E -2.82%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -3.44%E -0.955%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-16 18:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.34%E -2.82%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -3.44%E -0.955%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -6.34%E -2.82%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-16 18:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -8.42%E -3.83%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -3.44%E -0.955%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%EV -6.34%E -2.82%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -7.46%E -2.16%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-16 18:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -4.26%E -1.85%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -11.48%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -4.26%E -1.85%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -11.48%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -4.26%E -1.85%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -11.48%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -6.34%E -2.82%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.80%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -6.34%E -2.82%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.80%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-16 18:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -6.34%E -2.82%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.80%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.24%EV -7.17%E -3.22%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.80%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.34%E -2.82%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -11.48%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-16 18:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.34%E -2.82%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -11.48%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-16 18:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -8.42%E -3.83%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -11.48%E -3.48%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -12.58%E -5.99%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -8.50%E -2.93%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-16 18:46 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.26%E -1.85%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.76%EV -9.13%E -3.17%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -3.44%E -0.955%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.34%E -2.82%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -9.13%E -3.17%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -3.44%E -0.955%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-16 18:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.34%E -2.82%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -9.13%E -3.17%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -6.12%E -1.75%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -4.26%E -1.85%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -10.08%E -3.54%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -3.44%E -0.955%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -6.34%E -2.82%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -10.08%E -3.54%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -3.44%E -0.955%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-16 18:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.27%EV -6.34%E -2.82%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.58%EV -10.08%E -3.54%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -4.78%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-16 18:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -4.26%E -1.85%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -10.08%E -3.54%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -10.14%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-16 18:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.29%EV -3.43%E -1.48%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.38%EV -11.66%E -4.16%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.33%EV -4.78%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -10.50%E -4.89%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -11.66%E -4.16%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -8.80%E -2.59%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-16 18:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.93% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 30.04% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 27.03% | -0.0% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.93% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.71% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.36% | 0.1% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.93% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.71% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.36% | 0.1% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.10% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.05% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85% | 0.6% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.94% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 1.0% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.10% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.63% | 1.5% | 2026-09-16 18:55 |