Language:English
Strasbourg v Rayo Vallecano
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Strasbourg (Local)
Prediction 48.60%2.06fair odd
EV -2.79%
Edge -1.40%
Kelly -2.79%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.65%48.62%48.68%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.931.932.0054.64%51.78%51.81%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Rayo Vallecano (Visit)
Prediction 25.06%3.99fair odd
EV +0.222%
Edge +0.056%
Kelly +0.074%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.00%25.03%25.04%25.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.793.754.0027.78%26.41%26.67%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.34%3.80fair odd
EV +0.090%
Edge +0.024%
Kelly +0.032%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.00%26.35%26.28%26.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.573.583.8030.30%27.99%27.93%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Strasbourg (Local): 48.60%; Rayo Vallecano (Visit): 25.06%; Draw: 26.34%. For Rayo Vallecano (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.99. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.222%.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.46%EV -5.22%E -2.68%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.11%EV +0.222%E +0.056%K +0.074%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.43%EV -3.86%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-07 18:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.20%EV -4.25%E -2.16%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.60%EV -1.28%E -0.325%K -0.436%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.20%EV -2.54%E -0.688%K -0.942%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-07 18:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.27%EV -4.73%E -2.42%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.76%EV -2.28%E -0.586%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.96%EV -2.02%E -0.542%K -0.742%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-07 14:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.27%EV -4.73%E -2.42%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.76%EV -2.28%E -0.586%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.96%EV -2.02%E -0.542%K -0.742%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-07 14:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.50%EV -7.16%E -3.75%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -2.28%E -0.586%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -5.18%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 18:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -7.16%E -3.75%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -2.28%E -0.586%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.53%EV -6.49%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 18:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -7.16%E -3.75%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -2.28%E -0.586%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -7.81%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -7.16%E -3.75%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -2.28%E -0.586%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -7.81%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-07 15:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -7.16%E -3.75%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -2.28%E -0.586%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -7.81%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -7.65%E -4.03%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -2.28%E -0.586%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.81%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -7.65%E -4.03%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -2.28%E -0.586%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.81%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.82%EV -3.76%E -1.90%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.91%EV -2.78%E -0.718%K -0.967%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.27%EV -3.07%E -0.834%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-07 18:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.48%EV -2.79%E -1.40%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.32%EV -4.04%E -1.05%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.21%EV -2.54%E -0.688%K -0.942%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-07 18:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.65%E -4.03%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -4.79%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV +0.090%E +0.024%K +0.032%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 18:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.67%EV -5.22%E -2.68%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -4.79%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -5.18%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 18:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.95%EV -7.65%E -4.03%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -4.79%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.81%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-07 18:55 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.37%EV -4.73%E -2.42%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.15%EV -5.54%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.48%EV -5.70%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 18:38 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.87%EV -2.79%E -1.40%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.53%EV -6.04%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.60%EV -5.18%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-07 18:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.87%EV -2.79%E -1.40%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.53%EV -6.04%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.60%EV -5.18%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-07 18:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.87%EV -2.79%E -1.40%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.53%EV -6.04%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.60%EV -5.18%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-07 17:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.54%EV -7.16%E -3.75%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -6.04%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -1.23%E -0.327%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-07 08:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -5.22%E -2.68%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -6.04%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.18%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-07 18:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -6.68%E -3.48%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -6.04%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -3.86%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-07 18:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -5.22%E -2.68%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.04%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.81%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-07 18:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -5.22%E -2.68%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.04%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.81%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-07 18:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -5.22%E -2.68%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.04%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.81%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-07 18:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -5.22%E -2.68%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.04%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.81%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-07 18:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -6.19%E -3.21%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -6.04%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.81%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-07 18:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.41%EV -10.57%E -5.74%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -6.04%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -9.13%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-07 18:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.41%EV -10.57%E -5.74%K -12.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -6.04%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -9.13%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-07 18:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.22%E -2.68%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -7.29%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -2.54%E -0.688%K -0.942%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 18:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.69%EV -7.16%E -3.75%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -8.55%E -2.34%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -5.18%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-07 18:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.69%EV -7.16%E -3.75%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -8.55%E -2.34%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -5.18%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-07 18:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.46%EV -7.65%E -4.03%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -8.55%E -2.34%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.81%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-07 18:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -5.22%E -2.68%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -9.80%E -2.72%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.81%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-07 12:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.90%EV -6.19%E -3.21%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -9.80%E -2.72%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -7.81%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-07 18:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -11.05%E -6.04%K -13.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -9.80%E -2.72%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -13.08%E -3.96%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-07 18:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.65% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.13% | 0.7% | 2026-05-07 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.65% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.13% | 0.7% | 2026-05-07 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.65% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.13% | 0.7% | 2026-05-07 18:45 |