The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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SK Brann v Lincoln Red Imps FC

Kickoff: 2026-10-15 19:00 UTC

Final: SK Brann 2–1 Lincoln Red Imps FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SK Brann (Local)

Prediction 84.21%1.19fair odd
EV -3.16%
Edge -2.75%
Kelly -21.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
81.36%84.24%84.18%85.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.061.121.121.1594.34%89.67%89.29%86.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lincoln Red Imps FC (Visit)

Prediction 5.14%19.45fair odd
EV +13.08%
Edge +0.595%
Kelly +0.623%
Growth +0.082%

assuming max odds 22.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
4.22%5.18%5.19%6.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
13.0017.5017.0022.007.69%5.71%5.88%4.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 10.65%9.39fair odd
EV +6.53%
Edge +0.653%
Kelly +0.725%
Growth +0.047%

assuming max odds 10.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.58%10.58%10.63%12.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.308.648.7210.0013.70%11.57%11.46%10.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SK Brann (Local): 84.21%; Lincoln Red Imps FC (Visit): 5.14%; Draw: 10.65%. For Lincoln Red Imps FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 19.45. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 22.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +13.08%.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Betsson🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.22%EV -8.21%E -7.54%K -91.27%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.22%EV +13.08%E +0.595%K +0.623%G +0.082%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.56%EV -6.25%E -0.711%K -0.802%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-15 18:45
Coolbet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 84.41%EV -3.16%E -2.75%K -21.08%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.62%EV +7.94%E +0.378%K +0.397%G +0.032%8.85I 11.30%NM 10.97%EV -5.72%E -0.646%K -0.729%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-15 18:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV -5.69%E -5.08%K -47.40%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.53%EV +7.94%E +0.378%K +0.397%G +0.032%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.57%EV -4.12%E -0.458%K -0.515%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-15 18:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.91%EV -5.69%E -5.08%K -47.40%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.53%EV +7.94%E +0.378%K +0.397%G +0.032%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.57%EV -4.12%E -0.458%K -0.515%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-15 18:55
PlayUp🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.14%EV -7.37%E -6.70%K -73.72%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.46%EV +7.94%E +0.378%K +0.397%G +0.032%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.41%EV -4.12%E -0.458%K -0.515%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-15 18:45
Bet Victor🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.25%EV -8.21%E -7.54%K -91.27%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.42%EV +7.94%E +0.378%K +0.397%G +0.032%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -4.12%E -0.458%K -0.515%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-15 18:54
betano_uk🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.25%EV -8.21%E -7.54%K -91.27%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.42%EV +7.94%E +0.378%K +0.397%G +0.032%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -4.12%E -0.458%K -0.515%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-15 18:53
Pinnacle🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.62%EV -5.69%E -5.08%K -47.40%G +0.000%20.95I 4.77%NM 4.58%EV +7.69%E +0.367%K +0.385%G +0.030%9.78I 10.22%NM 9.80%EV +4.19%E +0.428%K +0.477%G +0.020%4.3%2026-10-15 18:55
DraftKings🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.19%EV -5.69%E -5.08%K -47.40%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.77%EV +2.80%E +0.140%K +0.148%G +0.004%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +1.20%E +0.127%K +0.142%G +0.002%4.8%2026-10-15 18:50
NordicBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.32%EV -7.37%E -6.70%K -73.72%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.64%EV +2.80%E +0.140%K +0.148%G +0.004%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.04%EV -10.52%E -1.25%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-15 18:55
1xBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.63%EV -5.69%E -5.08%K -47.40%G +0.000%19.90I 5.03%NM 4.76%EV +2.29%E +0.115%K +0.121%G +0.003%8.94I 11.19%NM 10.60%EV -4.76%E -0.533%K -0.600%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-15 18:55
ReBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.97%EV -4.85%E -4.29%K -37.28%G +0.000%19.50I 5.13%NM 4.92%EV +0.233%E +0.012%K +0.013%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.11%EV +1.20%E +0.127%K +0.142%G +0.002%4.2%2026-10-15 18:55
SportsBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.86%EV -6.53%E -5.88%K -59.37%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.96%EV -2.34%E -0.123%K -0.130%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.18%EV -1.46%E -0.158%K -0.177%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-15 18:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.98%EV -5.69%E -5.08%K -47.40%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.95%EV -2.34%E -0.123%K -0.130%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.07%EV -9.45%E -1.11%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-15 18:55
picklebet_au🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.69%E -5.08%K -47.40%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.24%EV -7.48%E -0.415%K -0.440%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV -4.12%E -0.458%K -0.515%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-15 18:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.09%EV -6.53%E -5.88%K -59.37%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.19%EV -7.48%E -0.415%K -0.440%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 10.73%EV -7.32%E -0.841%K -0.951%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-15 18:50
Coral🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.24%EV -4.00%E -3.51%K -28.60%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.65%EV -12.62%E -0.742%K -0.789%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.11%EV +1.20%E +0.127%K +0.142%G +0.002%4.1%2026-10-15 18:55
Betway🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.78%EV -4.85%E -4.29%K -37.28%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.64%EV -12.62%E -0.742%K -0.789%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV +6.53%E +0.653%K +0.725%G +0.047%4.4%2026-10-15 18:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.55%EV -3.16%E -2.75%K -21.08%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.58%EV -12.62%E -0.742%K -0.789%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.87%EV -14.78%E -1.85%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-15 18:30
