The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Red Star Belgrade v FC Copenhagen

Kickoff: 2026-10-22 16:45 UTC

Final: Red Star Belgrade 2–2 FC Copenhagen

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Red Star Belgrade (Local)

Prediction 43.39%2.30fair odd
EV -2.37%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -1.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.42%43.47%43.30%44.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.152.152.2550.00%46.49%46.51%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Copenhagen (Visit)

Prediction 29.86%3.35fair odd
EV -1.45%
Edge -0.439%
Kelly -0.630%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.98%29.85%29.89%30.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.113.103.3035.09%32.15%32.26%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.75%3.74fair odd
EV -1.84%
Edge -0.501%
Kelly -0.689%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.29%26.67%26.81%28.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.463.483.6732.26%28.93%28.78%27.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Red Star Belgrade (Local): 43.39%; FC Copenhagen (Visit): 29.86%; Draw: 26.75%. For FC Copenhagen (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.35. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.30, with an expected value of -1.45%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.02%EV -2.37%E -1.06%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.33%EV -1.45%E -0.439%K -0.630%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.65%EV -6.39%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-22 16:05
ReBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.71%EV -2.37%E -1.06%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.60%EV -6.23%E -1.98%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.69%EV -3.71%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-22 16:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.15%EV -4.11%E -1.86%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.61%EV -3.84%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -6.39%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-22 16:01
LowVig.ag🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.15%EV -4.11%E -1.86%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.61%EV -3.84%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -6.39%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-22 16:00
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.54%EV -4.54%E -2.07%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.47%EV -2.94%E -0.905%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.98%EV -5.05%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-22 15:40
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -4.54%E -2.07%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -7.42%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -3.71%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-22 15:40
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -4.54%E -2.07%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -4.44%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -9.06%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-22 16:10
picklebet_au🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -4.54%E -2.07%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -7.42%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.39%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-22 16:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -4.54%E -2.07%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -7.42%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.39%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-22 16:10
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -4.54%E -2.07%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -7.42%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.39%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-22 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -4.54%E -2.07%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -7.42%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.39%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-22 16:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -4.54%E -2.07%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -7.42%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -7.72%E -2.24%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-22 16:10
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -4.54%E -2.07%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -7.42%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -7.72%E -2.24%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-22 16:10
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.22%EV -4.54%E -2.07%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -8.91%E -2.92%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.32%EV -9.06%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-22 16:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.64%EV -5.41%E -2.48%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.18%EV -8.02%E -2.60%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.18%EV -8.53%E -2.49%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-22 16:10
1xBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.72%EV -5.85%E -2.69%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.21%EV -6.23%E -1.98%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.06%EV -2.64%E -0.726%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-22 16:35
Pinnacle🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.58%EV -6.28%E -2.91%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.45%E -0.439%K -0.630%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.24%EV -1.84%E -0.501%K -0.689%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-22 16:40
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.27%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -2.94%E -0.905%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -3.71%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-22 16:30
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.41%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.92%EV -6.82%E -2.19%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.39%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-22 16:35
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -5.93%E -1.88%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.72%E -2.24%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-22 16:25
Bet Right🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.42%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.39%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-22 15:40
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.42%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -9.06%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-22 16:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.42%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -9.06%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-22 16:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.42%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -9.06%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-22 16:25
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.42%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -9.06%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-22 16:25
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -10.41%E -3.47%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.06%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-22 16:10
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.41%E -3.47%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.74%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-22 16:10
SportsBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -8.01%E -3.78%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.75%EV -5.93%E -1.88%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -3.71%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-22 16:25
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.74%EV -8.01%E -3.78%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -4.44%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -9.06%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-22 16:25
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.74%EV -8.01%E -3.78%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -4.44%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -9.06%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-22 16:25
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.54%EV -8.01%E -3.78%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -5.93%E -1.88%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.06%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-22 16:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.60%EV -8.01%E -3.78%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.61%EV -8.91%E -2.92%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -13.07%E -4.02%K -5.81%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-22 16:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.60%EV -8.01%E -3.78%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.61%EV -8.91%E -2.92%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -13.07%E -4.02%K -5.81%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-22 16:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.60%EV -8.01%E -3.78%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.61%EV -8.91%E -2.92%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -13.07%E -4.02%K -5.81%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-22 16:05
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -4.44%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.39%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-22 16:40
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -7.42%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -3.71%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-22 16:25
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -7.42%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -3.71%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-22 16:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.42%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.52%EV -14.89%E -5.22%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.06%EV -17.09%E -5.51%K -8.14%G +0.000%15.0%2026-10-22 16:20
NetBet (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.11%EV -10.18%E -4.92%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.25%EV -11.90%E -4.03%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.64%EV -10.40%E -3.10%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-22 16:25
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -11.05%E -5.39%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -10.41%E -3.47%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -6.39%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-22 16:20
Sky Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -11.05%E -5.39%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.41%E -3.47%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -9.06%E -2.67%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-22 16:24
Betclic (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -13.22%E -6.61%K -13.22%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 30.06%EV -11.30%E -3.81%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.29%EV -5.58%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-22 16:16
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.44%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.71%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.85%0.5%2026-10-22 16:41
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.24%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.03%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%0.9%2026-10-22 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.24%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.03%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%0.9%2026-10-22 16:40
Matchbook◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.24%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.03%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%0.9%2026-10-22 16:40