Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Universitatea Craiova v KF Egnatia

2026-11-05 20:00 UTC — UEFA Europa Conference League

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Universitatea Craiova (Local)

Prediction 61.75%1.62fair odd
EV -3.67%
Edge -2.35%
Kelly -6.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.99%61.73%61.75%63.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.491.491.5671.43%67.34%67.11%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

KF Egnatia (Visit)

Prediction 16.18%6.18fair odd
EV -1.30%
Edge -0.213%
Kelly -0.255%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.00%16.25%16.15%17.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.715.756.1020.00%17.51%17.39%16.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.07%4.53fair odd
EV -2.90%
Edge -0.659%
Kelly -0.853%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.25%22.01%22.11%23.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.084.054.4026.32%24.49%24.69%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Universitatea Craiova (Local): 61.75%; KF Egnatia (Visit): 16.18%; Draw: 22.07%. For KF Egnatia (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.18. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 6.10, with an expected value of -1.30%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.93%EV -3.67%E -2.35%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.07I 16.47%NM 15.92%EV -1.78%E -0.294%K -0.352%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 22.16%EV -3.78%E -0.868%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-26 16:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.23%EV -5.52%E -3.61%K -10.42%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.36%EV -1.30%E -0.213%K -0.255%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -11.73%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-26 16:45
Unibet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.23%EV -5.52%E -3.61%K -10.42%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.36%EV -1.30%E -0.213%K -0.255%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -11.73%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-26 16:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.98%EV -7.37%E -4.92%K -14.75%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 15.89%EV -5.34%E -0.913%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -7.31%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-26 17:20
NordicBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.55%EV -7.37%E -4.92%K -14.75%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.65%EV -4.53%E -0.769%K -0.925%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.80%EV -10.62%E -2.62%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-26 16:45
Betsson🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.55%EV -7.37%E -4.92%K -14.75%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.65%EV -4.53%E -0.769%K -0.925%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.80%EV -10.62%E -2.62%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-26 16:45
picklebet_au🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -7.37%E -4.92%K -14.75%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.01%E -2.00%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -7.31%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-26 16:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -7.37%E -4.92%K -14.75%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.01%E -2.00%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -7.31%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-26 16:45
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -7.37%E -4.92%K -14.75%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -15.05%E -2.87%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -7.31%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-26 16:49
SportsBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.01%EV -7.99%E -5.36%K -16.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -2.92%E -0.486%K -0.583%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -2.90%E -0.659%K -0.853%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-26 16:45
ReBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.19%EV -7.99%E -5.36%K -16.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -11.01%E -2.00%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -9.52%E -2.32%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-26 16:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.75%EV -7.99%E -5.36%K -16.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.74%EV -6.96%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -15.04%E -3.91%K -5.28%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-26 16:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.75%EV -7.99%E -5.36%K -16.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.74%EV -6.96%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -15.04%E -3.91%K -5.28%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-26 16:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.75%EV -7.99%E -5.36%K -16.31%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.74%EV -6.96%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -15.04%E -3.91%K -5.28%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-26 16:44
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.17%EV -8.61%E -5.82%K -17.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -2.92%E -0.486%K -0.583%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -2.90%E -0.659%K -0.853%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-26 19:55
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -11.08%E -7.69%K -25.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -2.92%E -0.486%K -0.583%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -11.73%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-26 20:26
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -11.08%E -7.69%K -25.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -11.01%E -2.00%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -7.31%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-26 20:24
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 59.99%EV -11.08%E -7.69%K -25.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.28%EV -19.10%E -3.82%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.73%EV -16.14%E -4.25%K -5.76%G +0.000%15.8%2026-10-26 17:43
Betclic (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 61.47%EV -11.70%E -8.18%K -27.20%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.28%EV -12.62%E -2.34%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.25%EV -12.83%E -3.25%K -4.35%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-26 16:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.14%EV -13.55%E -9.68%K -33.87%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.11%EV -12.62%E -2.34%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.75%EV -11.73%E -2.93%K -3.91%G +0.000%14.9%2026-10-26 16:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.63%1.12I 89.29%NM 33.03%1.11I 90.09%NM 33.33%170.3%2026-10-26 19:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.63%1.12I 89.29%NM 33.03%1.11I 90.09%NM 33.33%170.3%2026-10-26 20:05