Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Riga FC v FC Kairat

Início: 2026-10-15 16:45 UTC

Final: Riga FC 1–1 FC Kairat

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

40 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Riga FC (Local)

Previsão 50.07%2.00odd justa
EV -1.86%
Vantagem -0.951%
Kelly -1.94%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.96

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
49.07%50.14%50.04%52.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.701.851.851.9658.82%53.93%54.05%51.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

FC Kairat (Visitante)

Previsão 22.87%4.37odd justa
EV +3.15%
Vantagem +0.699%
Kelly +0.898%
Crescimento +0.028%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.51

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.04%22.82%22.85%23.84%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.804.064.004.5126.32%24.61%25.00%22.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.06%3.70odd justa
EV -2.59%
Vantagem -0.718%
Kelly -0.995%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.21%27.05%27.12%27.79%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.203.433.403.6031.25%29.16%29.41%27.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Riga FC (Local): 50.07%; FC Kairat (Visitante): 22.87%; Empate: 27.06%. Para FC Kairat (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.37. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.51, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.15%.

Odds das casas de apostas (40 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.15%EV -8.87%E -4.88%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.04%EV +3.15%E +0.699%K +0.898%G +0.028%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.81%EV -4.21%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-15 16:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.16%EV -6.87%E -3.69%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.88%EV -0.509%E -0.117%K -0.152%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.96%EV -4.48%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-15 16:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.16%EV -6.87%E -3.69%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.88%EV -0.509%E -0.117%K -0.152%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.96%EV -4.48%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-15 16:30
Pinnacle🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.73%EV -5.37%E -2.84%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.19%EV -1.20%E -0.277%K -0.360%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.08%EV -4.21%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-15 16:40
SportsBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.45%EV -5.87%E -3.12%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.06%EV -1.65%E -0.384%K -0.501%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.49%EV -6.64%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-15 16:30
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -8.37%E -4.58%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -1.65%E -0.384%K -0.501%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-15 16:30
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.99%EV -4.37%E -2.29%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -3.94%E -0.938%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -5.29%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-15 16:20
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.71%EV -6.37%E -3.41%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -3.94%E -0.938%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV -3.94%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-15 16:15
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.17%EV -7.37%E -3.99%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -3.94%E -0.938%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -2.59%E -0.718%K -0.995%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-15 16:30
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -7.37%E -3.99%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -3.94%E -0.938%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-15 16:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -7.37%E -3.99%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -3.94%E -0.938%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-15 16:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -7.37%E -3.99%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -3.94%E -0.938%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-15 16:20
ReBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.07%EV -1.86%E -0.951%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.46%EV -6.23%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.48%EV -5.29%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-15 15:50
Bovada🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.05%EV -6.37%E -3.41%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -6.23%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -6.64%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-15 16:40
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.12%EV -7.37%E -3.99%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -6.23%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-15 16:20
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.12%EV -7.37%E -3.99%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -6.23%E -1.52%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-15 16:19
Coolbet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.67%EV -3.87%E -2.01%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -8.51%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.49%EV -2.59%E -0.718%K -0.995%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-15 16:25
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.80%EV -4.37%E -2.29%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -8.51%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -2.59%E -0.718%K -0.995%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-15 16:20
Unibet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.06%EV -5.37%E -2.84%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -8.51%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -2.59%E -0.718%K -0.995%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-15 16:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.20%EV -5.87%E -3.12%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -8.51%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -2.59%E -0.718%K -0.995%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-15 16:30
picklebet_au🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.56%EV -4.87%E -2.56%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -8.51%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -5.29%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-15 16:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -5.87%E -3.12%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.51%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.29%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-15 16:20
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.37%E -3.99%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.51%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.70%E -3.24%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-15 16:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.37%E -3.99%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.51%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.70%E -3.24%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-15 16:15
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.37%E -3.99%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.51%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.70%E -3.24%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-15 16:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -7.37%E -3.99%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.51%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.70%E -3.24%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-15 16:20
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -8.37%E -4.58%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -8.51%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -10.70%E -3.24%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-15 16:20
PlayUp🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.84%EV -8.87%E -4.88%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -8.51%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.70%E -3.24%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-15 16:35
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -9.88%E -5.49%K -12.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -8.51%E -2.13%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -10.70%E -3.24%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-15 16:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.45%EV -5.87%E -3.12%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.36%EV -8.97%E -2.25%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.19%EV -7.46%E -2.18%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-30 12:29
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -5.87%E -3.12%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -9.66%E -2.44%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -6.64%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-15 16:20
Bet Right🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -5.87%E -3.12%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -9.66%E -2.44%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -6.64%E -1.93%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-15 16:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.04%EV -9.38%E -5.18%K -11.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.93%EV -9.66%E -2.44%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -9.35%E -2.79%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-15 16:20
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -8.37%E -4.58%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -10.80%E -2.77%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-15 16:20
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.41%EV -9.88%E -5.49%K -12.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -10.80%E -2.77%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -13.41%E -4.19%K -6.10%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-15 16:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 51.25%EV -14.88%E -8.75%K -21.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.34%EV -10.80%E -2.77%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -10.70%E -3.24%K -4.65%G +0.000%14.8%2026-10-15 16:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.16%EV -7.37%E -3.99%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.44%EV -11.26%E -2.90%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.40%EV -10.16%E -3.06%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-15 16:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.65%EV -8.87%E -4.88%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -13.09%E -3.44%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-15 16:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.65%EV -8.87%E -4.88%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -13.09%E -3.44%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-15 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.65%EV -8.87%E -4.88%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -13.09%E -3.44%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -8.00%E -2.35%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-15 16:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.98I 50.51%NM 50.44%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.19%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.36%0.1%2026-10-15 16:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.57%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.14%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%0.4%2026-10-15 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.70%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.6%2026-10-15 16:30