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Riga FC v FK Jablonec

2026-11-05 20:00 UTC — UEFA Europa Conference League

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Riga FC (Local)

Prediction 41.23%2.43fair odd
EV -3.12%
Edge -1.33%
Kelly -2.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.69%41.47%41.21%42.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.202.202.3548.78%45.49%45.45%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FK Jablonec (Visit)

Prediction 30.96%3.23fair odd
EV +0.613%
Edge +0.189%
Kelly +0.273%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.35%30.63%30.93%31.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.043.103.2535.71%32.94%32.26%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.82%3.59fair odd
EV -4.03%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -1.65%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.15%27.90%27.87%29.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.223.203.4532.79%31.04%31.25%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Riga FC (Local): 41.23%; FK Jablonec (Visit): 30.96%; Draw: 27.82%. For FK Jablonec (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.23. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.25, producing a positive expected value of +0.613%.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -11.37%E -5.29%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV +0.613%E +0.189%K +0.273%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -10.99%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-26 16:45
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -11.37%E -5.29%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV +0.613%E +0.189%K +0.273%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -10.99%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-26 16:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -0.935%E -0.292%K -0.425%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -12.38%E -3.93%K -5.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-26 16:45
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -0.935%E -0.292%K -0.425%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -12.38%E -3.93%K -5.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-26 16:45
1xBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.03%EV -3.12%E -1.33%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.61%EV -2.48%E -0.788%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.36%EV -5.42%E -1.60%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-26 16:45
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -9.30%E -4.23%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -4.03%E -1.30%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.03%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-26 16:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.36%EV -10.13%E -4.65%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -4.03%E -1.30%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.56%EV -15.16%E -4.97%K -7.39%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-26 16:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.36%EV -10.13%E -4.65%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -4.03%E -1.30%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.56%EV -15.16%E -4.97%K -7.39%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-26 16:44
LiveScore Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.36%EV -10.13%E -4.65%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.08%EV -4.03%E -1.30%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.56%EV -15.16%E -4.97%K -7.39%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-26 16:44
Marathon Bet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.00%EV -6.42%E -2.83%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.62%EV -5.89%E -1.94%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.38%EV -8.76%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-26 17:20
ReBet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 41.14%EV -8.89%E -4.02%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.14%EV -9.60%E -3.29%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 27.72%EV -8.76%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-26 16:45
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -10.22%E -3.52%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -5.42%E -1.60%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-26 16:49
picklebet_au🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.22%E -3.52%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.21%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-26 16:44
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.24%E -3.22%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.22%E -3.52%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.21%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-26 16:45
Betclic (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.79%EV -13.43%E -6.39%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.79%EV -11.77%E -4.13%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.42%EV -10.99%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-26 16:44
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.37%EV -15.49%E -7.55%K -14.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.48%EV -11.77%E -4.13%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.15%EV -10.99%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%15.1%2026-10-26 16:45
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.20%EV -13.43%E -6.39%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -13.32%E -4.76%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -13.77%E -4.44%K -6.56%G +0.000%15.6%2026-10-26 17:43
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.