Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Panathinaikos FC v FK Borac Banja Luka

Kickoff: 2026-10-15 16:45 UTC

Final: Panathinaikos FC 2–1 FK Borac Banja Luka

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Panathinaikos FC (Local)

Prediction 77.78%1.29fair odd
EV -4.33%
Edge -3.52%
Kelly -18.81%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.09%77.89%77.73%79.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.131.191.201.2388.50%83.88%83.33%81.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FK Borac Banja Luka (Visit)

Prediction 7.94%12.59fair odd
EV +19.10%
Edge +1.27%
Kelly +1.36%
Growth +0.261%

assuming max odds 15.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.20%7.75%8.02%8.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
10.5012.2211.9515.009.52%8.18%8.37%6.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 14.28%7.00fair odd
EV -0.060%
Edge -0.009%
Kelly -0.010%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 7.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.39%14.36%14.25%15.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.806.416.507.0017.24%15.59%15.38%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Panathinaikos FC (Local): 77.78%; FK Borac Banja Luka (Visit): 7.94%; Draw: 14.28%. For FK Borac Banja Luka (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 12.59. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 15.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +19.10%.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
betfred_uk🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.08%EV -6.66%E -5.55%K -33.30%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.33%EV +19.10%E +1.27%K +1.36%G +0.261%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -7.20%E -1.11%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-13 09:09
betano_uk🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.49%EV -8.99%E -7.69%K -52.91%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.20%EV +19.10%E +1.27%K +1.36%G +0.261%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -7.20%E -1.11%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-14 16:48
Bet Victor🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.49%EV -8.99%E -7.69%K -52.91%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.20%EV +19.10%E +1.27%K +1.36%G +0.261%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -7.20%E -1.11%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-14 16:49
Betsson🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.49%EV -8.99%E -7.69%K -52.91%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.41%EV +15.13%E +1.04%K +1.12%G +0.170%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.09%EV -5.77%E -0.874%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-15 04:09
NordicBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.49%EV -8.99%E -7.69%K -52.91%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.41%EV +15.13%E +1.04%K +1.12%G +0.170%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.09%EV -5.77%E -0.874%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-13 08:49
Coolbet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.58%EV -5.88%E -4.86%K -28.01%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +11.16%E +0.797%K +0.859%G +0.096%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -7.20%E -1.11%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-15 12:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.28%EV -7.44%E -6.25%K -39.15%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.74%EV +11.16%E +0.797%K +0.859%G +0.096%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.98%EV -3.63%E -0.538%K -0.631%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-15 16:30
Unibet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.28%EV -7.44%E -6.25%K -39.15%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.74%EV +11.16%E +0.797%K +0.859%G +0.096%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.98%EV -3.63%E -0.538%K -0.631%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-15 16:30
SportsBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.42%EV -8.22%E -6.96%K -45.65%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.69%EV +11.16%E +0.797%K +0.859%G +0.096%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.88%EV -3.63%E -0.538%K -0.631%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-15 16:25
picklebet_au🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -6.66%E -5.55%K -33.30%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.30%EV +3.22%E +0.248%K +0.268%G +0.009%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.57%EV -0.060%E -0.009%K -0.010%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-15 16:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.31%EV -6.66%E -5.55%K -33.30%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV +3.22%E +0.248%K +0.268%G +0.009%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -7.20%E -1.11%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-15 08:40
Bet Right🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -6.66%E -5.55%K -33.30%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV +3.22%E +0.248%K +0.268%G +0.009%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -14.34%E -2.39%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-15 07:45
ReBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.62%EV -5.11%E -4.18%K -23.20%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.67%EV -0.748%E -0.060%K -0.065%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.70%EV -0.060%E -0.009%K -0.010%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-15 15:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 78.49%EV -9.77%E -8.42%K -61.08%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.28%EV -0.748%E -0.060%K -0.065%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.23%EV -8.63%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-15 16:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 78.49%EV -9.77%E -8.42%K -61.08%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.28%EV -0.748%E -0.060%K -0.065%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.23%EV -8.63%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-15 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 78.49%EV -9.77%E -8.42%K -61.08%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.28%EV -0.748%E -0.060%K -0.065%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.23%EV -8.63%E -1.35%K -1.60%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-15 16:30
DraftKings🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.37%EV -5.11%E -4.18%K -23.20%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.97%EV -4.72%E -0.393%K -0.429%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.66%EV -0.060%E -0.009%K -0.010%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-15 16:35
LeoVegas🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -6.66%E -5.55%K -33.30%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -4.72%E -0.393%K -0.429%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -7.20%E -1.11%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-15 16:25
FanDuel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.28%EV -8.99%E -7.69%K -52.91%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV -4.72%E -0.393%K -0.429%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -7.20%E -1.11%K -1.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-15 16:35
