语言:简体中文
Strasbourg v FSV Mainz 05
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Strasbourg (主队)
预测 49.49%2.02公平赔率
EV -2.51%
优势 -1.28%
Kelly -2.59%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.97
博彩公司预测分布
47.89%49.54%49.42%51.68%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.811.891.901.9755.25%52.81%52.63%50.76%最小值均值中位数最大值
FSV Mainz 05 (客队)
预测 24.90%4.02公平赔率
EV +2.09%
优势 +0.511%
Kelly +0.676%
增长率 +0.014%
假设最高赔率为 4.10
博彩公司预测分布
23.57%24.95%24.84%27.69%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.403.753.754.1029.41%26.63%26.67%24.39%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 25.61%3.90公平赔率
EV +2.46%
优势 +0.614%
Kelly +0.818%
增长率 +0.020%
假设最高赔率为 4.00
博彩公司预测分布
23.53%25.52%25.74%26.28%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.503.683.704.0028.57%27.16%27.03%25.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Strasbourg (主队)：49.49%；FSV Mainz 05 (客队)：24.90%；平局：25.61%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.90。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为4.00，对应+2.46%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (37 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.78%EV -4.49%E -2.33%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -15.34%E -4.51%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV +2.46%E +0.614%K +0.818%G +0.020% | 6.2% | 2026-04-16 18:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -7.46%E -3.99%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.86%EV +0.850%E +0.210%K +0.279%G +0.002% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.46%EV +1.17%E +0.297%K +0.398%G +0.005% | 3.5% | 2026-04-16 18:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -7.46%E -3.99%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.86%EV +0.850%E +0.210%K +0.279%G +0.002% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.46%EV +1.17%E +0.297%K +0.398%G +0.005% | 3.5% | 2026-04-16 18:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.19%EV -4.49%E -2.33%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.71%EV -2.39%E -0.609%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 25.10%EV -1.13%E -0.293%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-16 18:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.24%EV -4.49%E -2.33%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.82%EV -8.36%E -2.27%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 24.94%EV -2.41%E -0.633%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-16 18:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.80%EV -4.00%E -2.06%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.77%EV -2.89%E -0.740%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.43%EV -2.67%E -0.702%K -0.953%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-16 18:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.03%EV -2.51%E -1.28%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.42%EV -5.38%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.55%EV -3.18%E -0.841%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-16 18:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.68%EV -4.49%E -2.33%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -11.60%E -3.27%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.85%EV -3.18%E -0.841%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-16 18:44 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.50%E -1.80%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.99%EV -4.13%E -1.07%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.66%EV -3.95%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-16 18:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -3.50%E -1.80%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -12.85%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -3.95%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-16 18:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.89%EV -4.00%E -2.06%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -15.34%E -4.51%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -3.95%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-16 18:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.32%EV -4.99%E -2.60%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57%EV +2.09%E +0.511%K +0.676%G +0.014% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.11%EV -5.23%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-16 18:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.02%EV -3.50%E -1.80%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.15%EV -5.38%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.83%EV -5.23%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-16 18:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.14%EV -5.98%E -3.15%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.12%EV -1.64%E -0.415%K -0.556%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -5.23%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-16 18:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.14%EV -5.98%E -3.15%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.12%EV -1.64%E -0.415%K -0.556%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -5.23%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-16 18:55 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.88%EV -4.00%E -2.06%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.49%EV -7.37%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.63%EV -5.23%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-16 18:42 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.53%EV -5.48%E -2.87%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.38%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -5.23%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-16 18:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.37%EV -5.48%E -2.87%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.62%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -5.23%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-16 18:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.98%E -3.15%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -5.23%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-16 18:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.98%E -3.15%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -5.23%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-16 18:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -8.45%E -4.57%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -5.38%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -5.23%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-16 18:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.03%EV -7.96%E -4.28%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -6.62%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.15%EV -5.23%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-16 18:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.60%EV -9.44%E -5.16%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -5.38%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -5.23%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-16 18:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.45%E -4.57%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -6.62%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.34%EV -6.51%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-16 18:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -6.97%E -3.71%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -6.51%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-16 18:46 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.06%EV -6.47%E -3.42%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -0.396%E -0.099%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -7.79%E -2.16%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-16 18:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -5.48%E -2.87%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -5.38%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -7.79%E -2.16%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-16 18:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -5.48%E -2.87%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -7.79%E -2.16%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-16 18:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.04%EV -4.99%E -2.60%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -11.60%E -3.27%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -9.07%E -2.56%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-16 18:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -8.45%E -4.57%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -10.35%E -2.96%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-16 18:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -8.45%E -4.57%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -10.35%E -2.96%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-16 18:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -8.45%E -4.57%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -10.35%E -2.96%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-16 18:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -8.45%E -4.57%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -10.35%E -2.96%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-16 18:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.32%EV -10.43%E -5.76%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -4.13%E -1.07%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.35%E -2.96%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-16 18:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.32%EV -10.43%E -5.76%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -4.13%E -1.07%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.35%E -2.96%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-16 18:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -7.46%E -3.99%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -10.35%E -2.96%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-16 18:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -9.44%E -5.16%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -12.85%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -10.35%E -2.96%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-16 18:45 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.87% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.87% | 0.5% | 2026-04-16 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.87% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.87% | 0.5% | 2026-04-16 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-04-16 18:50 |