Unibet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.55%EV -3.16%E -2.75%K -21.08%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.58%EV -12.62%E -0.742%K -0.789%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.87%EV -14.78%E -1.85%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-15 18:29
betfred_uk🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.25%EV -4.00%E -3.51%K -28.60%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.58%EV -12.62%E -0.742%K -0.789%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.17%EV -9.45%E -1.11%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-15 18:35
Bovada🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.01%EV -5.69%E -5.08%K -47.40%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.53%EV -12.62%E -0.742%K -0.789%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -4.12%E -0.458%K -0.515%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-15 18:55
William Hill🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.50%EV -5.69%E -5.08%K -47.40%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV -12.62%E -0.742%K -0.789%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -9.45%E -1.11%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-15 18:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.50%EV -5.69%E -5.08%K -47.40%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV -12.62%E -0.742%K -0.789%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -9.45%E -1.11%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-15 18:45
888sport🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.50%EV -5.69%E -5.08%K -47.40%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV -12.62%E -0.742%K -0.789%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -9.45%E -1.11%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-15 18:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.50%EV -5.69%E -5.08%K -47.40%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV -12.62%E -0.742%K -0.789%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -9.45%E -1.11%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-15 18:45
LeoVegas🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.93%EV -5.69%E -5.08%K -47.40%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -12.62%E -0.742%K -0.789%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -14.78%E -1.85%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-15 18:53
FanDuel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.62%EV -6.53%E -5.88%K -59.37%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -12.62%E -0.742%K -0.789%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -9.45%E -1.11%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-15 18:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 83.10%EV -8.21%E -7.54%K -91.27%G +0.000%16.25I 6.15%NM 5.57%EV -16.47%E -1.01%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV -14.78%E -1.85%K -2.11%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-15 18:54
Bet Right🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.52%EV -4.85%E -4.29%K -37.28%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.83%EV -17.76%E -1.11%K -1.18%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.66%EV -14.78%E -1.85%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-15 18:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 83.32%EV -8.21%E -7.54%K -91.27%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.68%EV -17.76%E -1.11%K -1.18%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.01%EV -12.11%E -1.47%K -1.67%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-15 18:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.73%EV -4.85%E -4.29%K -37.28%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -22.90%E -1.53%K -1.64%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.96%EV +1.20%E +0.127%K +0.142%G +0.002%5.7%2026-10-15 18:55
theScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.64%EV -7.37%E -6.70%K -73.72%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.13%EV -22.90%E -1.53%K -1.64%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%EV -4.12%E -0.458%K -0.515%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-15 18:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -5.69%E -5.08%K -47.40%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -22.90%E -1.53%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -20.10%E -2.68%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-15 18:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -5.69%E -5.08%K -47.40%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -22.90%E -1.53%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -20.10%E -2.68%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-15 18:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -5.69%E -5.08%K -47.40%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -22.90%E -1.53%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -20.10%E -2.68%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-15 18:30
Paddy Power🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 83.40%EV -9.06%E -8.39%K -113.21%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.00%EV -22.90%E -1.53%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.60%EV -9.45%E -1.11%K -1.26%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-15 18:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 82.25%EV -10.74%E -10.13%K -179.01%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.81%EV -22.90%E -1.53%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 11.94%EV -22.23%E -3.05%K -3.53%G +0.000%14.7%2026-10-15 18:54
BetMGM🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.97%EV -5.69%E -5.08%K -47.40%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.41%EV -25.47%E -1.76%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.62%EV -6.79%E -0.776%K -0.876%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-15 18:50
Neds🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.03%EV -5.69%E -5.08%K -47.40%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.64%EV -28.04%E -2.00%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.33%EV -4.12%E -0.458%K -0.515%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-15 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.03%EV -5.69%E -5.08%K -47.40%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.64%EV -28.04%E -2.00%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.33%EV -4.12%E -0.458%K -0.515%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-15 18:50
Sky Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 81.36%EV -8.21%E -7.54%K -91.27%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.82%EV -33.18%E -2.55%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.82%EV -20.10%E -2.68%K -3.09%G +0.000%12.8%2026-10-15 18:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.15I 86.96%NM 86.40%24.00I 4.17%NM 4.14%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.46%0.6%2026-10-15 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.15I 86.96%NM 86.40%24.00I 4.17%NM 4.14%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.46%0.6%2026-10-15 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.15I 86.96%NM 86.40%24.00I 4.17%NM 4.14%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.46%0.6%2026-10-15 18:55