Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Panathinaikos FC v PFC CSKA Sofia

2026-11-05 20:00 UTC — UEFA Europa Conference League

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

64%

15%

20%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Panathinaikos FC (Local)

Prediction 64.31%1.55fair odd

EV -6.11%

Edge -4.18%

Kelly -13.28%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

63.43%64.72%64.31%66.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.341.401.411.4674.63%71.19%70.92%68.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

PFC CSKA Sofia (Visit)

Prediction 15.27%6.55fair odd

EV +10.69%

Edge +1.47%

Kelly +1.71%

Growth +0.183%

assuming max odds 7.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

12.96%14.86%15.27%15.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

5.706.516.757.2517.54%15.36%14.81%13.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 20.42%4.90fair odd

EV -3.61%

Edge -0.764%

Kelly -0.969%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

20.15%20.41%20.42%21.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

4.004.394.404.7225.00%22.80%22.73%21.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Panathinaikos FC (Local): 64.31%; PFC CSKA Sofia (Visit): 15.27%; Draw: 20.42%. For PFC CSKA Sofia (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.55. 8 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 7.25, producing a positive expected value of +10.69%.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Draw	Margin	Updated
SportsBet🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 66.62%EV -9.32%E -6.61%K -22.74%G +0.000%	7.25I 13.79%NM 12.96%EV +10.69%E +1.47%K +1.71%G +0.183%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -6.06%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-10-26 16:45
1xBet🎯	1.46I 68.49%NM 66.01%EV -6.11%E -4.18%K -13.28%G +0.000%	7.10I 14.08%NM 13.57%EV +8.40%E +1.18%K +1.38%G +0.116%	4.72I 21.19%NM 20.42%EV -3.61%E -0.764%K -0.969%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-10-26 16:45
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 65.39%EV -8.04%E -5.62%K -18.69%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV +6.87%E +0.982%K +1.15%G +0.079%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -10.14%E -2.30%K -2.98%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-10-26 16:45
Unibet🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 65.39%EV -8.04%E -5.62%K -18.69%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV +6.87%E +0.982%K +1.15%G +0.079%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -10.14%E -2.30%K -2.98%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-10-26 16:45
Marathon Bet🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 65.97%EV -9.32%E -6.61%K -22.74%G +0.000%	6.85I 14.60%NM 13.58%EV +4.58%E +0.669%K +0.783%G +0.036%	4.55I 21.98%NM 20.44%EV -7.08%E -1.56%K -1.99%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-10-26 17:20
Virgin Bet🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 65.07%EV -9.97%E -7.12%K -24.92%G +0.000%	6.75I 14.81%NM 13.50%EV +3.06%E +0.453%K +0.531%G +0.016%	4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -13.20%E -3.11%K -4.06%G +0.000%	9.8%	2026-10-26 16:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 65.07%EV -9.97%E -7.12%K -24.92%G +0.000%	6.75I 14.81%NM 13.50%EV +3.06%E +0.453%K +0.531%G +0.016%	4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -13.20%E -3.11%K -4.06%G +0.000%	9.8%	2026-10-26 16:44
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 65.07%EV -9.97%E -7.12%K -24.92%G +0.000%	6.75I 14.81%NM 13.50%EV +3.06%E +0.453%K +0.531%G +0.016%	4.25I 23.53%NM 21.43%EV -13.20%E -3.11%K -4.06%G +0.000%	9.8%	2026-10-26 16:44
Betway🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -8.04%E -5.62%K -18.69%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -8.39%E -1.40%K -1.68%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -8.10%E -1.80%K -2.31%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-10-26 16:49
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 64.42%EV -8.68%E -6.11%K -20.67%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -8.39%E -1.40%K -1.68%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -8.10%E -1.80%K -2.31%G +0.000%	9.3%	2026-10-26 16:45
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.37I 72.99%NM 64.23%EV -11.90%E -8.68%K -32.15%G +0.000%	5.75I 17.39%NM 15.30%EV -12.21%E -2.12%K -2.57%G +0.000%	4.30I 23.26%NM 20.46%EV -12.18%E -2.83%K -3.69%G +0.000%	13.6%	2026-10-26 16:44
Sky Bet🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 63.43%EV -12.54%E -9.22%K -34.83%G +0.000%	5.75I 17.39%NM 15.00%EV -12.21%E -2.12%K -2.57%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 21.57%EV -18.31%E -4.58%K -6.10%G +0.000%	15.9%	2026-10-26 17:43
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.34I 74.63%NM 64.65%EV -13.82%E -10.32%K -40.66%G +0.000%	5.70I 17.54%NM 15.20%EV -12.98%E -2.28%K -2.76%G +0.000%	4.30I 23.26%NM 20.15%EV -12.18%E -2.83%K -3.69%G +0.000%	15.4%	2026-10-26 16:45

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.