PlayUp🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.28%EV -8.99%E -7.69%K -52.91%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV -4.72%E -0.393%K -0.429%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -7.20%E -1.11%K -1.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-15 16:25
Paddy Power🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 77.82%EV -11.33%E -9.94%K -80.91%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.39%EV -4.72%E -0.393%K -0.429%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.79%EV -14.34%E -2.39%K -2.87%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-15 16:35
1xBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.81%EV -5.11%E -4.18%K -23.20%G +0.000%11.90I 8.40%NM 7.98%EV -5.51%E -0.463%K -0.506%G +0.000%6.68I 14.97%NM 14.21%EV -4.63%E -0.693%K -0.815%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-15 16:40
Pinnacle🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.06%EV -5.11%E -4.18%K -23.20%G +0.000%11.53I 8.67%NM 8.26%EV -8.45%E -0.733%K -0.802%G +0.000%6.96I 14.37%NM 13.68%EV -0.631%E -0.091%K -0.106%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-15 16:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.65%EV -4.33%E -3.52%K -18.81%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.31%EV -8.69%E -0.756%K -0.827%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.05%EV -2.92%E -0.429%K -0.503%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-15 14:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.65%EV -4.33%E -3.52%K -18.81%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.31%EV -8.69%E -0.756%K -0.827%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.05%EV -2.92%E -0.429%K -0.503%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-15 14:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.90%EV -5.88%E -4.86%K -28.01%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.09%EV -8.69%E -0.756%K -0.827%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.01%EV -11.48%E -1.85%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-13 09:59
BetMGM🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.14%EV -6.66%E -5.55%K -33.30%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.05%EV -8.69%E -0.756%K -0.827%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.81%EV -10.77%E -1.72%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-15 15:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 77.82%EV -9.77%E -8.42%K -61.08%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.85%EV -8.69%E -0.756%K -0.827%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.33%EV -10.05%E -1.60%K -1.90%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-15 16:25
Betway🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.09%EV -6.66%E -5.55%K -33.30%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.52%EV -12.66%E -1.15%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -0.060%E -0.009%K -0.010%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-15 16:19
Bovada🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.15%EV -5.88%E -4.86%K -28.01%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -12.66%E -1.15%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -7.20%E -1.11%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-15 16:33
William Hill🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -5.11%E -4.18%K -23.20%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -12.66%E -1.15%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -14.34%E -2.39%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-15 15:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -5.11%E -4.18%K -23.20%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -12.66%E -1.15%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -14.34%E -2.39%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-15 15:20
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -5.11%E -4.18%K -23.20%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -12.66%E -1.15%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -14.34%E -2.39%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-15 15:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -5.11%E -4.18%K -23.20%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -12.66%E -1.15%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -14.34%E -2.39%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-15 15:20
Neds🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -6.66%E -5.55%K -33.30%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -12.66%E -1.15%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -14.34%E -2.39%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-15 15:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -6.66%E -5.55%K -33.30%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -12.66%E -1.15%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -14.34%E -2.39%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-15 15:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -6.66%E -5.55%K -33.30%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -12.66%E -1.15%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -14.34%E -2.39%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-15 15:20
Coral🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -6.66%E -5.55%K -33.30%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -12.66%E -1.15%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -14.34%E -2.39%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-15 15:20
theScore Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 77.74%EV -8.99%E -7.69%K -52.91%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.27%EV -12.66%E -1.15%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -7.20%E -1.11%K -1.31%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-15 16:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 76.34%EV -7.44%E -6.25%K -39.15%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.26%EV -12.66%E -1.15%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.40%EV -15.77%E -2.67%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-15 16:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 77.07%EV -12.11%E -10.71%K -93.12%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 7.92%EV -12.66%E -1.15%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.01%EV -17.19%E -2.96%K -3.58%G +0.000%14.8%2026-10-15 16:24
Sky Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 76.54%EV -8.99%E -7.69%K -52.91%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.53%EV -16.63%E -1.58%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.93%EV -14.34%E -2.39%K -2.87%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-15 16:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.24I 80.65%NM 80.47%16.50I 6.06%NM 6.05%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.48%0.2%2026-10-15 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.24I 80.65%NM 80.47%16.50I 6.06%NM 6.05%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.48%0.2%2026-10-15 16:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.24I 80.65%NM 80.47%16.50I 6.06%NM 6.05%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.48%0.2%2026-10-15 16:40