Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lincoln Red Imps FC v Hajduk Split

2026-11-05 17:45 UTC — UEFA Europa Conference League

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lincoln Red Imps FC (Local)

Prediction 9.99%10.01fair odd
EV +4.87%
Edge +0.464%
Kelly +0.513%
Growth +0.025%

assuming max odds 10.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.19%9.95%10.19%11.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.509.119.0010.5013.33%10.97%11.11%9.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hajduk Split (Visit)

Prediction 70.69%1.41fair odd
EV -5.99%
Edge -4.50%
Kelly -18.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.03%70.72%70.52%72.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.231.301.301.3381.30%76.96%76.92%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 19.33%5.17fair odd
EV +1.85%
Edge +0.352%
Kelly +0.434%
Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 5.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.30%19.33%19.30%20.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.334.734.755.2723.09%21.13%21.05%18.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Lincoln Red Imps FC (Local): 9.99%; Hajduk Split (Visit): 70.69%; Draw: 19.33%. For Lincoln Red Imps FC (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.01. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 10.50, producing a positive expected value of +4.87%.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 9.19%EV +4.87%E +0.464%K +0.513%G +0.025%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.51%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000%5.27I 18.98%NM 18.30%EV +1.85%E +0.352%K +0.434%G +0.008%3.7%2026-10-26 16:45
SportsBet🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -0.123%E -0.012%K -0.014%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.90%EV -6.70%E -5.07%K -20.92%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.61%EV -1.43%E -0.281%K -0.349%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-26 16:45
Marathon Bet🎯9.80I 10.20%NM 9.49%EV -2.12%E -0.216%K -0.241%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.53%EV -8.11%E -6.24%K -27.03%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV -5.30%E -1.08%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-26 17:20
NordicBet🎯9.70I 10.31%NM 9.59%EV -3.12%E -0.322%K -0.359%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.02%EV -7.40%E -5.65%K -23.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.38%EV -7.23%E -1.51%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-26 16:45
Betsson🎯9.70I 10.31%NM 9.59%EV -3.12%E -0.322%K -0.359%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.02%EV -7.40%E -5.65%K -23.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.38%EV -7.23%E -1.51%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-26 16:45
Unibet (NL)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.92%EV -5.12%E -0.539%K -0.602%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.85%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -5.30%E -1.08%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-26 16:45
Unibet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.92%EV -5.12%E -0.539%K -0.602%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.85%EV -5.99%E -4.50%K -18.15%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -5.30%E -1.08%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-26 16:45
Unibet (UK)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -10.11%E -1.12%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.52%EV -8.11%E -6.24%K -27.03%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -8.20%E -1.73%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-26 16:45
Betway🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -10.11%E -1.12%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.52%EV -8.11%E -6.24%K -27.03%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -8.20%E -1.73%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-26 16:49
picklebet_au🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -10.11%E -1.12%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.07%EV -8.11%E -6.24%K -27.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -11.09%E -2.41%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-26 16:44
ReBet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.07%EV -10.11%E -1.12%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 70.24%EV -8.82%E -6.83%K -30.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.70%EV -11.09%E -2.41%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-26 16:45
Unibet (FR)🎯8.70I 11.49%NM 9.99%EV -13.11%E -1.51%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 70.69%EV -13.06%E -10.62%K -56.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.32%EV -13.03%E -2.90%K -3.72%G +0.000%15.0%2026-10-26 16:45
Virgin Bet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.65%EV -15.10%E -1.78%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.66%EV -8.11%E -6.24%K -27.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -11.09%E -2.41%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-26 16:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.65%EV -15.10%E -1.78%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.66%EV -8.11%E -6.24%K -27.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -11.09%E -2.41%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-26 16:44
LiveScore Bet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.65%EV -15.10%E -1.78%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.66%EV -8.11%E -6.24%K -27.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -11.09%E -2.41%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-26 16:44
Betclic (FR)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.30%EV -15.10%E -1.78%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 70.03%EV -11.64%E -9.31%K -46.57%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.67%EV -13.99%E -3.14%K -4.06%G +0.000%14.2%2026-10-26 16:44
Sky Bet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.70%EV -25.09%E -3.35%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 68.03%EV -8.82%E -6.83%K -30.40%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.27%EV -16.31%E -3.77%K -4.90%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-26 17:43
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.